Fantasy Football Jordan Reed

Jordan Reed sign a new 1 year-contract with the Redskins

Jordan Reeds is staying put in Washington. He signed a new 5-years contract-extension worth 50 million dollars. This new contract makes him the second highest-paid tight-end in the NFL, behind Seahawks Jimmy Graham. The Redskins third-round pick from the 2013 NFL draft is coming off his best season yet, leading the team in receiving yards, receptions and touchdowns.

The signing of cornerback Josh Norman to Washington for $75 million left doubt that there was any cash left in the Redskins bank to get a new deal done with Jordan Reed. But the franchise has found a way to make it work and provides hope for the future of the team.

The 25-year-old Florida product is a prototypical modern tight end. At 6’2″, 237 pounds, he’s got the size to serve as a go-to weapon in the red zone and the athleticism to split out wide to create matchup problems. Figuring out how to utilize those talents is what allowed him to shine for Washington last season.

Getting the deal done now will help Washington focus on the quarterback position. The team used the franchise tag on Kirk Cousins, which gives the front office more time to determine whether he warrants a lucrative long-term deal of his own.

Reed and Cousins forged quite a connection last season. In turn, the tight end finally started showcasing his immense potential and now has a new contract to show for it.

The Washington Redskins ended the 2015 season in first place of the NFC East, with a overall record of 9-7. They lost to the Green Bay Packers during the first week of the post-season  (wild card weekend). Their last playoff win was in 2005. This storied franchise has won three Super Bowl, in 1982, 1987 and 1991.

Get ready for the upcoming NFL season at FanPicks.

 

Posted in NFL

Green Bay Packers versus Washington Redskins NFL Playoffs Fantasy Picks 1-10-2016

 

The final Wildcard playoff game of the weekend will feature the Washington Redskins hosting the Green Bay Packers. NFL fantasy football draft GM’s can tune to FOX at 4:40PM Eastern Time on Sunday January 10th to track the results of their one day league roster picks.

 

Green Bay has had an up and down season. They have had trouble trying to adjust to life without Jordy Nelson who has missed the entire season with a knee injury. The Packers receivers have been clocked by NFL scouts to be the slowest off the line of scrimmage in the league. That explains the issues the team has had with their lack of scoring and 25th ranked passing attack in the NFL. This will be the third straight playoff team that the Packers have faced. They lost the previous two as they scored just 8 points at Arizona and only 13 at home for the NFC North division against the Minnesota Vikings.

 

The Washington Redskins at 9-7 were champions of a weak NFC East division on the year. They closed strongly winners of four straight games scoring 34 or greater points over their past three contests. The Redskins have faced soft competition down the stretch facing non-playoff teams in their past six games. They traveled to Carolina on November 22nd and were beaten 44-16. Washington had the 11th ranked passing attack in the league and the 28th overall defense. The Redskins are 25th against the pass and 26th against the rush. They can move the football and their field goal kicker Dustin Hopkins has made 25 of 28 picks and has been successful on 39 of 40 extra point attempts.

 

Green Bay Packers QB:

 

Aaron Rodgers

 

Rodgers is greatly hampered by his slow footed receiving corps. But he is a sly veteran who has the ability to make plays with his feet. He will not be afraid to run the football because the time to take high risks with running is in the playoffs. For the year Rodgers has completed 60.7% of his passes which is a career low as a starter. He threw for 3821 yards with 31 touchdowns and 8 picks. His 344 rushing yards is his second highest total in his career.

 

Green Bay Packers RB:

 

Eddie Lacy

 

The veteran running back is sharing carries with James Starks. The injury report lists that Lacy is dealing with rib injury and will play on Sunday. In his past three games he has rushed a total of 36 times for 117 yards which averages out to just 3 yards per carry. He has just two rushing touchdowns since Week 2.

 

James Starks

 

Starks has rushed 148 times for 601 yards with two touchdowns. He is rushing for 4.1 yards per carry just like Lacy. These two Packer backs shares carries. The Packers running back has had less than ten carries in six of his past seven games. It is tough to back any of the Packers running backs in this spot. It wouldn’t be a surprise if Aaron Rodgers ends up being the leading rusher in this game since both Lacy and Starks shares carries.

