Wild Card Stacks to Look Out For

Antonio Brown and Ben Roethlisberger

STAY AWAY FROM THIS STACK. At least for tournaments. This has been the most valuable stack all this year and in most likelihood, will be the best stack this weekend as well. But everybody is thinking that, and I expect the ownership on both of these players to be upwards of 50 percent. For those of you who aren’t DFS experts out there, high ownership is a bad thing. Think about it this way. If you stack the Steelers, just like all of your opponents, and they do well, then your still on the same level as 80 percent of your opponents and not guaranteed to win much money. However, if they have a bad game and you avoid that stack, they you are already ahead of 80 percent of your opponents and in the running to win some big money. So take my advice here, and avoid the Steelers if you are playing in a tournament type of contest.

Kirk Cousins and Jordan Reed

This may be another highly owned stack, not quite as high as the steelers but Reed and Cousins have shown how dangerous they can be together with multiple games this season with 2 receiving touchdowns by Reed. The Skins are facing the struggling Packers as well. Cousins’ aggressive play gives him a very high fantasy upside.

Aaron Rodgers and James Jones/Randall Cobb/Richard Rodgers

Its hard to figure out who is going to be Aaron Rodgers’ favorite target each game. From week to week it can be any of the three, personally, I give the edge to James Jones since he always seems to get the long balls and red zone threats. Nobody is expecting much from Rodgers after a lackluster season so far but he has been here before, and he will show up for the playoffs. This is my favorite stack for the weekend, you just have to decide for yourself which receiver you think is going to get the targets.

Alex Smith and Jeremy Maclin

This stack could be valuable as the synergy between these two has been very solid as of late. Maclin seems to have taken over as Smith’s favorite receiver. However, facing the Houston defense may be a difficult task and it seems like the Chiefs have taken on a run first offense. You can guarantee the ownership will be lower on this stack than most other stacks so there is a high upside, but the matchup is not great. If you are entering multiple lineups, maybe throw this stack in one of them and roll the dice.

Posted in NFL

Week 15 Stacks to Watch Out For

Carolina Panthers versus the Giants

No need to tell you how unstoppable the Panthers have been this year. Newton is the frontrunner in the MVP race and their winning record speaks for itself. However, they may be missing their star tight end Greg Olsen, who left the game early with a knee injury. Weather he plays or not, he may be a risky pick. If Olsen is limited that will mean more targets for Ginn and Funchess, especially Ginn who has shown he has the speed to separate from defenders and get open for a long ball.

The primary reason this stack looks so promising however is more about their matchup. The Giants have by far been the weakest at against defending the pass this year allowing an average of 314.5 passing yards per game this year, far more than the second place on this list (Steelers at 279 passing yards per game).

Packers Stack

If you are looking for a stack that may be less owned (more upside in a tournament) the Packers may be your choice. While Aaron Rodgers has been struggling lately and the Packers were all run game last weekend, we all know what Aaron Rodgers is capable of with that offense. The Raiders, while weak against both, are better at defending the run than the pass, allowing an average of 271 passing yards per game this year (putting them 5th on that list) but are 12 on lowest rushing yards allowed with just over 100 per game.

James Jones and Randall Cobb are the best picks as far as receivers go. Cobb is a definite favorite target of Rodgers’ and he always seems to be able to find Jones for a long ball. While Richard Rodgers is a red zone threat, I doubt he will be able to match his 2 touchdown performance from 2 weeks ago and he doesn’t get many targets otherwise.

Cardinals Stack

Another matchup that has serious potential is the Arizona Cardinals against the Eagles. The Eagles have been struggling to stop the pass this year and Carson Palmer and his receivers have been red hot. While Larry Fitzgerald has been quite as of late, he is the veteran of this team and always shows up in the clutch. However, the Eagles real weakness lies in their secondary, typically leaving the long ball open. This is where John Brown and Michael Floyd generate their value. Each had a long touchdown last week against the Vikings for over 40 yards and with their speed, they will have no problem getting open down the field against Philly’s pass defense.

