Patriots (5-1) vs Steelers (4-2)

What was shaping up as one of the marquee matchups of the season lost some of its luster when Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger suffered a torn meniscus last weekend. With Roethlisberger sidelined after undergoing surgery, the Steelers will host the New England Patriots in a matchup of division leaders on Sunday (Enter Contests).

The Patriots weathered a four-game suspension to quarterback Tom Brady, so they realize Pittsburgh still presents an imposing obstacle. They will be playing playing their third consecutive AFC North opponent, having dispatched Cincinnati and Cleveland by a combined 68-30 over the past two weeks. Likewise, the Steelers are facing a third straight team from the AFC East, following a rout of the New York Jets with a 30-15 loss at Miami last weekend.

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS

Sitting out the first month had no apparent negative effect on Brady, who has thrown for 782 yards with six touchdowns and zero interceptions while completing 76 percent of his passes in the first two games. He’s 6-2 against Pittsburgh with 22 scoring passes and three interceptions. Tight end Rob Gronkowski, hobbled by a hamstring injury that forced him to sit out two games, has come alive with a pair of 100-yard games since the return of Brady. He collected seven receptions for a career-high 162 yards and a touchdown in last week’s 35-17 win over Cincinnati. New England’s linebacker corps is riddled with injuries, although Dont’a Hightower was named the AFC Defensive Player of the Week.

ABOUT THE STEELERS

Backup quarterback Landry Jones, who appeared in seven games last season and struggled in a start at Kansas City, will be surrounded by plenty of talent. Among them are star wideout Antonio Brown and do-everything running back Le’Veon Bell. Brown tied for the league lead with 136 receptions last season and has 376 catches from 2013-15, but he has failed to find the end zone in 11 games without Roethlisberger. He possess a touchdown catch in all three career meetings against New England. Bell is averaging 5.5 yards per carry and has 20 receptions in his three games since returning from suspension and will likely carry a heavy workload. Pittsburgh’s defense ranks 30th against the pass (293.7 yards per game). The Steelers have won seven in a row at home.

Posted in NFL

Bills(1-2) vs Patriots  (3-0)

Coming off what could have been a season-saving victory, Rex Ryan prepares to match wits with his biggest rival when he leads the Buffalo Bills into a matchup against Bill Belichick and the host New England Patriots on Sunday (Enter Contest). Despite the absence of quarterback Tom Brady due to a four-game suspension, the unbeaten Patriots are in a familiar perch atop the AFC East.

About the Patriots

It’s unclear if Jimmy Garoppolo or rookie Jacoby Brissett, who are both dealing with injuries, will be under center for New England. They have not missed a beat since the beginning of the season. The team improved to 3-0 with a 27-0 demolition of Houston on Sept. 22. They’ve won 21 of their last 22 division home games.

Both Garoppolo (shoulder) and Brissett were limited in drills during Thursday’s practice. The prognosis of the offense was further muddled by the limited status of star tight end Rob Gronkowski (hamstring). Although he did not have a catch in his season debut against the Texans, Gronkowski is expected to be more involved against Buffalo. Running back LeGarrette Blount, who leads the NFL with 298 yards rushing and has scored four touchdowns, was named the AFC Offensive Player of the Month on Thursday. Wide receiver Danny Amendola had nine receptions for 117 yards in the last meeting against Buffalo.

New England’s defense is ranked in the middle of the pack. They’ve allowed an average of 90.3 yards rushing and 15.0 points per game. The Patriots won 23 of the past 25 meetings between the longtime division rivals, including a season sweep a year ago.

About the Bills

Buffalo rebounded from a pair of six-point losses with a dominating 33-18 victory over Arizona on Sunday. It was six days after Ryan fired offensive coordinator Greg Roman. The absence of star wideout Sammy Watkins forced Buffalo to rely on a ground game that produced 208 yards rushing versus Arizona. LeSean McCoy nearly matched his total from the first two weeks combined by rushing for 110 yards and a pair of touchdowns. He rushed for more than 80 yards in both matchups against New England last season.

Watkins was placed on injured reserve Friday, officially ruling him out for at least the next eight weeks. McCoy will be in line for another heavy workload. Buffalo’s defense came alive last week by registering five sacks and four interceptions. Ryan’s teams are 4-18 following a win since 2012.

