NFL Week 15 Value Picks

Quarterback

Fantasy football

Carson Palmer (Ari @ Phi)  Carson Palmer has been on roll lately.  The Cardinals have depth at the receiver position and everyone is health.  The Eagles on the other hand have not been able to stop the long ball with their lack of depth at corner back.  Perfect conditions for Palmer to have a big passing game, especially to the likes of Michael Floyd and John Brown.

 

Blake Bortles (Atl @ Jax) While the Jaguars have not been winning many games, and Bortles does not among the list of top quarterbacks in terms of gameplay.  He is an allstar fantasy quarterback.  He throws the long ball more than any other quarterback and he been consistently able to produce big numbers (despite a couple of interceptions being pretty common).  The Falcons have not been strong against the pass either.

 

Running Back

Fantasy football

Bryce Brown (Cle @ Sea)  The Seahawks have been unstoppable in their last 3 games and showing to be a serious Super Bowl contender.  They should have no issue blowing out the Browns, but with Lynch and Rawls out, they will need a running back to run down the clock once they have established their lead.  It looks like Brown will get those duties.

 

Lamar Miller (Mia @ SD)  The Chargers rank 6th on the list of rushing yards allowed per game with 127 rushing yards allowed per game.  Miller is coming off a 2 touchdown game against the giants.

 

Wide Receiver

Fantasy football

Golden Tate (Det @ NO) Although the Saints defense has been stronger as of late, they still average the third most passing yards allowed per game.  Golden Tate has only dropped 4 passes on 28 targets over the pass 4 games and if Calvin Johnson continues to struggle, Tate is the logical next target.

 

Demaryius Thomas (Den @ Pit) Pittsburgh is the most likely team to be involved in a shootout type game.  They have an explosive offense, but allow huge amounts of opposing passing yards as well.  Thomas has been working well with Osweiier recently and may be in for a big game against the Steelers.

 

Tight End

Fantasy football

Benjamin Watson (Det @ NO) Watson has amounted 28 targets from Brees over the past 3 games.  He has only managed to catch 15 of them, which means he has potential for big fantasy value if he can reel in those passes.

 

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Week 15 Stacks to Watch Out For

Carolina Panthers versus the Giants

No need to tell you how unstoppable the Panthers have been this year. Newton is the frontrunner in the MVP race and their winning record speaks for itself. However, they may be missing their star tight end Greg Olsen, who left the game early with a knee injury. Weather he plays or not, he may be a risky pick. If Olsen is limited that will mean more targets for Ginn and Funchess, especially Ginn who has shown he has the speed to separate from defenders and get open for a long ball.

The primary reason this stack looks so promising however is more about their matchup. The Giants have by far been the weakest at against defending the pass this year allowing an average of 314.5 passing yards per game this year, far more than the second place on this list (Steelers at 279 passing yards per game).

Packers Stack

If you are looking for a stack that may be less owned (more upside in a tournament) the Packers may be your choice. While Aaron Rodgers has been struggling lately and the Packers were all run game last weekend, we all know what Aaron Rodgers is capable of with that offense. The Raiders, while weak against both, are better at defending the run than the pass, allowing an average of 271 passing yards per game this year (putting them 5th on that list) but are 12 on lowest rushing yards allowed with just over 100 per game.

James Jones and Randall Cobb are the best picks as far as receivers go. Cobb is a definite favorite target of Rodgers’ and he always seems to be able to find Jones for a long ball. While Richard Rodgers is a red zone threat, I doubt he will be able to match his 2 touchdown performance from 2 weeks ago and he doesn’t get many targets otherwise.

Cardinals Stack

Another matchup that has serious potential is the Arizona Cardinals against the Eagles. The Eagles have been struggling to stop the pass this year and Carson Palmer and his receivers have been red hot. While Larry Fitzgerald has been quite as of late, he is the veteran of this team and always shows up in the clutch. However, the Eagles real weakness lies in their secondary, typically leaving the long ball open. This is where John Brown and Michael Floyd generate their value. Each had a long touchdown last week against the Vikings for over 40 yards and with their speed, they will have no problem getting open down the field against Philly’s pass defense.

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