Posted in NFL

Green Bay Packers versus Detroit Lions Thursday Night Football Real Money League Fantasy Picks 12-3-2015

Thursday Night Football will feature NFC North rivals as the Detroit Lions will be hosting the Green Bay Packers. NFL fantasy league GM’s can tune to CBS TV on December 3rd at 8:30PM Eastern Time to follow the results of their DFS roster picks.

 

In their first of two meetings this season back on November 15th it was a very low scoring game as the Lions earned the 18-16 road victory to the Packers. The Lions put up a very good defensive effort in their win as the Detroit offense generated just 287 yards in their win. The run game produced very little with 45 yards rushing on 26 carries. Matthew Stafford had a good game hitting on 24 of 38 throws for 242 yards with two touchdowns and a pick. Aaron Rodgers threw a high volume of passes in the loss as he went 35 of 61 for 333 yards and two touchdowns. Packers too had no success on the ground with 47 yards rushing on 18 carries.

 

The Lions are playing their best football of the season as they enter on a three game win streak to move their record to 4-7. This all came since the bye week when the team made changes to their assistant coaching staff. Lions have defended much better by allowing no greater than 16 points to their three opponents during this win streak. They had a very good performance last week in their 45-14 home victory to the Philadelphia Eagles. The Lion offense had 430 yards with 322 passing and 108 on the ground. Detroit executed very well inside the red zone last week going a perfect 6 of 6 in those situations.

 

The Green Bay Packers are 7-4 and has lost three of their past four games since their bye week after a 17-13 defeat last week at home to the Chicago Bears. The Packers offense had 365 yards in the loss and was balanced as they rushed for 177 yards. Where they struggled was in the red zone and with turnovers. The team was 0 of 2 in the red zone and had a -2 turnover margin. Aaron Rodgers has not been able to make the big play as the team has struggled with impact wide receiver Jordy Nelson on the sidelines with a season long injury.

 

Green Bay Packers QB:

 

Aaron Rodgers

 

The veteran signal caller has completed 52% or fewer throws in three of his past four games. Last week Rodgers hit on 51.2% of his throws for 202 yards with a touchdown and pick.

 

Green Bay Packers RB:

 

Eddie Lacy

 

Lacy has taken some criticism as he looks like he has put on some weight and looks out of shape. He had 105 rushing yards last week on 17 carries for his second straight 100 yard game.

 

Green Bay Packers WR:

 

Randall Cobb

 

The Packers veteran wide out leads the team with 58 catches for 627 yards with six touchdowns. Cobb is only averaging 11.8 yards per catch on the year which is well below the 14 yards per catch average he had in his past two seasons with the team. Cobb has just two touchdown receptions over his past eight games.

 

Detroit Lions QB:

 

Matthew Stafford

 

Stafford is completing 65% of his throws this year for 2944 yards with 20 touchdowns and 12 picks. Last week in the win against Philadelphia Stafford hit on 71% of his passes for 337 yards with five touchdowns.

 

Detroit Lions RB:

 

Ameer Abdullah

 

The rookie running back has 96 rushes for 347 yards with a touchdown. He is averaging 3.6 yards per carry on the year. In their win against the Eagles, Abdullah had 16 carries for 63 yards. His rushing touchdown came in week one and he has none since.

 

Detroit Lions WR:

 

Calvin Johnson

 

The veteran wide receiver leads the Lions with 67 catches for 921 yards with six touchdowns. He is averaging a career worst 13.7 yards per catch. Johnson had a big game in the win against the Eagles on Thanksgiving with eight receptions for 93 yards with three touchdowns.

 

NFL Thursday Night Football Fantasy League Picks

 

 

QB: Matthew Stafford (Lions)

RB: Eddie Lacy (Packers)

WR: Calvin Johnson (Lions)

Posted in NFL

NFL Fantasy Football Draft News 10-4-2015

Green Bay Packers versus San Francisco 49ers NFL Fantasy Preview 10-4-2015

The San Francisco 49ers returns home as they meet the Green Bay Packers on Sunday afternoon. NFL fantasy draft GM’s can tune to FOX TV on October 4th at 4:25PM Eastern Time to follow the results on their roster picks.