Posted in NFL

Thursday Night Football

HOUSTON TEXANS (2-0) vs NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (2-0)

Houston Texans coach Bill O’Brien likely isn’t going to sob over the predicaments of former boss in New England Bill Belichick ahead of their matchup for Thursday Night Football game (Enter Contests) at Foxborough. The Patriots are expected to start third-round rookie Jacoby Brissett in spite of Tom Brady’s suspension and Jimmy Garoppolo’s shoulder injury. Brissett completed 6-of-9 passes for 92 yards in Sunday’s 31-24 victory over Miami, after Garoppolo went down.

Team’s Breakdown

All-star tight-end Rob Gronkowski has yet to make his season debut. He’s still bothered by a hamstring injury, but could be making his return to the lineup Thursday. Acquired from Chicago in March, Martellus Bennett has done a good job in place of Gronkowski. The nine-year veteran has played on all but two offensive snaps during the season’s initial two games. He reeled in a 20-yard touchdown on Sunday against Miami. Bruising running back LeGarrette Blount collected 193 yards and two touchdowns this season. He’ll look to stay healthy, especially against the team that landed him on the injured reserve last season.

 

After enduring the round and round of their own quarterback carousel last year, the Texans have welcomed the stability afforded by their expensive offseason acquisition Brock Osweiler. Signed to a four-year, $72 million contract, Osweiler was able build good chemistry with Pro Bowl selection DeAndre Hopkins and first-round rookie Will Fuller. While Hopkins leads the team with 12 receptions and two touchdowns, Fuller became the third wideout to start his NFL career with two straight 100-yard receiving games.

Running back Lamar Miller provides O’Brien with a constant presence in the backfield, as the offseason acquisition’s 53 carries are second only to Pittsburgh’s DeAngelo Williams (58) for most in the league. Defense has been the name of the game for Houston, which surrendered just 26 points (NFL third-best), 274.5 yards allowed (third-best) and 178.5 passing yards (fourth-best). Three-time NFL Defensive Player of the Year J.J. Watt earned 1.5 sacks in a 19-12 triumph over Kansas City last Sunday, while linebacker Whitney Mercilus has had two of them this season and 17 in his last 14 games overall.

Posted in NFL

Conference Championship Round Daily Fantasy Football Review

The Conference Championship round tasted bittersweet on multiple levels. As a fan of traditional Fantasy Football, Cam Newton’s 382 total yards and 4 touchdowns put the icing on his 2015 breakout cake, virtually guarantying SuperCam will be over drafted next season. I’ll be waiting on Quarterback once again next year, watching Cam, Russell Wilson and others being taken a round or two early, finding value in the later rounds.

The New England Patriots fan in me couldn’t help but notice the glaring weakness in both the running game and downfield passing game. James White did his best James White impression, looking good enough to contribute as a Daily Fantasy Football value player but requiring a big play or TD in order to help his team win in both an NFL and DFS matchup. White, who finished with a respectable 56 total yards and 5 receptions, allowed several downfield throws from Brady slip through his arms that may have changed the outcome for owners.

The NFL fan side of things couldn’t help but appreciate the drama of this season’s Peyton Manning journey coming to a head with a 2 touchdown, zero interception performance vs. his long time rival. Manning connected with the DFS value play of the day, Owen Daniels on both scores. Daniels presented owners with a cheap option at the TE position, enabling to spend up elsewhere.

As an avid DFS player and fan of sites like Fanpicks.com, Rob Gronkowski certainly returned value for me as the Chuck Norris of the NFL world hauled in 8 passes for 144 yards and a crucial touchdown late in the game. Gronk and Daily Fantasy Football fans have experienced a roller coaster relationship this season but he was without question the top Tight End going into the weekend and didn’t disappoint.

C.J. Anderson broke a 30 yard run in the second half which enabled him to slightly return value with his 90 total yards and 3 receptions. (Remember Ronnie Hillman?) Julian Edelman and Emmanuel Sanders both did just enough to not personally cost you your matchup but neither performed to the level DFS owners have come to expect. Edelman finished with 7 for 53 while Sanders hauled in 5 for 62.

The Greg Olsen and Cam stack has been a smart DFS play all year and this weekend it paid off yet again as Olsen came away with 6 receptions and 113 yards. The DFS tournament play of the week came in the form of, not former Arizona Cardinal Ted Ginn Jr. but of fellow wide out Corey Brown. Brown, aided by an 86 yarder, totaled 113 yards and a touchdown on 4 receptions.

