NFL Week 14 Value Picks

Quarterbacks

Jameis Winston (NO @ TB) Based on season averages, New Orleans still maintains the second most passing yards allowed (average 287 passing yards per game) in the NFL, only beat by the Giants (average 314 passing yards per game). While they gave the Panthers a good game last week in what was probably their most impressive showing this season, they still allowed 331 passing yards and 5 passing touchdowns. Winston has been consistently getting decent number of passing yards and if he can connect with Evans, Jackson, or Seferian-Jenkins for a couple passing touchdowns, he could be a big value pick for the week.

Ryan Fitzpatrick (Ten @ NYJ) Fitzpatrick is coming off of two big fantasy performances in a row with 277 passing yards and 4 passing touchdowns two weeks ago and 390 passing yards with 2 passing touchdowns last week. While Tennessee ranks somewhat low in passing yards allowed with an average of 230 per game, Fitzpatrick is hot and he has his two weapons in Marshall and Decker.

Running Backs

David Johnson (Min @ Ari) Johnson is now the primary running back in a team that used to split the play time between three. He showed he could handle the role last week with 99 rushing yards, 22 receiving yards, and a receiving touchdown. Minnesota has allowed an average of 116 rushing yards per game and the majority of those should go to Johnson, with Kerynn Williams taking his share as well.

Bilal Powell (Ten @ NYJ) Although classified as a running back, Powell produced his value last week with receptions and reception yards. He ran for only 17 yards but has 8 receptions for 91 yards and a receiving touchdown. He is a good value stack with Fitzpatrick this week.

Wide Receivers

Marvin Jones (Pit @ Cin) Pittsburgh is also very high on the list of passing yards allowed with an average of 275 passing yards allowed per game. Marvin Jones has proved to be one of Dalton’s favorite targets and Dalton has been on his game lately. Jones still comes at a very cheap price and he has a high upside this week against the Steelers.

Vincent Jackson (NO @ TB) While Evans may be the receiver getting the most attention from this team, Jackson has been quietly generating good fantasy value. The Saints weak secondary does not have much depth, so Jackson may be able to sneak away with a couple long balls undetected.

Tight Ends

Austin Seferian-Jenkins (NO @ TB) Seferian-Jenkins has a high potential for fantasy value and his salary is very low. He is a good stack to use with Winston for this week against the weak Saints defense. Seferian-Jenkins was limited last week but should see an increase in play time and targets this week.

Antonio Gates (SD @ KC) Rivers has been struggling as of late after a hot start to the season. He has been somewhat limited with injuries to his top receivers, but that has served to give Gates much more targets, especially in the red zone. If Rivers can get his game going again, Gates has good upside potential this week.

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NFL Week 13 Value Picks

Quarterback

Matt Hasselback (Ind @ Pit) When Hasselback is the starting quarterback, the colts pass A LOT. He is averaging almost 40 passing attempts in his four starts this season. Although his efficiency could be better, if he is passing the ball this much against the weak Pittsburg secondary (which ranks third most on the list of passing yards allowed) he is bound to produce some good fantasy value.
Projection: 23.0 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $5900

Jay Cutler (SF @ Chi) Cutler is gets his favorite tight end target back this week and is facing a weak 49ers defense. He is very volatile as quarterbacks come but if we see the right Jay Cutler this week, the conditions are set for a big fantasy performance.
Projection: 21.4 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $5500

Ryan Fitzpatrick (NYJ @ NYG) The New York Giants have allowed an average of 309 passing yards per game to opposing teams so far this season, which is over 20 yards more than the next closest team, the Saints. Fitzpatrick has been playing decent lately but these teams always seem to bring a little extra in these rivalry matches.
Projection: 20.3 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $5500

Running Back

Javorious Allen (Bal @ Mia) The Dolphins lead the list in rushing yards allowed with 138 rushing yards per game. Allen has taken over lead rusher duties as Forsett was put on the DL. Allen hasn’t done anything astonishing yet but he has been given the attempts and he comes at a bargain. Look for a breakout performance from him against the weak rush defense of the Dolphins.
Projection: 21.0 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $4300

Jonathan Stewart (Car @ NO) On top of ranking second most passing yards allowed, the Saints rank third most for rushing yards allowed by opposing teams. The undefeated Panthers should have no issue negotiating this Saints team and which means Stewart will be given plenty of opportunities late in the game to run down the clock.
Projection: 19.8 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $5100