The Packers are off to a 3-0 start to the season and will be playing on a short week after a home victory on Monday Night Football to the Kansas City Chiefs by the score of 38-28. Green Bay has been high scoring this year putting up no less than 27 points to any one opponent. The team ranks fourth best in points scored at 32 a game. They are eighth best in total yards as they gain 377 yards per contest. In their home win to KC the Packers opened up an early 24-7 halftime lead. They finished the game with 448 yards of offense and went 4 of 5 inside the red zone. At issue for the Packers defense is they did surrender four touchdowns to Kansas City in all four of their red zone opportunities.

The San Francisco 49ers limp home at 1-2 after dropping two straight games by huge margins on the road. In week two they travel to Pittsburgh and get walloped 43-18. Then the following week they head to division rivals the Arizona Cardinals and are crushed 47-7 in a disheartening defeat. It is very rare in the NFL to see a professional team get beat down in back to back games. There is usually a positive response from a team the following week after a bad loss. It didn’t happen and that causes some red flags around this 49ers team and making matters worse they employ a rookie head coach who could be losing some of the team in the process. In their loss last week to the Cardinals the 49ers were down 31-7 at the half. They gained just 156 yards for the entire game while allowing Arizona 446 offensive yards. The 49ers turned the ball over four times and had a -3 turnover margin for the game.

Green Bay Packers QB:

Aaron Rodgers

The Packers signal caller has completed 73% of his throws this year for 771 yards with ten touchdowns and no picks. Last week against the Chiefs Rodgers threw for 333 yards and had five touchdown passes with no picks.

Green Bay Packers RB:

Eddie Lacy

Lacy had ten carries against Kansas City for 46 yards. He contributed on Monday Night Football in the passing game catching three balls for 41 yards. He was forced to leave the game in week two against the Seahawks with an ankle injury so his workload was light in week three.

Jason Starks

The veteran back had 39 carries for 129 yards and no touchdowns. Starks is running for just 3.3 yards on the year. He got the bulk of the work last week with 17 carries for 32 yards but had a very poor 1.9 yards a carry average. If Lacy is healthy he should get the bulk of the carries in this spot unless there is a Packers blowout then Starks would see significant work in the second half.

Green Bay Packers WR:

Randall Cobb

Cobb leads the team with 20 catches for 245 yards with four touchdowns. He had three touchdown catches on Monday night.

San Francisco 49ers QB:

Colin Kaepernick

The fifth year quarterback is coming off one of his worst days as a pro last week by passing for 67 yards on 9 of 19 completions and four interceptions.

San Francisco 49ers RB:

Carlos Hyde

Hyde has got the bulk of the work at running back and has 54 carries for 262 yards and two touchdowns. After a 168 yard rushing performance in week one against the Vikings with 6.5 yards per run average, Hyde has averaged 3.3 yards a carry at Pittsburgh and 3.4 yards a carry at Arizona.

San Francisco 49ers WR:

Torrey Smith

Smith had a nice performance against the Steelers in week two with six catches for 120 yards and a touchdown. In week one and three he combined for just one catch.

Posted in NFL

Fantasy Football Best Picks – Week 4

It’s time for week 4 of one week fantasy football. The New England Patriots and the Tennessee Titans will enter their bye week. So for those who expected to pick Rob Gronkowski to fill their tight end position will need to find a new plan. Here are your fantasy football hot picks of the week:

QB Aaron Rodgers – Green Bay Packers

Season: 771 Pass Yds, 10 TDs, 74 Rush Yds

He currently leads quarterbacks in all major fantasy football categories. Rodgers is just that good. He has scored 5 touchdown last week against the Kansas City Chiefs. It’s the amount he had for the first two game of the season. He’s just too good to pass on.

RB Darren McFadden – Dallas Cowboys

Season: 82 Rush Yds, 1 TD, 40 Rec Yds, 3 Rec

McFadden had 35 yards and a touchdown last week. It was his best rushing game yet.

RB Lamar Miller – Miami Dolphins

Season: 105 Rush Yds, 77 Rec Yds, 9 Rec

Miller has been dealing with an ankle injury last week, but he still played a nice game against Buffalo. A solid game against the Jets could be what the doctor ordered.

WR Randall Cobb – Green Bay Packers

Season: 245 Rec Yds, 4 TDs, 12 Rush Yds, 20 Rec

He has been solid for the start of the season. He scored 3 touchdown last week. San Francisco will not see what hit them.

