NFL Wild Card Value Picks

Quarterback

With a small slate of games this weekend you’re quarterback choices are limited. So let’s run through the matchups. Houston and Kansas City has all the makings of a low scoring game. These are two defensive dominated teams and this matchup should be low scoring and slow paced, not places of high value for Fantasy NFL contests. Same can be said about Minnesota and Seattle. While Seattle’s offense is explosive, we saw what they did against the strong defensive front of the Cardinals last weekend, I’m saving my quarterback pick for an easier matchup.

The weakest pass defense of the weekend is by far the Steelers, but with the Bengals current quarterback situation, its hard to say anything for sure. In all likelihood AJ McCarron will be taking the field, but there is the small chance Andy Dalton will return for the game. Either way, they both should be able to provide great value with this matchup, just make sure you keep your eye on the injury report and you get the right one in.

Although the Bengals have a strong pass defense, it seems like nobody is able to stop Ben Roethlisberger and Antonio Brown this year. I expect them to have a big game, but I also expect ownership to be very high on these two, so I’m playing the contrarian strategy and avoiding the Steelers stack.

Last we have Washington and Green Bay. This has all the makings for a classic shootout and I think there will be value on both sides of the ball. Aaron Rodgers has been very subpar this entire season, but he has been to the playoffs before and I think he will perform. Kirk Cousins on the other hand has been red hot and putting up big numbers, and that does not look to be stopping anytime soon. You’re probably going to find lower ownership with Rodgers so I’ll give him the edge in a tournament, but based on his performance this year, that may be a risky play.

Running Back

Our premium running backs for the week are Adrian Peterson, Deangelo Williams, Marshawn Lynch, Jeremy Hill, Characandrick West, and Eddie Lacy. As of now Williams looks to be out for this weekend so lets rule him out now (even if he were playing I don’t love the matchup). Marshawn Lynch will be returning but with the offensive efficiency of the Seahawks lately, its hard to say they will need to make much use of him so I am staying away from Beast mode as well. The Vikings may find it hard to pass against the dominating defense and will certainly run the ball a lot to Peterson, but he has not been as dominant this year as in years past and the Seahawks may shut him down. West as well is facing a tough defense, especially recently, so my recommendation is stay away from any Chiefs back.

So we are left with Hill and Lacy, both on the cheap end as far as premium running backs go. The way the Bengals use Hill and Bernard is very dependent on the matchup. They utilize Hill to run the ball up the middle while Bernard is valued more highly for his speed in screen passes and short drops. This matchup may be better for Bernard than Hill, and Bernard comes at a much cheaper price. Not a bad pick for this week. Lacy is the only premium back I like for this week. Like Hill, he could take a backseat position to Starks but I think Lacy has asserted himself as the primary back after early struggles in the season.

If you are looking for value at Running back however, there is a lot to be found. Starks and Bernard, as previously mentioned, will both only cost you less that $4000 on Fanpicks. Alfred Morris and Pierre Thomas both are a threat to accumulate fantasy value with their run and pass threat. The real value pick of the week is Jonathan Grimes, who put together a big game last weekend and comes at only $2700.

Wide Receiver

The same analysis on Quarterbacks applies to receivers as well. We want to stick with the good matchups: Steelers/Bengals and Packers/Redskins. Skipping out on Antonio Brown may just cost you a win, but I think there is more upside potential on fading Brown, especially for NFL Daily Fantasy Tournaments type contests. AJ Green should be able to put up some big numbers this week regardless of who gets the starting position at Quarterback.

I also like Desean Jackson or Pierre Garcon if you are looking to save a little money at the position. We know Cousins is going to throw the ball and we know he is going to throw it a lot. He may throw a couple interceptions but that doesn’t hurt his fantasy value too bad. It all just depends on which receiver can manage to get open between these two and Reed.

A good contrarian stack is Rodgers and either Cobb or Jones. They haven’t done much this year and are not on many people radar, but like I said before, the Packers know the playoffs. Cobb should get more targets but Jones is more of a long threat. The choice is up to you, I’m going Cobb.

Tight End

For me, the viable tight ends for this week are Jordan Reed and Tyler Eifert. While you can make the argument for Heath Miller and Richard Rodgers, I think you will find much more value with Eifert and Reed. Reed is an obvious pick as he has had some very big games lately and is arguably the top tight end in the league. However, that also means he is going to come with a high ownership level, bad news for a tournament play.

That’s why I’m going with Eifert. I can’t stress enough how weak Pittsburgh is against the pass as all of their games end up turning into a shootout. Eifert will especially benefit if Dalton returns this weekend as there is usually great synergy between the two.