Wide Receiver

Eric Decker (NYJ @ NYG) You can go for the Brandon Marshall stack or the Eric Decker stack with Fitz against this weak Giants secondary. Realistically, the value could go either way but after Marshall scored 2 receiving touchdowns last week, Decker will definitely have lower ownership, which means more upside if he is the main target.
Projection: 21.2 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $6000

Donte Moncrief (Ind @ Pit) Moncrief is my value stack of the week with Hasselback. Like the Jets, you can either go Moncrief or Hilton but ownership will be lower with Moncrief and he comes at a cheaper price.
Projection: 21.4 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $5000

Brandon Lafell (Phi @ NE) With the list of receiver options getting less and less for Brady by the week, the remaining receivers values are on the rise. All the hype this week is on Scott Chandler due to the patriots tight end focused offense, but without Gronk in the lineup, I am willing to bet the Pats will make less use of their tight ends. Brady will have no problem negotiating this Eagles defense and Lafell should be the main beneficiary.
Projection: 24.9 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $4200

Tight End

Vance McDonald (SF @ Chi) McDonald is a very under the radar tight end who has been providing great value as the 49ers top tight end. He has two touchdowns in the past two games despite being among the cheapest options at TE. He is a favorite option for Gabbert and a prime red zone target.
Projection: 14.3 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $3000

Travis Kelce (KC @ Oak) Kelce has been a constant performer and reliable target for Alex Smith in a team with not much else going on. He is going to cost you a little more than some of your other options but he should be able to deliver against the weak pass defense of the Raiders.
Projection: 16.1 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $5000

Posted in NFL

Buffalo Bills versus New York Jets Thursday Night Football Real Money Fantasy Picks 11-12-2015

It will be a battle between playoff contenders from the AFC East division as the New York Jets will be hosting the Buffalo Bills. Fantasy football draft managers can tune to CBS TV on Thursday night November 12th at 8:30PM Eastern Time to track the results of their DFS roster picks.

 

This is the first of two meetings between these two teams. The Bills are 4-4 on the season as they returned to action from their bye week and defeated the Miami Dolphins 33-17 to break a two game losing streak. The Bills defense had been lit up for 34 points each time in back to back losses to Cincinnati and Jacksonville. In their victory the Bills went to their ground and pound attack and generated a total of 266 rushing yards on 36 carries. They finished the game with 410 offensive yards. There is some sideshow attraction for this game as Buffalo head coach Rex Ryan returns to New York to face his former team that fired him after last season. The team is the second best rushing team in the NFL as they run for 141.6 yards per game. They score 26.1 points a game which is 8th best in the NFL. The team sits in the middle of the league on defense.

 

The New York Jets are 5-3 and they too broke a two game losing streak with a 28-23 home victory to the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jets defense during their losing streak gave up 30 points at New England and 34 at Oakland in their defeats. In their win against Jacksonville the Jets gave up a lot of yards as the Jaguars piled up 436 yards. A concern is they allowed a struggling second year quarterback in Blake Bortles to pile up 381 passing yards along with two touchdowns and two picks. The Jets run game is a huge concern as their offensively line is banged up and as a result they ran for only 29 yards on 28 carries. New York still seems content to run the ball near the opponent’s goal line as the club had two rushing touchdowns last week. Jets are fourth in total defense by giving up 323 yards per game.

 

Buffalo Bills QB:

Tyrod Taylor

 

The Bills quarterback returned to action after being sidelined two weeks due to injury. He completed 91% of his passes in the win against the Dolphins for 181 yards with a touchdown. On the year he is hitting on 71.8% of passes for 1278 yards with ten touchdowns and four picks. Taylor is a major threat with his feet having rushed 41 times for 231 yards and two touchdowns.

 

Buffalo Bills RB:

 

LeSean McCoy

 

McCoy had his first 100 yard rushing performance as a Buffalo Bill last week at home to the Dolphins. He finished the game with 112 yards on 16 carries and a touchdown. The Bills back averaged 7 yards per carry in the game. On the season McCoy has ran for 637 yards and four touchdowns rushing for 4.1 yards per attempt.

 

Buffalo Bills WR:

Sammy Watkins

 

The Bills featured receiver returned to play after missing three of his past four games with injury. He had a season high 168 receiving yards with a touchdown and eight receptions against Miami.

 

New York Jets QB:

Ryan Fitzpatrick

 

The Jets quarterback is playing with injured ligament in his non-throwing hand. With the run game not working Fitzpatrick was the star offensively last week hitting on 61.8% of his throws for 272 yards with two touchdowns. Fitzpatrick has thrown for 13 touchdowns and seven picks on the season.