Surprise Performances

Carson Palmer, QB, Arizona Cardinals

Palmer was absolutely dreadful on the day, reverting back to the player whom once upon a time was so easy to bet against. Palmer had the best season of his career in 2015 but for Arizona fans and DFS owners who placed faith in the quasi ginger, any positive memories we had disappeared like a fart in the wind as Palmer threw interception after interception, finishing with 4 in total.

David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals

Johnson was widely considered to be a safe play this weekend due to volume but more than delivered on that label, especially in PPR formats. Johnson finished with 9 receptions and a touchdown to go along with his 128 total yards as he finished a clear number one at the RB position this weekend. The Panthers defense was enough of a threat to consider fading Johnson in tournaments but that strategy failed, miserably, just like our next group.

The Arizona Cardinals Wide Receivers

Terrible.

Posted in NFL

AFC Conference Championship Recap –

New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos

 

The defending Super Bowl champs came to Denver this weekend with almost a full receiving staff after being hampered by injuries early in the year. However, their run game was severely lacking after losing main starters Dion Lewis and Legarette Blount early in the year. Denver, with arguably the strongest pass defense in the league, was ready for this passing front of the Patriots and were able to shut down the attack.

 

Tom Brady had a very uncharacteristic poor QBR of only 22 going 27/56 and throwing 2 interceptions. He managed 310 passing yards and a passing touchdown, generating decent fantasy value of 17 fantasy points. However, in a two game slate like this weekend, if you are going to win your daily fantasy tournament, you have to make all the right picks, and Tom Brady did not have a spot on that winning lineup.

 

However, that doesn’t mean all the Pats should have been avoided. Rob Gronkowski led the list of tight ends for the week with 8 receptions for 144 receiving yards and a receiving touchdown (a key touchdown late in the game). This brought his fantasy point total to 31.4 fantasy points.

 

He was not the only tight end to put up big numbers. On the other side of the ball, Owen Daniels caught 2 passes for 33 yards and 2 touchdowns. Although his total was only 17.3 fantasy points, he costs you far less than Gronk, actually delivering more value.

Posted in NFL

New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos 1/24/16 Preview & Picks

  • At 3:05 pm, Tom Brady and his New England Patriots will face-off with Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos. 

Tom Brady is one of the greatest, if not the greatest quarterback of all-time. Peyton Manning is one of the greatest, if not the greatest quarterback of all-time. Tom Brady is in the running for 2015 league MVP. Peyton Manning is starting for the second consecutive week after taking the job back from Brock Osweiler. My Point? The Patriots will go as far as Brady takes them. The Broncos will go as far as their defense takes them.

While I don’t expect Julian Edelman or Brandon LaFell to beat those long, rangy Denver CBs over the top, Edelman has the potential to catch a ton of short, underneath passes. He’s definitely a WR1,  as Brady could easily target him 12+ times in such an important game. Something along the lines of 10 catches for 110 yards and a TD could be what you’re looking at in return of the high price tag. It would be a surprise to me if LaFell can muster up anything DFS relevant in his matchup against Harris Jr. (though battling an injury) and Talib.

Danny Amendola working the slot has a much better shot at putting up a big game than the Patriots official #2 wideout. Though he only caught two balls on three targets last week and has been limited in practice due to a knee injury all week, he provides the same kind of quick twitch inside ability as Edelman does, which is how you want to attack this stout defense.

Finally, the man you all want to hear about: Rob Grrrrronkowski. Gronk could have a MONSTER game here. With the ferocious pass-rushing ability that the Broncos possess, Bill Belichick will want to feature his star TE up the seam to take the pressure off Tom Brady. There is no better way to keep the linebackers at home than to force them to drop into coverage because the Gronk is just destroying you. Maybe he won’t have monster yardage, but I’m banking on two TDs on Sunday.

Steven Jackson definitely won’t be a DFS factor, so James White is the Pats back to own. His pass-caching ability on swings, screens and checkdowns will also be instrumental in slowing down Demarcus Ware, Von Miller and co. He should have his fair share of chances to make plays.

 

On the home team’s side, the Sheriff Peyton Manning will need to execute flawlessly to lead his Broncos to the Super Bowl contest. Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders will need to bust out some major YAC’s to spearhead this attack, while CJ Anderson and Ronnie Hillman churn out chunks on the ground.