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NFL Week 15 Recap

Cam Newton Continues to Win

The word on the street going into this week was that the Giants may be the team to stop the Panthers dominance, with Eli having a history of upsetting undefeated teams. It did not seem that way early on with Odell being so off his game, but they turned things around in the second half, putting the Panther’s undefeated season in Jeopardy.

The Panthers were able to winning the end though. Cam Newton showed he can win with any personnel, spreading the ball out to 4 different receivers (Ginn (2), Olsen, Funchess, and Brown) for receiving touchdowns. On top of those 5 passing touchdowns he racked up 340 passing yards and 100 rushing yards for his usual, massive fantasy value.

Redskins find their passing game

Kirk Cousins showed he meant business as Washington dominated the Bills. Cousins went 22 for 28 on passes for 319 passing yards, 4 passing touchdowns and a 13 yard rushing touchdown. Additionally, he ran one in himself. As far as receivers went, Cousins picked his favorites, connecting with Jordan Reed for 2 touchdown passes, DeSean Jackson for 153 receiving yards and 1 receiving touchdown, and Pierre Garcon for a receiving touchdown.

Bears can’t stop the pass

Teddy Bridgewater had an uncharacteristically good passing game throwing 17 for 20 with 4 passing touchdowns for 231 passing yards against Chicago. On top of that, he showed his athleticism with 17 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown. After Peterson was limited early to an ankle injury, they were forced to rely on the passing game, which the Bears were not able stifle. Bridgewater connected with Diggs for 55 receiving yards and 2 receiving touchdowns and with Jerick McKinnon for 76 receiving yards and a receiving touchdown.

Denver’s Defense can’t hold back the Steelers

Antonio Brown and Ben Roethlisberger continue to dominate, even against what may be the best defense in the NFL. Big Ben threw for 380 passing yards and 3 passing touchdowns while Brown caught 16 passes for 189 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns. Brown’s numbers was beat early on by the Broncos‘ Emmanuel Sanders catching 10 passes for 181 receiving yards and a touchdown, but the Steelers rally late in the game pushed Brown ahead.

Danny Woodhead single handedly beats the Dolphins

Well maybe he needed the rest of his team out there… but it seems like Woodhead can do it all as he scored 4 total touchdowns, 3 receiving and 1 rushing. He ended the day with a total of 38 fantasy points combining those touchdowns with receptions, receiving yards, and rushing yards.

Hard to find value at Running Back

Not much value could be found at running back this week. Those who did provide value did so by combining rushing stats with receiving stats. The Patriots‘ James White did so with only 1 rush for 6 yards but 7 receptions for 71 receiving yards and 1 receiving touchdown. Similarly, Devonta Freeman had 56 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown for decent value, but he added on top of that 7 receptions for 45 receiving yards.

The same could be said for Matt Forte as he rushed for only 47 yards but had 6 receptions for 57 receiving yards and a receiving touchdown. The Chiefs‘ Charcandrick West logged 76 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown as well to be among the weekends leaders at running back. Rashad Jennings provided some fantasy value in a high scoring loss against the Panthers with 107 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown.

Posted in NFL

Dallas Cowboys versus Washington Redskins Monday Night Football Fantasy Picks 12-7-2015

It will be an NFC East division battle from Monday Night Football as the Washington Redskins will be hosting the Dallas Cowboys. DFS draft managers can tune to ESPN TV on Monday December 7th at 8:30PM Eastern Time to track the results of their fantasy roster picks.

The Dallas Cowboys have had struggles on the 2015 campaign with a record of 3-8. They have been hit with injuries to their quarterback position as well as having to play for a significant time without the services of Dez Bryant. The team comes off a humiliating home loss to the Carolina Panthers on Thanksgiving losing by the score of 33-14. In the process Cowboys starting quarterback Tony Romo was lost for the season with a broken collarbone. Prior to exiting the game due to injury Romo had thrown three picks with two being returned for a Carolina touchdown. The Cowboys offensive numbers have plummeted as expected with their key injuries and lack of a playmaker in the run game. The team is 29th in the NFL in scoring by averaging 18.5 points per game. They are the 28th ranked passing team in the NFL. The defense has played well in spots this year. The team is six in total offense as their opponents gain 331 yards per game.