 

New York Jets RB:

Chris Ivory

 

Ivory leads the Jets with 137 carries for 716 yards with five touchdowns and 5.2 yards per rush. He struggled the past two games with 38 rushes for 43 yards. He is still trusted near the end zone as he had two short touchdown runs last week.

 

New York Jets WR:

Brandon Marshall

 

The veteran wide out has eight receptions for 730 yards with five touchdowns. He was limited with 44 receiving yards against the Jaguars on four catches last week.

 

NFL Thursday Night Football DFS League Picks

 

QB: Tyrod Taylor (Bills)

RB: LeSean McCoy (Bills)

WR: Sammy Watkins (Bills)

TE: Charles Clay (Bills)

Posted in NFL

NFL Fantasy Football Draft News 10-30-2015

New York Jets versus Oakland Raiders NFL Fantasy Preview 11-1-2015

 

Two New York Jets are off to a long road trip out west to face the Oakland Raiders from NFL action. Pro football DFS GM’s can tune to CBS TV on Sunday November 1st from Oakland to track the results of their fantasy roster picks.

 

The teams have gone through some pretty major changes since they met in week one of the 2014 season where the Jets earned a 19-14 victory at home. New York is 4-2 and showing signs of a playoff team from the AFC. The defense has returned to an elite status as the club is second overall in yardage allowed at 283 per game. Scoring defense is fourth best in the NFL as the Jets give up 17.5 a game. A big surprise has been the play on the offensive side of the football. The Jets are number three rushing team in the league and are in the top third in the league in scoring offense by averaging 25.3 points a game. Ryan Fitzpatrick is managing the team effectively and avoiding many of the costly mistakes that have haunted him during his career regulating him to that of journeyman status.

 

Head coach Jack Del Rio has raised the Oakland Raiders franchise to that of a joke to respectability in his short time with the club. The team is 3-3 and has picked up two road wins so far and almost had a third but a long field goal by the Bears as time expired gave Oakland a defeat. The Raiders offense is now tenth in the league in scoring by averaging 24 points per game. On the defensive side there is still some work to do. They do a much better job defending the run ranking third in the league. But pass defense is 32nd and last in the NFL.

 

New York Jets QB:

 

Ryan Fitzpatrick

 

The 11th year veteran quarterback is completing 61% of his throws this year for 1472 yards with 11 touchdowns and 7 picks. In the loss to the Patriots last week Fitzpatrick was 22 of 39 for 295 yards with two touchdowns. He has multiple touchdown throws in five of the Jets six games this year.

 

New York Jets RB:

 

Chris Ivory

 

Ivory is getting the bulk of the work for the Jets this season. He has 100 carries for 501 yards and four touchdowns. That is a very good 5 yards per rush average from this sixth year back. The New England performance last week was disappointing as Ivory had 17 carries for just 41 yards.

 

New York Jets WR:

 

Brandon Marshall

 

The veteran wide out has been heavily targeted in the passing game and has caught 41 balls for 578 yards with four touchdowns. He is averaging 14.1 yards per catch which is well over his career mark. Last week in the loss to New England he had a season low four receptions for 67 yards.

 

Oakland Raiders QB:

 

Derek Carr

 

The second year quarterback has hit on 65.8% of his throws for 1460 yards with 11 touchdowns and three picks. He is showing great promise as the weeks go by. Last week in the win at San Diego Carr went 24 of 31 for 289 yards with three touchdowns and no picks. This year he has two three touchdown performances and two games where he has thrown two touchdowns.

 

Oakland Raiders RB:

 

Latavious Murray

 

Running back Murray leads Oakland by a long way with 95 of the teams carries out of the backfield for 421 yards and three touchdowns. He had a nice performance at San Diego last week as he ran 15 times for 85 yards and a touchdown.

 

Oakland Raiders WR:

 

Amari Cooper

 

The first round draft pick is working out well in Oakland. Cooper 33 catches for 519 yards with three touchdowns. He is a big play target for the Raiders with 15.7 yards per catch average. The Oakland wide out had five receptions for 133 yards and a touchdown last week.

Posted in NFL

NFL Fantasy Football Draft News 10-20-2015

New York Jets versus New England Patriots NFL Fantasy Preview 10-25-2015

Two bitter AFC East rivals square off as the New England Patriots will host the New York Jets. NFL fantasy football draft GM’s can check this game out on Sunday October 25th at 1PM Eastern Time over on CBS to follow the results of their roster picks.