Demaryius Thomas will face a big matchup with Patriots CB Logan Ryan. Ryan shut him down in Week 12, with three pass breakups and as Brock Osweiler went 1-of-8 for 36 yards when targeting Thomas. He is a big target and constant red-zone threat, but isn’t always the dominant factor you’re looking for.

Sanders most likely will be face-to-face with Super Bowl hero Malcolm Butler on Sunday. The very same Butler that he beat deep in November when he piled up 113 yards. His work in tight and quickness allow him to get separation against a tight Patriots D, and he works hard to run after the catch and eat up yardage.

CJ Anderson and Hillman are always a toss up, but Anderson had his best game of the year against New England with 113 yards of his own and two TDs. The run game can be inconsistent, but the Broncos need it to be on point on Sunday.

Advice: Brady, Gronkowski, Sanders, Edelman, and Anderson should be the top performers. Of course that comes with a hefty price tag, so discounts like James White could be the key to your DFS victory.

Posted in NFL

NFL Conference Championships Stacks

 

With only a two game slate, it is key to identify and pick the best stack of the weekend to have any chance of placing in a NFL Daily Fantasy Tournament. Its down to the favorites and when everyone has strong defenses, every stack has the potential for boom or bust. For that reason you need to pick based on ownership rather than projection.

 

Lets look at the stacks:

 

Palmer and Fitz:

 

Coming off a hot performance last week, I think this will be one of the highest owned stacks of the weekend. Don’t get me wrong, Larry Fitzgerald is one of the most clutch playoff performers, however and he has great synergy with Palmer right now. But he performed too well last week and I don’t think he will do that again. If he does then the Cardinals will move on to the Super Bowl but the Panthers are just too strong. However, many others people may agree that it is not a great matchup, which can bring the ownership down. My verdict: FADE.

 

Newton and Olsen:

 

The biggest indicator of a players ownership is their performance the previous week. People just love to make their picks on what is the most fresh in their mind, and whats fresh in their mind here is Newton’s disappointment last week— of course I mean fantasy wise… the Panthers had a great game against the Seahawks last week. While the potential MVP will never be lowly owned, I do think he will be lower than normal and the Newton Olsen connection has great upside potential. My verdict: PICK.

 

Brady and Gronk/Edelman:

 

You can go either way with this stack. Edelman will rack up the targets, receptions, and yardage a bit faster but Gronk is the superior red zone threat. They as well as Brady had a great game last weekend. However, they are facing a much stronger defense here. In terms of ownership, I expect them to be highly owned, and rightfully so with more playoff experience than any other team. I’m avoiding it however for a lower owned stack with a higher upside. My verdict: FADE.

 

Manning and Thomas/Sanders:

 

We have seen very little out of Peyton Manning this year. He has had good and bad game play performances but he has had all bad fantasy performances. Their team has adopted a different style of offense which has destroyed his ability to put up big numbers. Thomas and Sanders have had their moments with Oswieller running the offense, but not Manning. I think this will be the lowest owned stack of the week— which makes it the stack with the most potential profit. Usually you only want to stack with one receiver but in a week with such few options, I don’t mind tossing both of them in there to hedge you’re bets a little bit. You shouldn’t expect these players to put up big numbers but when you are picking based on ownership— in the slight chance they do, you may win big. My verdict: PICK.

Posted in NFL

NFL Divisional Round Weekend Recap

 

Kansas City at New England

 

With the return of Edelman and Gronkowski, the Patriots show that they are still a Super Bowl threat. Although the final score was 27-20, Patriots, they were far more in control of the game than that indicated. Brady had a solid day with 302 passing yards, 2 passing touchdowns, and a rushing touchdown, totaling 29 fantasy points on the day.

 

Gronkowski led the league at tight end this weekend catching 2 touchdowns on 7 receptions for 83 yards. This brought his total to 25.3 fantasy points, back to his usual numbers after some disappointments throughout this season. Edelman also returned from injury with no hiccups as he caught 10 passes for 100 yards and a total of 23 fantasy points.

 

All the fantasy value however was centered around the Pats in this game, you weren’t going to win any NFL cash drafts this weekend by loading up on Chiefs players.

 

Green Bay at Arizona

 

 This game had plenty of fantasy value to be found in both likely and unlikely places. The big surprise of this game was Jeff Janis for the Packers with a breakout performance of 7 receptions for 145 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns—36.5 fantasy points.