 

James Jones

 

The veteran wide out leads the Packers with 50 catches for 890 yards with eight touchdowns. Jones is averaging 17.8 yards per carry and has the ability to make big plays especially if Rodgers decides to run the football in this game. James Jones is a fantasy pick for this game because he could be a huge beneficiary for big plays with Rodgers scrambling and giving the Redskins secondary a threat to run.

 

Washington Redskins QB

 

Kirk Cousins

 

The Redskins signal caller has completed 69.8% of his passes for 4166 yards with 29 touchdowns and 11 picks. Washington faced only two playoff teams the entire season and lost both games by 17 or greater points scoring an average of 13 points per game. Pass on Cousins.

 

Washington Redskins RB:

 

Alfred Morris

 

The Redskins run game has been inconsistent throughout the year. Alfred Morris has 202 carries for 751 yards with only a single touchdown. Not a good sign inside the red zone. That’s why the play from the Redskins will be on their placekicker and their tight end.

 

Washington Redskins TE:

 

Jordan Reed

 

Reed leads the Redskins with 87 catches for 952 yards and 11 touchdowns. Look for Reed to get targeted in the red zone. He has seven catches or greater in three of his past four games.

 

NFL Playoff Real Money Football Fantasy League Picks

 

QB: Aaron Rodgers (Packers)

WR: James Jones (Packers)

TE: Jordan Reed (Redskins)

K: Dustin Hopkins (Redskins)

Posted in NFL

NFL Wild Card Value Picks

Quarterback

With a small slate of games this weekend you’re quarterback choices are limited. So let’s run through the matchups. Houston and Kansas City has all the makings of a low scoring game. These are two defensive dominated teams and this matchup should be low scoring and slow paced, not places of high value for Fantasy NFL contests. Same can be said about Minnesota and Seattle. While Seattle’s offense is explosive, we saw what they did against the strong defensive front of the Cardinals last weekend, I’m saving my quarterback pick for an easier matchup.

The weakest pass defense of the weekend is by far the Steelers, but with the Bengals current quarterback situation, its hard to say anything for sure. In all likelihood AJ McCarron will be taking the field, but there is the small chance Andy Dalton will return for the game. Either way, they both should be able to provide great value with this matchup, just make sure you keep your eye on the injury report and you get the right one in.

Although the Bengals have a strong pass defense, it seems like nobody is able to stop Ben Roethlisberger and Antonio Brown this year. I expect them to have a big game, but I also expect ownership to be very high on these two, so I’m playing the contrarian strategy and avoiding the Steelers stack.

Last we have Washington and Green Bay. This has all the makings for a classic shootout and I think there will be value on both sides of the ball. Aaron Rodgers has been very subpar this entire season, but he has been to the playoffs before and I think he will perform. Kirk Cousins on the other hand has been red hot and putting up big numbers, and that does not look to be stopping anytime soon. You’re probably going to find lower ownership with Rodgers so I’ll give him the edge in a tournament, but based on his performance this year, that may be a risky play.

Running Back

Our premium running backs for the week are Adrian Peterson, Deangelo Williams, Marshawn Lynch, Jeremy Hill, Characandrick West, and Eddie Lacy. As of now Williams looks to be out for this weekend so lets rule him out now (even if he were playing I don’t love the matchup). Marshawn Lynch will be returning but with the offensive efficiency of the Seahawks lately, its hard to say they will need to make much use of him so I am staying away from Beast mode as well. The Vikings may find it hard to pass against the dominating defense and will certainly run the ball a lot to Peterson, but he has not been as dominant this year as in years past and the Seahawks may shut him down. West as well is facing a tough defense, especially recently, so my recommendation is stay away from any Chiefs back.

So we are left with Hill and Lacy, both on the cheap end as far as premium running backs go. The way the Bengals use Hill and Bernard is very dependent on the matchup. They utilize Hill to run the ball up the middle while Bernard is valued more highly for his speed in screen passes and short drops. This matchup may be better for Bernard than Hill, and Bernard comes at a much cheaper price. Not a bad pick for this week. Lacy is the only premium back I like for this week. Like Hill, he could take a backseat position to Starks but I think Lacy has asserted himself as the primary back after early struggles in the season.