WR Terrance Williams – Dallas Cowboys

Season: 144 Rec Yds, 1 TD, 9 Rec

After a hard week where he was held without a catch, Williams will have to regroup and lead the receiving core in New Orleans. Somebody needs to step up in the absence of Tony Romo and Dez Bryant.

WR Stevie Johnson – San Diego Chargers

Season: 173 Rec Yds, 2 TDs, 14 Rec

Johnson caught three passes for 46 yards last week. A matchup against Cleveland’s defense is just what he needs to boost up his fantasy value.

WR Andre Johnson – Indianapolis Colts

Season: 51 Rec Yds, 7 Rec

It has been reported by the Colts offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton this week that the team needs to scheme Andre Johnson more targets. It’s a perfect time to showcase his skills against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

TE Jimmy Graham – Seattle Seahawks

Season: 145 Rec Yds, 2 TDs, 14 Rec

Graham finally came back into form last week, nabbing 83 yards and 1 touchdown in 9 receptions. The Seahawks will face the Detroit Lions, who has one of the worst defense in the league.

D Baltimore Ravens

Season: 28 Pts/G, 3 Int, 1 IntTD, 7 Sack

It’s crazy to pick Baltimore Ravens against one of the best offense in the league. Ben Roethlisberger will not play for Pittsburgh due to injury, and Martavis Bryant is still suspended. Baltimore were expected to succeed this year. Potentially losing their 4th straight game since the start of the season should provide enough motivation to play hard.

Fantasy Baseball Picks Recap

QB Aaron Rodgers – Green Bay Packers

RB Darren McFadden – Dallas Cowboys

RB Lamar Miller – Miami Dolphins

WR Randall Cobb – Green Bay Packers

WR Terrance Williams – Dallas Cowboys

WR Stevie Johnson – San Diego Chargers

WR Andre Johnson – Indianapolis Colts

TE Jimmy Graham – Seattle Seahawks

D Baltimore Ravens

 

Posted in NFL

Kansas City Chiefs versus Green Bay Packers

Monday Night One Day League Fantasy Picks 9-28-2015

The Monday Night Football game on tap for September 28th features the Green Bay Packers hosting the Kansas City Chiefs. Fantasy football draft GM’s can tune to ESPN TV at 8:30PM Eastern Time from Green Bay to follow the results of their roster picks.

The Las Vegas line has the Packers favored by -6 points and they expect each offense to put up points as the total is rather high at 49 points. It is worth noting that these two teams face off against one another just once every four years so the offense should shine on Monday Night. Kansas City will have plenty of time to get ready for Green Bay having played way back on September 17th at home to Denver. The Chiefs are 1-1 with a road win at Houston to open the year and a home loss to Denver 31-24. The Chiefs were unable to hold a 24-17 lead late against the Broncos as they surrender 14 points in the final 36 seconds of the game. The tying touchdown was a 19 yard touchdown pass by Peyton Manning then nine seconds later the Broncos return a Chief fumble for the game winning touchdown.

Green Bay is 2-0 on the campaign as they take the field on Monday Night. They have put up some points this season ranking sixth in scoring 29 points a game. They have a 31-23 road win at Chicago and last week they defeated Seattle 27-17. Defensively the numbers have looked good except in one area which is rush defense. Opponents are rushing for 154 yards on them ranking 31st and second to last in the NFL.

Kansas City Chiefs QB:

Alex Smith

The veteran signal caller is completing 65% of his throws for 434 yards. He has thrown three touchdowns with two picks. The Chiefs offensive line has surrendered six sacks in two games to their starting quarterback.

Kansas City Chiefs RB:

Jamaal Charles

The veteran back has 37 carries for 182 yards with a touchdown. He has seven first down gains and is running for 4.9 yards a carry this season. His best game of the year came at home to Denver where he rushed for 125 yards and touchdown on 21 carries for 6 yards per run.

Kansas City Chiefs TE:

Travis Kelce

The Chiefs third year tight end leads the club with 10 catches for 164 yards with two touchdowns. Alex Smith doesn’t fire deep as much as the elite quarterbacks do in this league so the tight end will be targeted heavily. Kelce had two touchdown catches in week one on the road to Houston.