 

The Palmer and Fitzgerald stack also produced some serious numbers as Palmer threw for 349 passing yards and 3 passing touchdowns for 27 fantasy points (after subtracting his 2 interceptions) and Fitz had 8 receptions for 176 yards and a touchdown—34.6 fantasy points.


Seattle at Carolina

 

This game lacked both the competitiveness and the low scoring defensive battle that was expected. Carolina went up big in the first half with Jonathan Stewart scoring 2 touchdowns and running for 106 rushing yards. Cam Newton had the lowest scores of the season however with only 161 passing yards and a touchdown giving him about 11 fantasy points.

 

Despite the loss, there was a lot of garbage time value to be found from the Seahawks as they tried to rally in the second half. Russell Wilson led the quarterback for the weekend with 366 passing yards and 3 passing touchdowns. The big receiver to pair him with was Jermaine Kearse as he caught 11 passes for 110 passing yards and 2 touchdowns— 37 fantasy points.


Pittsburgh at Denver

 

This game was lacking the competitiveness from the start with Antonio Brown ruled out and Big Ben questionable. Ben took the field however and found Martavis Bryant to fill that top receiver role as Bryant tallied 9 receptions for 154 receiving yards as well as 40 yards rushing—31.4 fantasy points.

 

Denver came out ahead in terms of the game but in the fantasy world, CJ Anderson was the only worthwhile pick for Denver. He ran for 72 yards, got a touchdown, and 2 receptions for 14 fantasy points to lead his team.

Posted in NFL

Kansas City Chiefs versus New England Patriots NFL Playoffs Real Money Fantasy Picks 1-16-2016

 

The NFL Divisional Round of the playoffs get underway on Saturday as the AFC conference is featured when the New England Patriots host the Kansas City Chiefs. Fantasy football draft GM’s can tune to CBS TV on January 16th at 4:35PM Eastern Time from New England to track the scoring results of their one day leagues.

 

Kansas City was in action for the AFC Wildcard game last week while the Patriots got a much needed week of rest to get healthy with a bye week. The Chiefs carry an 11 game win streak as they blew out the Houston Texans 30-0. KC has put up some weak passing numbers this season and have gotten enough production from their run game to sit 9th in scoring offense by averaging 25.3 points per game. It has been the defense that has been outstanding for Kansas City They are seventh in total defense and sit third in the NFL in scoring defense by giving up only 17.9 points per game. In their victory against the Texans last week the Chiefs held the Texans to only 226 yards of offense and forced five turnovers by picking off Brian Hoyer four times.

 

New England has been hit hard on the injury front to their playmakers in the passing game. The good news is the team has upgraded Julian Edelman to probable on Sunday. Tom Brady had a high ankle sprain in Week 17 and reports are he is improving and will play. The point total for New England has sank in recent games as they have put up a total of 30 points total in their past two games at the Jets and Dolphins. They are 2-4 entering the playoffs.

 

Kansas City Chiefs QB

 

Alex Smith

 

It’s amazing during the passing era that Alex Smith has not thrown for 200 yards or greater in six straight games all resulting in wins. He has passed for multiple touchdown throws in four of his past seven games.

 

Kansas City Chiefs RB

 

Charcandrick West

 

West is the leading rusher for the Chiefs but it is running back by committee in KC and there is no value in picking one of their running backs in daily or head to head leagues.

 

Kansas City Chiefs WR

 

Jeremy Maclin

 

The former Philadelphia Eagle leads the Chiefs with 87 catches for 1088 yards and eight touchdowns. Problem is Maclin has a high ankle sprain and is questionable.

 

Kansas City Chiefs TE:

 

Travis Kelce

 

Kelce came up big for the Chiefs in their win at Houston. The tight end caught eight balls for 128 yards last week in the AFC Wildcard game. He averaged 16.0 yards per catch in the win. But with Maclin hurt expect the Patriots to game plan to contain Kelce in this spot which leaves Alex Smith few options in the passing game.

 

New England Patriots QB

 

Tom Brady

 

Interesting to see how his high ankle sprain will impact Brady’s ability to throw deep in this game. He has thrown for 231 yards or fewer in three of his past four games and faces a strong defense in the Chiefs.

 

New England Patriots RB

 

Brandon Bolden

 

With numerous injuries in the Patriots backfield Bolden has seen time in the backfield for the Patriots. But he is not trusted to get enough carries in this game to add to a roster.