If you are looking for value at Running back however, there is a lot to be found. Starks and Bernard, as previously mentioned, will both only cost you less that $4000 on Fanpicks. Alfred Morris and Pierre Thomas both are a threat to accumulate fantasy value with their run and pass threat. The real value pick of the week is Jonathan Grimes, who put together a big game last weekend and comes at only $2700.

Wide Receiver

The same analysis on Quarterbacks applies to receivers as well. We want to stick with the good matchups: Steelers/Bengals and Packers/Redskins. Skipping out on Antonio Brown may just cost you a win, but I think there is more upside potential on fading Brown, especially for NFL Daily Fantasy Tournaments type contests. AJ Green should be able to put up some big numbers this week regardless of who gets the starting position at Quarterback.

I also like Desean Jackson or Pierre Garcon if you are looking to save a little money at the position. We know Cousins is going to throw the ball and we know he is going to throw it a lot. He may throw a couple interceptions but that doesn’t hurt his fantasy value too bad. It all just depends on which receiver can manage to get open between these two and Reed.

A good contrarian stack is Rodgers and either Cobb or Jones. They haven’t done much this year and are not on many people radar, but like I said before, the Packers know the playoffs. Cobb should get more targets but Jones is more of a long threat. The choice is up to you, I’m going Cobb.

Tight End

For me, the viable tight ends for this week are Jordan Reed and Tyler Eifert. While you can make the argument for Heath Miller and Richard Rodgers, I think you will find much more value with Eifert and Reed. Reed is an obvious pick as he has had some very big games lately and is arguably the top tight end in the league. However, that also means he is going to come with a high ownership level, bad news for a tournament play.

That’s why I’m going with Eifert. I can’t stress enough how weak Pittsburgh is against the pass as all of their games end up turning into a shootout. Eifert will especially benefit if Dalton returns this weekend as there is usually great synergy between the two.

Posted in NFL

Wild Card Stacks to Look Out For

Antonio Brown and Ben Roethlisberger

STAY AWAY FROM THIS STACK. At least for tournaments. This has been the most valuable stack all this year and in most likelihood, will be the best stack this weekend as well. But everybody is thinking that, and I expect the ownership on both of these players to be upwards of 50 percent. For those of you who aren’t DFS experts out there, high ownership is a bad thing. Think about it this way. If you stack the Steelers, just like all of your opponents, and they do well, then your still on the same level as 80 percent of your opponents and not guaranteed to win much money. However, if they have a bad game and you avoid that stack, they you are already ahead of 80 percent of your opponents and in the running to win some big money. So take my advice here, and avoid the Steelers if you are playing in a tournament type of contest.

Kirk Cousins and Jordan Reed

This may be another highly owned stack, not quite as high as the steelers but Reed and Cousins have shown how dangerous they can be together with multiple games this season with 2 receiving touchdowns by Reed. The Skins are facing the struggling Packers as well. Cousins’ aggressive play gives him a very high fantasy upside.

Aaron Rodgers and James Jones/Randall Cobb/Richard Rodgers

Its hard to figure out who is going to be Aaron Rodgers’ favorite target each game. From week to week it can be any of the three, personally, I give the edge to James Jones since he always seems to get the long balls and red zone threats. Nobody is expecting much from Rodgers after a lackluster season so far but he has been here before, and he will show up for the playoffs. This is my favorite stack for the weekend, you just have to decide for yourself which receiver you think is going to get the targets.

Alex Smith and Jeremy Maclin

This stack could be valuable as the synergy between these two has been very solid as of late. Maclin seems to have taken over as Smith’s favorite receiver. However, facing the Houston defense may be a difficult task and it seems like the Chiefs have taken on a run first offense. You can guarantee the ownership will be lower on this stack than most other stacks so there is a high upside, but the matchup is not great. If you are entering multiple lineups, maybe throw this stack in one of them and roll the dice.

Posted in NFL

NFL Week 17 Stacks to look out for

Choosing your stack in week 17 is a difficult thing to do. Most playoff implications are already determined so a Cam Newton/Ted Ginn stack will not be beneficial, even against the Bucs. The other side is true as well, even against the Saints defense, Matt Ryan and Julio Jones may not bring full effort with nothing on the line.

Stafford and Johnson Stack

While Calvin Johnson has been very unproductive lately, catching only one pass in each week 14 and 15, he has since turned things around with 6 catches for 77 yards and a touchdown. While not huge fantasy value, this is a good sign going into week 17 against the Bears. While neither team has much to play for, Stafford and Johnson may be able to load up on the garbage time points.