Kansas City Chiefs WR:

Jeremy Maclin

The receiver was acquired from the Philadelphia Eagles in the offseason. He has caught nine balls for 109 yards. He has yet to catch a touchdown pass this year. Alex Smith had no touchdown passes to receivers last year. Maclin caught four balls last week against Denver for 57 yards.

Albert Wilson

Wilson is a fantasy dud so far lining up opposite Maclin. He has three catches for 25 yards.

Green Bay Packers QB:

Aaron Rodgers

Rodgers is playing well hitting on 76% of his throws for 438 yards with five touchdowns and no picks. He threw for 249 yards and two touchdowns last week at home to Seattle.

Green Bay Packers RB:

Eddie Lacy

The Packers running back is questionable as he left the game against Seattle with an ankle problem. He has 22 carries for 94 yards and a touchdown. He had just three carries before getting hurt.

James Starks:

The veteran running back has 22 carries for 97 yards. He is rushing for 4.4 yards a carry on the year. He had 20 carries for 95 yards last week against Seattle.

Green Bay Packers WR:

Randall Cobb

The fifth year wide out has 13 catches for 154 yards and a touchdown. He had a big game against Seattle last week catching eight passes for 116 yards averaging 14.5 yards per catch.

James Jones

Cut by the Giants and signed by the Packers in the preseason. Jones has caught five balls for 80 yards and three touchdowns. He has a touchdown reception in each game this year.

Monday Night Football Real Money Fantasy Picks

QB: Aaron Rodgers (Packers)

RB: Jamaal Charles (Chiefs)

WR: Randall Cobb (Packers), James Jones (Packers)

TE: Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

Posted in NFL

Green Bay Packers versus Chicago Bears Fantasy Preview

The Green Bay Packers have lit up the scoreboard the last three meetings with the Bears. In their two meetings in 2014 the Packers put up 38 points in Chicago and the return meeting over two months later saw Green Bay put up 55 points on the Bears defense. The Packers have thrown for over 300 yards in three straight meetings with Chicago.

The Bears have had success in the past rushing the football on Green Bay. With defensive minded head coach John Fox now at the helm he may try to be a bit more balanced with his attack on the Packers defense. The game held in Chicago saw the Bears pile up 235 yards on the ground.

Green Bay Packers WR:

James Jones was signed to a one year contract for the league minimum. One of Aaron Rodgers main targets in Jordy Nelson has been lost for the season and the Packers are looking for depth.

Randall Cobb suffered a shoulder injury in the preseason and is expected to play on Sunday. Cobb had played well against the Bears in their two meetings last year as he caught three receiving touchdowns with 185 yards combined in the home and away contests.

Green Bay Packers QB:

Aaron Rodgers threw ten touchdown passes in the two games against Chicago last year for a combined 617 yards. He completed a combined 40 of 55 throws.

Chicago Bears QB:

Jay Cutler is turnover prone. In his two games against the Packers in 2014 he threw for 528 yards combined with three touchdowns and four picks. With John Fox now as the head coach he may choose to run more.

Chicago Bears RB:

Matt Forte may have a different role with the Bears this year. Marc Trestman was a pass heavy head coach while under John Fox there may be more rushing attempts for Forte. He caught 102 passes in 2014 which was a league high. He ran for 4.6 yards a carry in 2013.

Chicago Bears WR:

Alshon Jeffery has a calf injury and has been reacting positively to treatment. He is listed as questionable for Sunday. In his two games against the Packers last year Jeffery combined for ten catches for 102 yards with one touchdown and he committed his only fumble of the season.

Kansas City Chiefs versus Houston Texas One Day League Draft Preview

It will be the first meeting in two years between these teams. In the 2013 campaign the Chiefs edged the Texans 17-16 at home.

Kansas City Chiefs QB:

Alex Smith will have a capable target in the passing game as the team signed Jeremy Maclin the former Philadelphia Eagle in the offseason. Smith had no touchdown passes to a wide receiver last year. They also added promising rookie Chris Conley. Andy Reid is run heavy so Smith may not have the opportunities to score hefty fantasy points.