The Jets have been a surprise this year as they enter play with a mark of 4-1. They had a nice second half rally last week as they defeated the Washington Redskins on Sunday 34-20. New York made very good second half adjustments as they turned a 13-10 deficit at the half to a 27-13 lead after three quarters. New York showcased their run game and it delivered 221 yards on the ground in the win. The Jets did a good job of stopping the Redskins run game by limiting Washington to just 34 yards on their 17 carries. They were efficient last week in the red zone converting on 3 of 4 times. New York not only sports the top run game in the league but they are tops in the league in total defense and in scoring defense. On the year the Jets give up just 15 points along with 269 yards per game. They stop the run and pass this year ranking second in pass and third in rush defense.

The New England Patriots have a 5-0 record on the year. They faced the Indianapolis Colts in a high profile Sunday night football game last week and defeated Indianapolis 34-27. The team was on back to back road games and built a two score lead in the second half until the Colts got within seven points with 1:19 left in the game. New England had built a good enough lead where they could absorb 409 yards of offense and 3 of 3 inside the red zone execution by Indianapolis. New England is the number two passing offense in the NFL and leads the league in scoring. The Patriots average 325 yards passing and 36.6 points per game.

New York Jets QB:

Ryan Fitzpatrick

The 11th year journeyman is completing 62% of his throws for 1177 yards with nine touchdowns and seven picks. In the win against the Redskins Fitzpatrick threw for 253 yards with two touchdowns and a pick. He has thrown a pick in all five of his games this year.

New York Jets RB:

Chris Ivory

Ivory was a good acquisition from the Saints and leads New York with 83 carries for 460 yards and four touchdowns. He is just 27 yards old and has handled the workload very well. He received 20 carries on Sunday and ran for 146 yards and a touchdown.

New York Jets WR:

Brandon Marshall

Marshall leads the Jets by far in the passing game being targeted 54 times and caught 37 balls for 511 yards and four touchdowns. He caught seven balls for 111 yards and a touchdown. Brandon Marshall has 100 yards receiving or greater in four straight games.

New England Patriots QB:

Tom Brady

It’s another start for a great season for the 38 year old quarterback. On the year Brady is completing 70% of his throws for 1699 yards with 14 touchdowns and one pick. Brady is productive in his late 30’s which says something about his legacy in the NFL. He threw for 312 yards and three touchdowns in the win against the Colts.

New England Patriots RB:

LeGarrette Blount

The 28 year old running back has 49 carries for 249 yards and four touchdowns. He had a season high 93 yards rushing last week with a touchdown.

New England Patriots WR:

Julian Edelman

Edelman leads New England with 40 catches for 440 yards and four touchdowns. He was held to 50 receiving yards last week on six catches but did have a receiving touchdown.

Posted in NFL

NFL Fantasy Football Draft News 10-1-2015

New York Jets versus Miami Dolphins NFL Fantasy Football Preview 10-1-2015

A battle between two AFC East division rivals across the pound as the Miami Dolphins will meet the New York Jets. Fantasy football draft GMs can tune to CBS on Sunday October 4th from London England at 9:30AM Eastern Time to follow the result of their roster picks.

These divisional foes in their two meetings last year split with each team winning at home. Interesting that the road team has won the past six meetings but this game is played on a neutral field in London England.

The New York Jets suffered their first loss of the year last week in a 24-17 defeat at home to the Philadelphia Eagles. The Jets were mistake prone in the loss by committing four turnovers in the game. They also had a special teams miscue by allowing a punt return for touchdown. They found themselves down 24-7 at the half. The Jets made good halftime adjustments defensively and shut out the Eagles in the second half. Unfortunately the offense produced just ten points and came up seven points shy on the scoreboard losing 24-17. The Jets defensive performance was pretty good by allowing just 123 rushing yards on 39 carries and 108 passing yards to Philadelphia. New York is the top scoring defense in the NFL by giving up just 13.7 points per game. They allow 298 yards of offense to their opponents good for fourth best in the league.

The Miami Dolphins are a 1-2 football team. They opened up with a seven point road win at Washington then dropped games at Jacksonville and in their home opener last week to Buffalo 41-14. It was an ugly loss last week for the Dolphins as they were down 27-0 at the half. Miami had huge problems defending the Buffalo run game by allowing 151 yards rushing in defeat. Another issue for the Dolphins in the game was their tackling which looked amongst the worst of any team competing on Sunday. The Dolphins had a -3 turnover margin in defeat.