Eli Manning and Odell Beckham

While the Giants don’t have anything on the line this week against the Eagles, Odell could be looking to have a big game after his week 16 suspension. The Eli Manning and Odell Beckham connection is one of the most dangerous in the NFL, and facing the Eagles poor secondary, they will connect for more than a couple long balls.

Kirk Cousins and Jordan Reed

After two consecutive high scoring weeks between these two, it may be too much to ask for another one. Reed has shown to be the Redskins top receiver scoring 4 touchdowns in the past 2 weeks. Although they have locked up their spot in the playoffs, they may come out strong against the Cowboys before starting to rest up starters.

Matt Ryan and Julio Jones

This stack is somewhat risky with both of these two showing poor performances as of late. After a strong start to the season, the Falcons seem to be falling apart. They however did upset the undefeated Panthers last week, moving in a positive direction for these two players. We all know how valuable this stack can be when they are both on their game. Plus, with the Saints secondary on pass coverage, Julio should not have much opposition.

Posted in NFL

NFL Week 16 Review

Washington Shows up when it Counts

The Redskins won a “must-win” game against the Eagles on Saturday night locking up their playoff position. Kirk Cousins continues on his hot streak. He threw for 365 passing yards and 4 passing touchdowns totaling 32.2 fantasy points. He connected with the weekend leading tight end, Jordan Reed 9 times for 129 receiving yards and 2 receiving touchdowns for 36.9 fantasy points.

Big upsets around the League

This week saw losses from the top teams all over the league. These teams are already locks in the playoffs though so who knows if they were playing at the full level. The first loss was the Patriots overtime loss against the Jets. Brady played the whole game and produced very poor numbers: 231 passing yards, 1 passing touchdowns, and an interception for only 14.8 fantasy points. Fitzpatrick for the Jets provided some good fantasy value with 3 passing touchdowns (2 to Marshall and 1 to Decker), with 296 passing yards for 26.9 fantasy points.

The next big upset was the Falcons taking down the undefeated Panthers. Matt Ryan and Julio Jones got back in sync with Ryan totaling 306 passing yards and a touchdown (19.2 fantasy points) while Julio had 178 yards and a touchdown on 9 catches (35.8 fantasy points). Cam Newton threw for only 142 passing yards, no touchdowns.

Lastly, the Seahawks, who have been red hot over the past 4 weeks, fail to generate much offense against the Rams. Doug Baldwin, who totals 10 receiving touchdowns over the previous 4 weeks scored only 1 this weekend for 1 of 2 passing touchdowns by Wilson.

Johnny Football plays Running Back

Manziel put up the worst game of the weekend as far as passing stats but he helped save a little fantasy value by running the ball. While passing only 136 yards and 1 interception, he ran for 108 rushing yards on 11 attempts. This brought his total score to 17 fantasy points.

Megatron gets some attention

Calvin Johnson put up a decent game this week after catching only 1 pass in each of the previous 2 weeks. He caught 6 passes for 77 receiving yards and a receiving touchdown. This made 19.7 fantasy points. Far from the 3 touchdown game he put up on Thanksgiving, but an improvement.

Brees and Bortles Shootout

The Jaguars and Saints had a high scoring shootout game, which is no surprise with those aggressive quarterbacks and weak secondaries. Although injured, Brees threw for 412 passing yards and 3 passing touchdowns in the win, totaling 31.5 fantasy points. One was a long 71 yard touchdown pass to Cooks, giving him a 5 catch, 123 yard, 1 touchdown game (26.3 fantasy points)

Bortles was less effective throwing 2 interceptions, but with 368 passing yards and 4 passing touchdowns, he stayed close to Brees with 32 fantasy points.

Steelers finally stopped

Big Ben and Antonio Brown seemed unstoppable after putting up big numbers against the Broncos defense last weekend. They were finally stopped this weekend however by the likes of Baltimore. Roethlisberger only there for 215 yards and 2 interceptions, a measly 10.6 fantasy points. Brown had a touchdown get called back and ended the day with 7 receptions for 61 receiving yards and 13.1 fantasy points.