Houston Texas RB:

Arian Foster underwent groin surgery during the offseason and is out indefinitely.

Alfred Blue will get an opportunity in his second season to increase his workload. Blue has some good runs outside the 20 during the preseason. He is not very good in short yardage and red zone situations.

Cleveland Browns versus New York Jets What Fantasy Draft Managers Need to Know

The last meeting between the Browns and Jets was in 2013 with New York winning at home 24-13. Two weak offenses from 2014 meet and this could be a very low scoring game.

Cleveland Browns QB:

Josh McCown gets the start but has a weak corps of receivers with Brian Hartline and Dwayne Bowe. The Browns ran poorly last year and provided no help to the passing game. McCown is backup quality and inserted as a starter because there are no other options for this team.

New York Jets QB:

With Geno Smith getting sucker punched by a teammate and out for at least four weeks the starters job will be veteran’s Ryan Fitzpatrick. The Jets upgraded the wide receiver corps with Brandon Marshall out wide with Eric Decker. The question is will the head coach Todd Bowles have enough faith in Fitzpatrick to be anything other than a game manager.

Posted in NFL

NFL Fantasy Draft News—A Look at Offensive Playmakers for Week One 8-31-2015

The Green Bay Packers suffered a major injury during the preseason with lead wide receiver Jordy Nelson out for the season. Draft managers are high on the Green Bay Packers with Aaron Rodgers at quarterback. Randall Cobb will now be asked to step up in a more prominent role with his team. Cobb is small in stature and may not get as many red zone targets as Nelson did. The Packers got a huge scare on Saturday as Randall Cobb was injured as he went down very hard on his shoulder. The indications are the injury is not very serious.

Rob Gronkowski should be an interesting decision for NFL draft managers. With Tom Brady looking to miss at least the opener of the season can you trust that Jimmy Garappolo can deliver in tight windows downfield in week one? It may be wise to look for value at the tight end position in week one and look to spend more on wide outs and running backs in your draft.

Justin Forsett put up some great numbers in 2014. The beauty of drafting Forsett is the depth around him is not too promising. Expect Forsett to get the bulk of the carries in week one with a significant drop in quality behind him on the bench.

Golden Tate has shown improvement each year in the league. He caught just under 100 receptions for over 1300 yards in the 2014 campaign. He is quick off the line of scrimmage and provides value in drafts as teams may look to put heavy attention on Johnson in his pass patterns.

Running back C.J. Spiller gets upgraded going to New Orleans after spending his career with the Buffalo Bills. He is finally playing with a team that has to respect his quarterback and passing game. Spiller provides value at the running back position in drafts.

Victor Cruz will benefit with the development of Odell Beckham Jr. The great thing about Cruz is his attitude. He doesn’t carry a Primo Donna attitude with the team as he is willing to lineup in the slot and run patterns over the middle of the field. The Giants moving to a quick strike offense means there will be a lot more targets for Cruz to move the stick and keep drives alive.

Shane Vereen is another Giant who will benefit from the quick strike Giants offense. The running back was vital in the Patriots Super Bowl year in 2014 as the running back was utilized in the passing game as an outlet for Tom Brady. With Beckham Jr. and Cruz in pass patterns it opens up the potential for fantasy points for Vereen drafters.

Matthew Stafford the Lions quarterback could be on the brink of a breakthrough season. Calvin Johnson is the star for the Lions but there are talented weapons around him. Golden Tate has shown improvement each year as a pro. Rookie Ameer Abdullah has the ability to make an impact with the team. Abdullah was a workhorse in his time with Nebraska with his skill to be a dual threat in the run and passing game. Stafford provides good value to fantasy football managers in week one.

Tight end Owen Daniels was relied heavily for targets in the passing game in his time with the Houston Texans. Remember current Denver Broncos head coach Gary Kubiak was Daniels former coach at Houston. Before making a decision on Daniels remember that the Texans did not run efficiently for many years under Kubiak. Virgil Green, the other option in Denver has been typecast as a blocking tight end but has shown signs of improvement in the passing game this preseason. There could be some timesharing between Daniels and Green so put a pass on Daniels for week one.

Posted in NFL