 

New England Patriots TE:

 

Rob Gronkowski

 

The Patriots veteran tight end leads the team with 72 catches for 1176 yards and 11 touchdowns. Look for Gronkowski to be heavily targeted in this game like he always is. Teams know that Gronk will get passes yet opposing defenses have trouble defending the big man.

 

New England Patriots K

 

Stephen Gostkowski

 

Gostkowski has been money for New England on the year. He is a perfect 52 of 52 on extra points and has been successful in 33 of 36 field goal tries. The Patriots place kicker figures to get many chances in this game because of the high quality of play from the KC defense this year.

 

NFL Playoffs Football Fantasy League Picks

 

QB: Tom Brady (Patriots)

TE: Rob Gronkowski (Patriots)

K: Stephen Gostkowski (Patriots)

Posted in NFL

NFL Week 17 Recap

Pittsburgh Punches their Ticket

The Steelers earned their spot in the playoffs with their victory against the Browns this weekend. Their playoff hopes had less to do with beating the Browns however and more to do with the Jets losing against the Bills. Antonio Brown had his normal huge performance with 13 receptions, 187 receiving yards, and a receiving touchdown. Although he threw 2 interceptions, Big Ben still had a solid fantasy day with 349 passing yards and 3 passing touchdowns (Antonio Brown, Marcus Wheaton, and Heath Miller). They lost running back Deangelo Williams early on in the game. If he is not healthy for the playoffs, Pittsburgh’s offensive game will be very one dimensional.

The Patriots Struggle

New England had already secured their spot in the playoffs and the division win, but this weekend they still had the AFC championship home field advantage on the line. They appeared to be putting in full effort for that goal with Brady taking the field. However, nothing seemed to be working in their offense. The offensive line provided Brady very little time to work with and lead receivers Amendola and Gronkowski caught only 2 passes each for minimal yardage. The lack of protection resulted in Brady leaving the game late and being replaced by Garoppolo. Things are not looking positive for the Pats going into the playoffs.

Houston Defense Dominates

JJ Watt is back and the Houston Defense is hitting their stride. They had a huge 8 sacks in their season leading fantasy performance (27 fantasy points). They had two interceptions, 2 forced fumbles, and a pick 6 while only allowing 6 points scored from the Ravens. Its a good time for them to be coming around too with their 9-7 record earning them the AFC South champions and a spot in the playoffs.

The Sheriff returns to the Field

This season has seemed to be a disaster for Peyton Manning. His body betrayed him in his final NFL season and when he was healthy enough to return, his job had been taken by Brock Osweiler. However, he had a chance to return to the field late in this week 17 game against the Chargers. He looked like his old self out there and potentially may have earned the starting spot in the playoffs. The Broncos have a week off which may be just what Peyton needs to be 100 percent ready to go.

Carolina Coasts it in

The Panthers didn’t have much of a problem getting the win over the Bucs. Their defense shut the Bucs to only 10 points while Cam Newton passed for almost 300 yards, 2 passing touchdowns, and ran a couple goal line touchdowns in himself. Carolina doesn’t seem to have any weaknesses going into the playoffs.

Seahawks take the top of the rankings

With a blowout victory this weekend over the top ranked Cardinals, the Seahawks are the top ranked team going into the playoffs. They have been getting better and better as the season goes and with the return of Marshawn Lynch for the playoffs, they seem unstoppable.

Posted in NFL

NFL Fantasy Draft News 1-3-2016

New England Patriots versus Miami Dolphins NFL Fantasy Real Money Preview 1-3-2016

Two AFC East division rivals meet in Week 17 as the Miami Dolphins will host the New England Patriots. NFL fantasy football draft managers can tune to CBS TV on Sunday January 3rd at 1PM Eastern Time to track the scoring results of their one day real money leagues.

New England has plenty on the line as they travel to Miami on Sunday. With a victory the Patriots will earn home field advantage for the entire AFC playoffs. Despite suffering through numerous injuries to their wide receiver position the New England Patriots are still sitting second in the NFL in passing offense as they throw for 297 yards per game. They don’t run the ball very much at 89 yards average per game which is 29th in the league.