Cardinals and Vikings prove contenders

The Cardinals had a big 38 to 8 win over the Packers. Carson Palmer and the Cardinals prove to be serious contenders, especially with the other big teams showing poor results. There was no huge individual fantasy value in this game, only team contentions.

The Vikings won a blowout of their own winning 49 to 17 against the Giants. Minnesota was very effective running the ball with Peterson rushing 104 yards with a touchdown and McKinnon rushing 89 yards with 2 touchdowns.

Some Premium Receivers Deliver

Brandon Marshall caught 8 passes for 115 receiving yards and 2 receiving touchdowns. 31.5 fantasy points.

Deandre Hopkins caught 7 passes for 117 receiving yards and a receiving touchdown. 24.7 fantasy points.

Julio Jones caught 7 passes for 178 receiving yards and a touchdown. 35.8 fantasy points.

Allen Robinson caught 6 passes for 151 receiving yards and a touchdown. 30 fantasy points.

Posted in NFL

Week 16 Value Picks

Quarterback

Screen Shot 2015-12-26 at 9.35.20 AM

The shootout of the weekend should be between Jacksonville and New Orleans, assuming Drew Brees is healthy enough to take the field after tearing his plantar last week (the same injury Peyton Manning is struggling with). These two quarterbacks love to throw the ball and their defenses love to let the ball be thrown. I give Bortles the fantasy edge though since the Saints defense is more flawed fundamentally and Bortles just loves to throw the ball way down the field.

Kirk Cousins could be a great value pick this weekend as well. He has been on fire lately and we see the weapons he has in Jordan Reed and DeSean Jackson (even Alfred Morris as well). Thats not even considering the fact that the Eagles secondary is great at making any quarterback look like Tom Brady out there.

Running Back

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As you can see from the above, there are not many great options at running back this week with the highest projected running back as Doug Martin (CHI @ TB) with only 20.6 projected points. You can spend the money at Running back if you wish and go with the likes of Doug Martin (CHI @ TB) and Matt Forte (CHI @ TB) in what should be a run off, or you can save your money for the higher value at the Receiver position and go for the bargain picks of Darren Sproles (WAS @ PHI), Tim Hightower (JAX @ NO), Christine Michael (STL @ SEA), or Ameer Abdullah (SF @ DET).

Wide Receiver

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The stack of the week should be Allen Robinson and Blake Bortles against the Saints. There is no denying that the Big Ben and Antonio Brown connection has been unstoppable this year, no matter what the matchup. He is going to cost you a pretty penny but fading Antonio Brown may just kill your chances of winning big, as it has plenty of weekends this year already.

Or you can go with Doug Baldwin who has scored over 10 touchdowns in the past 4 weeks. Can he keep this streak going against the Rams? I’m saying yes, not that he will score another 3 touchdowns, but he should be able to haul in 1 or 2 providing some good fantasy value. Seattle doesn’t seem to be stopping this charge until the season ends.

If you are trying to find a cheap value receiver to fill that last spot in your lineup with limited funds, you can look to Jeremy Maclin (CLE @ KC), John Brown (GB @ ARI), Michael Floyd (GB @ ARI), Willie Snead (JAX @ NO), Bradon Cooks (JAX @ NO), or Golden Tate (SF @ DET).

Tight End

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The tight end decision has been made easier in the previous couple weeks with Gronk out. Up until then the decision was go for Gronk, accept the 50+% ownership and $7000+ price tag and hope its his week, or choose from the list of alternative tight ends. The Gronk versus the field decision is back. This week it is easy though.

Gronk has not shown his dominance of previous years this season and is only projected about 1 point higher than the Saints‘ Benjamin Watson. The value picks here are Ebron and Kelce. Kelce has been stagnated slightly since his explosive start to the season and his salary reflects that decline. However, he has high end potential against the Browns, which is what you are going to need to win any big NFL Daily Fantasy Tournament. Ebron as well has shown brilliance at times this year and is getting more action lately with Calvin Johnson all of the sudden becoming obsolete in their offense. Ebron comes much cheaper than the other highly projected options and allows you to spend the cash where you want this week, with the receivers.

Posted in NFL

NFL Week 15 Recap

Cam Newton Continues to Win

The word on the street going into this week was that the Giants may be the team to stop the Panthers dominance, with Eli having a history of upsetting undefeated teams. It did not seem that way early on with Odell being so off his game, but they turned things around in the second half, putting the Panther’s undefeated season in Jeopardy.