With the New York Giants suffering a loss on Sunday the Washington Redskins sit atop the NFC East division with a 5-6 record. The team responded with a 20-14 home victory to the Giants last week after suffering a 44-16 defeat on the road the week before. All of the Redskins five wins in 2015 have come against losing teams. The team is 25th in the league in total offense putting up 339 yards per game. After a strong start on the ground the Redskins running attack has back peddled as the team rushes for 96.2 yards per game which is 23rd in the NFL.

Dallas Cowboys QB:

Matt Cassel

In relief of Romo on Thanksgiving the journeyman quarterback hit on 68% of his throws for 93 yards with a touchdown. He has thrown for five touchdowns and five picks in his time with the Cowboys. Matt Cassel began the year with the Buffalo Bills but could not beat out the starter and backup. Dallas has lost each time with Cassel starting at quarterback. His best game came in week nine where he threw for 299 yards and three touchdowns.

Dallas Cowboys RB:

Darren McFadden

The Cowboys have not found the player in the backfield to replace DeMarco Murray. Darren McFadden now leads the Cowboys with 169 carries for 634 yards with two touchdowns and a 3.8 yards per rush average. He ran for 3.3 yards a carry over his past three seasons with Oakland before come over to Dallas. After a 129 yard rushing performance at Miami, Darren McFadden had just 10 carries for 11 yards in their defeat to the Carolina Panthers.

Dallas Cowboys WR:

Terrance Williams

The three year wide receiver leads the team with 33 catches for 491 yards with three touchdowns. He is averaging 14.9 yards per catch. Last week in the home defeat to Carolina it was Williams with four receptions go for 39 yards.

Washington Redskins QB:

Kirk Cousins

Cousins have won the starting position for the Redskins. He has completed 68.4% of his throws for 2787 yards with 16 touchdowns and 10 picks. In the victory against the Giants last week Cousins completed 69% of his throws for 302 yards with a touchdown. He has thrown just two picks over his past five games.

Washington Redskins RB:

Alfred Morris

Morris had a 121 rushing yards in week one against Miami and it has been his only 100 yard rushing game of the season. Last week in the victory against the Giants, Morris had 23 carries for 78 yards. His 3.6 yards per run average in 2015 is his fewest of his career.

Washington Redskins WR:

Pierre Garcon

The veteran wide receiver has caught 49 passes for 508 yards with three touchdowns.

NFL Monday Night Football Real Money Fantasy League Picks

QB: Kirk Cousins (Redskins)

RB: Darren McFadden (Cowboys)

WR: Pierre Garcon (Redskins)

TE: Jason Witten (Cowboys)

Posted in NFL

Philadelphia Eagles versus Washington Redskins Real Money League Fantasy Football Preview 9-30-2015

NFL Fantasy Football Draft News 9-30-2015

It will be a battle in the NFC East division as the Washington Redskins will host the Philadelphia Eagles. NFL fantasy draft GM’s can tune to FOX on Sunday October 4th at 1PM Eastern Time from Washington to track the results of their one day football real money leagues.

Both teams are 1-2 on the campaign. They split their two regular season meetings from a year ago. It was Washington who knocked the Eagles out of the playoffs last year as the Redskins earned a 27-24 victory at home in late December.

The Las Vegas odds believe that Philadelphia will win this game as they are favored by a field goal on the road in this spot. A total of 47 points reveals that the oddsmakers still believe that the Eagles will find their offense. Philadelphia got their first win last week by defeating the New York Jets 24-17. It was not a very impressive victory by Philadelphia as they were aided to victory by Jets mistakes. A Darren Sproles 89 yard punt return made the difference in this game. The Eagles offense did very little with 123 rushing yards on 39 carries and a mere 108 yards through the pass. Halftime adjustments by the Jets defense were effective as they held Philadelphia scoreless in the second half of the game. The Eagles are 31st in total offensive yards with an average of just 285 yards per game. They are 30th and third last in the league in rushing yardage per game and score just 19 points a game ranking 22nd. On defense the Eagles are holding teams to 21 points a game an improved 11th in the NFL.

The Washington Redskins are looking to bounce back from a 32-21 loss at the Giants on Thursday Night Football over a week ago. Heading into this game the Redskins defense has looked improved from the prior season. Washington contained the run well but allowed 279 yards passing and two touchdown passes by Eli Manning. The Redskins were sloppy with three turnovers for the game and they forced no miscues by New York. Washington still ranks second in yardage allowed defensively as opponent’s average just 277 yards per game on the Redskins.

Philadelphia Eagles QB:

Sam Bradford

The Eagles signal caller is struggling with this system completing 62% of his throws for 678 yards with three touchdowns and four picks. He was just 14 of 28 for 118 yards against the Jets last week with very few throws down the field.