The Miami Dolphins have the look of a team that will not show up to play on Sunday. Many of their coaches on the staff will likely not return for next season including the interim head coach. The defense has not performed well for Miami as the team sits 27th in the league by allowing 388 yards per game. Facing teams in recent games with opponents starting quarterback uninjured; the Dolphins surrendered 30 points at San Diego, 31 points to the New York Giants, 38 points at the New York Jets, 33 points at Buffalo and 36 points in their first meeting against the Patriots.

Here are the Fantasy Football Picks

The Patriots tight end Rob Gronkowski is heavily targeted in the passing game by Tom Brady. Everyone knows that Gronkowski will be getting tons of passes his way but opponents have very little success defending the big tight end. He had one of his best games of 2015 against the Miami Dolphins with six catches for 113 yards and a touchdown averaging 18.8 yards per reception. With the Dolphins appearing to checking out on the season look for Gronkowski to put up some huge numbers on Sunday for daily fantasy league roster owners.

Play Rob Gronkowski

New England Patriots TE

New Orleans Saints versus Atlanta Falcons NFL Fantasy Preview 1-3-2016

The Atlanta Falcons will look to finish their season with a winning record as they host the New Orleans Saints. These NFC South rivals get things going from Atlanta at 1PM Eastern Time and DFS draft GMs can tune to FOX TV to follow the results of their fantasy football roster picks.

The Atlanta Falcons appear as a team that has not given up on their season. Rookie head coach Dan Quinn can finish with a winning 9-7 record with a victory against one of their hated rivals on Sunday at the Georgia Dome. The Falcons sit sixth in the NFL in passing offense by tossing for 270 yards per game.

The Saints are going through another down season by entering the finale with a 6-9 record. The play on defense has been atrocious as they sit 31st by allowing 413 yards per game. New Orleans is 32nd and worst in the NFL in scoring defense as they give up 30.6 points per game to their opponents. In recent games the Saints allowed 47 at Washington, 41 home to Carolina and 35 points home to Detroit.

Here are the Fantasy Football Picks

Atlanta wide receiver Julio Jones is having a fantastic year with 127 catches for 1722 yards and eight touchdowns. He had 178 receiving yards last week at home to Carolina.

Play Julio Jones

Atlanta Falcons WR

Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan will look to close the season in high style with some stat padding to his 2015 campaign. Ryan has thrown for 4257 yards and 19 touchdowns and is licking his chops to pass against a bad Saints defense.

Play Matt Ryan

Atlanta Falcons QB

Posted in NFL

NFL Fantasy Draft News 12-25-2015

New England Patriots versus New York Jets NFL Real Money Fantasy Preview 12-27-2015

Two AFC East division rivals meet in Week 16 as the New York Jets will meet the New England Patriots. NFL fantasy football GMs can tune to CBS TV on Sunday December 27th at 1PM Eastern Time to track the scoring results of their one day real money roster picks.

After six straight games being held under 30 points the New England Patriots put up 33 points on a bad Tennessee Titans team. The Patriots have been hit hard with injuries to their wide receiver and running back position that has impacted fantasy value on their playmakers.

The Jets have had four straight good defensive performances. They held Tennessee to eight points two weeks ago and last week held the Cowboys to just 16 points. But those results came against poor offensive teams. In the first meeting with New England it was New York allowing 30 points to the Patriots in a loss. The Patriots simply abandoned the run in that contest with Tom Brady passing for 355 yards and two touchdowns. Everyone knew that Rob Gronkowski was going to be heavily targeted yet he led the Patriots with 11 catches for 108 yards and a touchdown.

Here are the Fantasy Football Picks

Don’t expect the Patriots to waste downs running the ball on the Jets defense. New York had trouble covering Rob Gronkowski. He has touchdown receptions in three straight and 8 of his 13 games played this season.

Play Rob Gronkowski

New England Patriots TE

Green Bay Packers versus Arizona Cardinals NFL Fantasy Preview 12-20-2015

A battle between playoff contenders as the Arizona Cardinals will meet the Green Bay Packers. DFS draft managers can tune to FOX at 4:25PM Eastern Time on Sunday December 27th to follow the results of their roster picks.

The Arizona Cardinals have the top offense in the NFL as they average 422 yards per game. They are second best in the league by putting up 32 points per game. They are coming off a 40 point performance last week in a win at Philadelphia.

Green Bay is in a back to back road trip out west in this spot. The 30 points put up on the Raiders last week were greatly aided by Oakland turnovers. Arizona has played clean this season. The location is key here in a climate controlled stadium in Arizona instead of the cold December weather of Green Bay.