The Panthers were able to winning the end though. Cam Newton showed he can win with any personnel, spreading the ball out to 4 different receivers (Ginn (2), Olsen, Funchess, and Brown) for receiving touchdowns. On top of those 5 passing touchdowns he racked up 340 passing yards and 100 rushing yards for his usual, massive fantasy value.

Redskins find their passing game

Kirk Cousins showed he meant business as Washington dominated the Bills. Cousins went 22 for 28 on passes for 319 passing yards, 4 passing touchdowns and a 13 yard rushing touchdown. Additionally, he ran one in himself. As far as receivers went, Cousins picked his favorites, connecting with Jordan Reed for 2 touchdown passes, DeSean Jackson for 153 receiving yards and 1 receiving touchdown, and Pierre Garcon for a receiving touchdown.

Bears can’t stop the pass

Teddy Bridgewater had an uncharacteristically good passing game throwing 17 for 20 with 4 passing touchdowns for 231 passing yards against Chicago. On top of that, he showed his athleticism with 17 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown. After Peterson was limited early to an ankle injury, they were forced to rely on the passing game, which the Bears were not able stifle. Bridgewater connected with Diggs for 55 receiving yards and 2 receiving touchdowns and with Jerick McKinnon for 76 receiving yards and a receiving touchdown.

Denver’s Defense can’t hold back the Steelers

Antonio Brown and Ben Roethlisberger continue to dominate, even against what may be the best defense in the NFL. Big Ben threw for 380 passing yards and 3 passing touchdowns while Brown caught 16 passes for 189 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns. Brown’s numbers was beat early on by the Broncos‘ Emmanuel Sanders catching 10 passes for 181 receiving yards and a touchdown, but the Steelers rally late in the game pushed Brown ahead.

Danny Woodhead single handedly beats the Dolphins

Well maybe he needed the rest of his team out there… but it seems like Woodhead can do it all as he scored 4 total touchdowns, 3 receiving and 1 rushing. He ended the day with a total of 38 fantasy points combining those touchdowns with receptions, receiving yards, and rushing yards.

Hard to find value at Running Back

Not much value could be found at running back this week. Those who did provide value did so by combining rushing stats with receiving stats. The Patriots‘ James White did so with only 1 rush for 6 yards but 7 receptions for 71 receiving yards and 1 receiving touchdown. Similarly, Devonta Freeman had 56 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown for decent value, but he added on top of that 7 receptions for 45 receiving yards.

The same could be said for Matt Forte as he rushed for only 47 yards but had 6 receptions for 57 receiving yards and a receiving touchdown. The Chiefs‘ Charcandrick West logged 76 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown as well to be among the weekends leaders at running back. Rashad Jennings provided some fantasy value in a high scoring loss against the Panthers with 107 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown.

Posted in NFL

NFL Week 14 Weekend Highlights

Seattle is on a roll

In the past 3 weeks Russell Wilson has scored 14 touchdowns, 8 of which were to his favorite target Doug Baldwin. This team is matching their stiff defense with an explosive offense that has scored 29 or more points for the past 5 weeks. These two led the weekend in fantasy points as well with Russell Wilson totaling 32.28 fantasy points with 292 passing yards and 5 passing touchdowns while Doug Baldwin had 6 catches for 82 receiving yards and 3 receiving touchdowns.

As impressive as those numbers are, Baldwin wasn’t the only receiver to score big this weekend. Tyler Lockett had 2 receiving touchdowns for himself and over 100 receiving yards for a total of 28.4 fantasy points and 4th on the list of fantasy performers for the weekend, putting Seahawks players at 1st, 2nd, and 4th for the weekend, the clear winning stack of the week.

Golden Tate takes over in Megatron’s absence

While Calvin Johnson did take the field, he only had one catch this weekend on 5 targets, far from how we saw him performing just a couple weeks ago. Stafford and Johnson both have yet to produce the video game numbers from Thanksgiving. Golden Tate however took over with 9 catches on 10 targets (very impressive efficiency), with 60 receiving yards, and 2 receiving touchdowns for a total of 28.5 fantasy points, for third on our list of weekend fantasy performers.

