Heading Into the 2015-16 NFL season, the following Quarterbacks project to have high fantasy value
As the 2015 NFL season approaches the best practice for fantasy football draft managers is to start their research early. Several teams go through coaching and roster turnover during the offseason and it is time to start to put the puzzle pieces together to look for the value at the quarterback position.
There are several factors to look for in this quest. Quarterbacks are value today because they underperformed for various reasons the past season. Often overlooked by many participating in mock drafts is how defenses help their starting quarterback by getting off the field. It is simple math. The more offensive downs a player has the more chances he has in scoring points for your league. It’s almost like analyzing playing minutes in the NBA and NHL. Bad defenses from 2014 who improve in 2015 will give their starting quarterback the ability to improve their draft value. The other reasons are more obvious like impact players signed through free agency, acquired through trades and draft.
Matt Ryan (Falcons): The Atlanta Falcons were the 32nd and worst defense in the NFL a season ago. They gave up nearly 400 yards per game and were a league worse 46.8% on third down. That is a defense that can’t get off the field. It keeps Matt Ryan on the sidelines and unable to put up fantasy points for roster managers. Dan Quinn takes over the head coaching duties for Atlanta in the upcoming 2015 season. Quinn was the defensive coordinator for Seattle and will look to improve on a league worst defense.
At Seattle Quinn managed the #1 defense in the NFL and got off the field 37.1% of the time on third down. He will improve the Falcons pass rush and third down stops. Roster wise Ryan has solid targets in the passing game in Julio Jones and Roddy White. The running game will improve with the addition of Tevin Coleman in the draft. Pass rusher Vic Beasley Jr. will be of great help to the defense. The Falcons were able to poach away from the Cowboys linebacker Justin Durant who had a very good year with Dallas last year. Defensive end Adrian Clayborn was acquired from Tampa Bay and will be of help to the Falcons defense.
Eli Manning (Giants): The New York Giants had the 29th worst defense in the league. Opposing teams were controlling the line of scrimmage with nearly five yards per carry on them on the ground. They improved defensively by drafting former Alabama safety Landon Collins with the first pick in Round 2 of the draft. Collins was pegged by many NFL draft pundits as the best safety coming out of college. Collins is outstanding against the pass, run and tackling in the open field. More importantly he can push down that nearly five yards per carry average on the ground the Giants allowed in 2014.
The Giants in the third round drafted a defensive end who can rush the passer in Owamagbe Odighizuwa from UCLA. Eli Manning is now in the second year of this new quick passing offense. It is less taxing on offensive lineman to block because they don’t have to hold onto blocks for a long time. A few seasons ago Manning did his old deep drops and long looks which took a toll on his offensive line as they were ravished by injuries. Manning has one of his big play threats back in Victor Cruz who missed most of last season due to injury. A big surprise for Big Blue was the development of rookie Odell Beckham who had 91 catches for 1305 yards and 12 touchdowns. Beckham really came on during the second half of the year and put up some big numbers in his final three games against the NFC East division. A huge addition to help Eli Manning in the passing game is running back Shane Vereen. He was acquired as a free agent from the Super Bowl New England Patriots team during the offseason. Vereen is quick when lined up as a running back to get to the outside. He is a huge weapon in the passing game and will be Manning’s safety valve with dump offs and quick screens.
2015 Fantasy Football QB Value Picks
1. Matt Ryan (Falcons)
2. Eli Manning (Giants)