Philadelphia Eagles RB:

Ryan Matthews:

The former Charger leads the Eagles in carries with 29 for 112 yards and a touchdown. Matthews is averaging just 3.9 yards a carry this year. He had two catches last week for 20 yards and a touchdown.

Philadelphia Eagles WR:

Jordan Matthews

The second year wide out is getting heavily targeted by Bradford. Matthews has 22 catches for 231 yards with a touchdown. He is below his average with 10.5 yards per catch this year.

Washington Redskins QB:

Kirk Cousins

The Redskins starting quarterback is completing 69% of his throws for 715 yards with three touchdowns and four picks. He had two picks in the losses to Miami and the Giants this year.

Washington Redskins RB:

Alfred Morris

The veteran back has 49 carries for 199 yards and no touchdowns. He received just six carries against the Giants for 19 yards for 3.2 yards per carry.

Washington Redskins TE:

Jordan Reed

The Redskins tight end leads the team with 19 catches for 241 yards and a touchdown. He had six catches for 96 yards at the Giants.

Washington Redskins WR:

Pierre Garcon

The eighth year veteran receiver has 17 catches for 161 yards and a touchdown. Garcon was targeted 12 times in the Giants game and caught just five passes for 64 yards.

Posted in NFL

Daily Fantasy Football News – 09-03-2015

The Buffalo Bills Running Back LeSean McCoy Injury

LeSean McCoy: The Bills running back had a hamstring problem this preseason and the fear is he may miss week one of the regular season. He had a major injury during the 2012 season when a concussion forced him to miss four games. The injury occurred in practice on August 18th. This came on the heels of Buffalo releasing veteran running back Fred Jackson. With not much depth in the wide receiver position the Bills were counting on their running game entering the 2015 campaign.

Tyrod Taylor: The Bills mobile quarterback was announced recently as the teams starter in week one.

Fred Jackson. He is no longer an option for Bills as following his release he is getting a physical with the Seattle Seahawks.

Boobie Dixon: The backup to McCoy has been nursing a calf injury. He has been listed as probable for the final preseason game on Thursday. Dixon is listed on the Bills depth chart as the backup to McCoy. He was a workhorse in his time with the Mississippi St Bulldogs. In his four years with the San Francisco 49ers he had very limited carries behind Frank Gore. What kept Dixon in the NFL were his abilities in special teams. He was outstanding in the punt and kickoff teams with an outstanding ability to fight blockers and the speed to reach the returner very quickly. In his one season in Buffalo in 2014 Dixon rushed for 432 yards on 105 carries and two touchdowns. That averaged out to 4.1 yards a carry. He hasn’t provided much production in the passing game during his career.

Karlos Williams: Another Bills option at running back is nursing an undisclosed injury. He is questionable for Thursday’s game. He is a rookie fifth rounder out of Florida St.

Bryce Brown: The fourth year back out of Kansas St was a seventh round pick of Philadelphia in 2012. He played in seven games for Buffalo in 2014 and ran 36 times for 126 yards with a poor 3.5 yards per carry average. He is a career 4.4 yards per carry runner with one productive year in 2012 with the Eagles.

Washington Redskins Veteran Wide Receiver Supports Kirk Cousins

Now that Washington has announced that Kirk Cousins will start in week one let’s take a close look at the fantasy value for his top passing targets.

Pierre Garcon: The sixth year wide receiver gave his full support for Kirk Cousins in his comments to the media on Wednesday. Garcon called Cousins a natural born leader. The talented wide out saw his production drop considerably in 2014 as he had just 68 receptions for 752 yards with five touchdowns. That was a drop of 37 receptions, 594 yards and two touchdowns from his numbers during the 2013 campaign. His 113 receptions and 1346 passing yards in 2013 was a career best.

DeSean Jackson: Pairing outside opposite of Garcon is eight year wide out DeSean Jackson. In his first season with Washington in 2014 Jackson saw his numbers decline considerably from his 2013 numbers he put up with Philadelphia. He caught 56 balls in 2014 for 1169 yards and six touchdowns. His receptions were down by 26 the yardage down by 263 yards and he had three fewer touchdowns than in 2013. But the biggest drop from 2013 was the number of first down catches. In 2013 Jackson had 60 first down plays to just 35 a season ago.

Andre Roberts: The six year veteran spent most of his year with Arizona as a third and fourth option. He is about the same in Washington. Last year with the Redskins he caught 36 balls for 453 yards and two touchdowns. The receptions and yardage were down a bit from his 2013 numbers in Arizona.

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