Here are the Fantasy Football Picks

Carson Palmer has been healthy this year and is putting up some quality numbers this season. He has completed 64.3% of his throws for 4277 yards with 32 touchdowns and nine picks. He has thrown touchdown passes in 13 of his 14 games this season. Palmer has multiple touchdown passes in ten games with games with three touchdowns or greater in six. The past two home games for Carson Palmer came against good defensive teams. He passed for 310 yards and two touchdown passes against Minnesota and had 317 yards passing with four touchdowns in a Week 11 win against Cincinnati. He faced another good defensive team but this time on the road to Seattle where he threw for 363 yards and three touchdowns.

Play on Carson Palmer

Arizona Cardinals QB

Second year wide receiver Josh Brown is showing improvement with the Arizona Cardinals in 2015. He is way ahead of his numbers from a season ago mainly due to the fact that Carson Palmer has played every game. Brown is the deep threat who has caught 58 passes this year for 933 yards with six touchdowns. He is averaging 16.1 yards per catch this season. With the run game producing for Arizona and with an intermediate route runner in Larry Fitzgerald lingering in pass patterns it will open the field for big plays for Brown.

Play on Josh Brown

Arizona Cardinals WR

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Week 16 Value Picks

Quarterback

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The shootout of the weekend should be between Jacksonville and New Orleans, assuming Drew Brees is healthy enough to take the field after tearing his plantar last week (the same injury Peyton Manning is struggling with). These two quarterbacks love to throw the ball and their defenses love to let the ball be thrown. I give Bortles the fantasy edge though since the Saints defense is more flawed fundamentally and Bortles just loves to throw the ball way down the field.

Kirk Cousins could be a great value pick this weekend as well. He has been on fire lately and we see the weapons he has in Jordan Reed and DeSean Jackson (even Alfred Morris as well). Thats not even considering the fact that the Eagles secondary is great at making any quarterback look like Tom Brady out there.

Running Back

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As you can see from the above, there are not many great options at running back this week with the highest projected running back as Doug Martin (CHI @ TB) with only 20.6 projected points. You can spend the money at Running back if you wish and go with the likes of Doug Martin (CHI @ TB) and Matt Forte (CHI @ TB) in what should be a run off, or you can save your money for the higher value at the Receiver position and go for the bargain picks of Darren Sproles (WAS @ PHI), Tim Hightower (JAX @ NO), Christine Michael (STL @ SEA), or Ameer Abdullah (SF @ DET).

Wide Receiver

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The stack of the week should be Allen Robinson and Blake Bortles against the Saints. There is no denying that the Big Ben and Antonio Brown connection has been unstoppable this year, no matter what the matchup. He is going to cost you a pretty penny but fading Antonio Brown may just kill your chances of winning big, as it has plenty of weekends this year already.

Or you can go with Doug Baldwin who has scored over 10 touchdowns in the past 4 weeks. Can he keep this streak going against the Rams? I’m saying yes, not that he will score another 3 touchdowns, but he should be able to haul in 1 or 2 providing some good fantasy value. Seattle doesn’t seem to be stopping this charge until the season ends.

If you are trying to find a cheap value receiver to fill that last spot in your lineup with limited funds, you can look to Jeremy Maclin (CLE @ KC), John Brown (GB @ ARI), Michael Floyd (GB @ ARI), Willie Snead (JAX @ NO), Bradon Cooks (JAX @ NO), or Golden Tate (SF @ DET).

Tight End

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The tight end decision has been made easier in the previous couple weeks with Gronk out. Up until then the decision was go for Gronk, accept the 50+% ownership and $7000+ price tag and hope its his week, or choose from the list of alternative tight ends. The Gronk versus the field decision is back. This week it is easy though.

Gronk has not shown his dominance of previous years this season and is only projected about 1 point higher than the Saints‘ Benjamin Watson. The value picks here are Ebron and Kelce. Kelce has been stagnated slightly since his explosive start to the season and his salary reflects that decline. However, he has high end potential against the Browns, which is what you are going to need to win any big NFL Daily Fantasy Tournament. Ebron as well has shown brilliance at times this year and is getting more action lately with Calvin Johnson all of the sudden becoming obsolete in their offense. Ebron comes much cheaper than the other highly projected options and allows you to spend the cash where you want this week, with the receivers.

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