New York Jets QB:

Ryan Fitzpatrick

The Jets starting quarterback is completing 62% of his throws for 705 yards with six touchdowns and five picks. Against Philadelphia last week Fitzpatrick went 35 of 58 for 283 yards with two touchdowns and a season worse three interceptions.

New York Jets RB:

Chris Ivory

The veteran back has 34 carries for 148 yards with two touchdowns for 4.4 yards per carry average. Ivory is splitting carries with Bilal Powell.

Bilal Powell

He has an equal amount of carries as Ivory with 34 rushing attempts and he has run for 131 yards and no touchdowns. Powell is running for 3.9 yards a carry this year.

New York Jets WR:

Brandon Marshall

Marshall has been targeted 33 times which is 16 more than any other Jet. He has 23 catches for 272 yards with three touchdowns.

Miami Dolphins QB:

Ryan Tannehill

A recipient of a huge contract in the offseason it’s time for this fourth year starter to lead this team to a playoff spot. Tannehill has completed 61% of his throws this year for 882 yards with five touchdowns and three picks. Those three picks came last week in the loss to the Bills.

Miami Dolphins RB:

Lamar Miller

Miller is looking like a fantasy dud thus far. He ran for 1099 yards and 5.1 yards a carry average last year. In 2015 after three games Miller has 30 carries for 105 yards with no touchdowns and 3.5 yards per carry average.

Miami Dolphins WR:

Rishard Matthews

The fourth year receiver out of Nebraska leads the Dolphins with 16 catches for 262 yards and three touchdowns. Last week against the Bills, Matthews caught six balls for 113 yards with two touchdowns.

Posted in NFL

Philadelphia Eagles versus New York Jets NFL One Day League Fantasy Preview

The Philadelphia Eagles are searching for a win as they are on the road in week three to face the New York Jets. NFL fantasy GM’s can tune to FOX at 1PM Eastern Time on Sunday September 27th to track the scoring results of their rosters

This game figures to be close based on the Las Vegas odds as the Jets are favored by -2 points. That means those who target Philadelphia Eagles playmakers for their leagues should see the team not taking their foot off the gas in the fourth quarter. An interesting twist here is that this is a good defensive team facing an NFC squad they see only once every four years.

It has been a bad start for the Philadelphia Eagles as the squad sits at 0-2 on the year. They were held to just 24 points on the road to Atlanta in week one and last week at Dallas the Eagles could only score ten points all game long. The club is having trouble getting their run game going with DeMarco Murray. Philadelphia is 32nd and last in the league in rushing offense as they gain just 35 yards per game on the ground.

The New York Jets are off to a 2-0 start to the year. They have double digit victories in each game by beating Cleveland 31-10 in week one and last week they hit the road to Indianapolis on Monday Night Football and won 20-7 behind a great defensive performance. The Jets limited Indy to no points until ten minutes were remaining in the game. New York is forcing turnovers and currently sit number one in the NFL in scoring defense. Offensively the team has run the ball effectively for 127 yards per game ranking tenth best in the league.

Philadelphia Eagles QB:

Sam Bradford

The former Ram who is in his first year with the Eagles has hit on 66% of his throws for 560 yards with two touchdowns and four picks. He has had one touchdown pass and two picks in each of the first two weeks. Last week Bradford hit on just 23 of 37 passes against the Cowboys for 224 yards.

Philadelphia Eagles RB:

DeMarco Murray

It has been a poor start for the former Dallas Cowboys running back. He has 21 carries this year for just 11 yards and a touchdown. In the passing game Murray had caught nine balls for 22 yards.

Darren Sproles

The veteran back has just six carries for 46 yards and a touchdown. He is second on the club with 11 catches for 99 yards and five first down gains.

Philadelphia Eagles WR:

Jordan Matthews

There has not been much production from this unit as a whole. Matthews has 16 receptions for 182 yards with a touchdown. He has two catches for over 20 yards.

New York Jets QB:

Ryan Fitzpatrick

The veteran signal caller has been under center for an injured Geno Smith. Fitzpatrick has hit on 63% of his throws for 423 yards with four touchdowns and two picks. Fitzpatrick has had his issues with bad interceptions during his career. In each of his two games this year he has thrown for two touchdowns and one pick.

New York Jets RB:

Chris Ivory

Ivory leads the club with 34 carries on the year for 148 yards and two touchdowns. Ivory is banged up and questionable with a quad injury.

Bilal Powell

Powell has 24 carries for 100 yards and two gains for twenty or greater yards. He struggled last week with 38 yards on 12 carries.

Posted in NFL