Green Bay Running Backs

Very rarely do we see multiple running backs on the same team generating good fantasy value. Generally, in committee running schemes, the hot running back of the day will get most of the attempts while the others see little action. This weekend however saw big fantasy performances from both Starks and Lacy. Starks had 2 touchdowns, 1 receiving and 1 rushing for a total of 26.3 fantasy points. While lacy only had 1 touchdown, he beat out Starks in yardage with 124 rushing yards and a total of 21.8 fantasy points.

Jordan Reed may be the only promising player on the Redskins

While the Redskins still are in the hunt with a 6-7 record and a win over the Bears this weekend, they have clearly been very subpar this season. The one shining light however is Jordan Reed who caught 9 passes on 9 targets this weekend, leading the charts at Tight End with 120 receiving yards, a touchdown, and 27 fantasy points.

Posted in NFL

NFL Week 10 Value Picks

Quarterbacks

 

Blake Bortles (JAX @ BAL) At 314 passing yards allowed per game, Oakland’s Defense has been the weakest against the pass this year by a significant margin.  While Bortoles has had shockingly high numbers of interceptions in the past 4 games, he has matched that with impressive passing yards and touchdowns giving him reliable fantasy value.  With this matchup and his minimal salary, he could be a key pick in NFL daily fantasy in week 10.

 

Projection: 22.7 Fantasy Points

Fanpicks Salary: $5800

 

 

Andy Dalton (HOU @ CIN) Andy Dalton has been on fire this year so far leading the Bengals to an undefeated season so far.  The Bengals shouldn’t have much in their way this week in what should be a high scoring blowout.  Dalton’s fantasy value could be hurt though if they get ahead too early and resort to the run game.

 

Projection: 27.5 Fantasy Points

Fanpicks Salary: $7000

 

 

Joe Flacco (JAX @ BAL) Oakland should not have much opposition in the pass game either.  Flacco has provided strong numbers this year.  He may be limited on his targets however with Steve Smith out and Crockett Gilmore questionable for this weekend.

 

Projection: 22.5 Fantasy Points

Fanpicks Salary: $5500

 

 

Running Backs

 

James Starks (DET @ GB) Green Bay has passed over the duties of primary running back from Eddie Lacy to James Starks this week.  The Packers should be up early on the Lions then likely will resort to the run game to run out the time.  Starts will get plenty of attempts this week.  Plus Detroit has allowed the third most rushing yards per game of all NFL teams at 134 yards.

 

Projection: 19.7 Fantasy Points

Fanpicks Salary: $5000

 

 

TJ Yeldon (JAX @ BAL) Yeldon has been a decent fantasy option this year but considering the huge number of attempts he gets, his upside potential is far higher than what we have seen.  He will match those attempts with a couple receptions as well to add to his fantasy value.

 

Projection: 18.9 Fantasy Points

Fanpicks Salary: $5400

 

Demarco Murray (MIA @ PHI) Miami has the second worst rush defense in the league, only beating out the Browns on that list.  Demarco Murray has taken over the lion’s share of the Eagles rushing game and with his talent, he could explode for a big performance this week.  He is one of the more expensive backs but he will be worth the cash this week providing big fantasy value.

 

Projection: 22.2 Fantasy Points

Fanpicks Salary: $6400

 

 

 

Wide Receivers

 

Allen Robinson (JAX @ BAL) I already mentioned how weak Oakland’s secondary is and Robinson is Bortles’ primary receiver, especially down the field.  While he doesn’t get a huge number of receptions, those he does get are typically long balls and touchdown opportunity catches.

 

Projection: 26.4 Fantasy Points

Fanpicks Salary: $6900

 

 

Kamar Aiken (JAX @ BAL) Same goes for Aiken, with Steve Smith out and Gilmore questionable, Aiken is the primary target for Flacco.  He comes at a very cheap price and should get plenty of targets this week.

 

Projection: 22.5 Fantasy Points

Fanpicks Salary: $4200

 

 

Michael Crabtree (MIN @ OAK) Crabtree showed great synergy with Carr last week, even outperforming Amari Cooper.  Despite his two touchdowns and 100+ receiving yards last week, he still comes at a cheap price.

 

Projection: 25.1 Fantasy Points

Fanpicks Salary: $5900

 

 

 

Tight Ends

 

Jordan Reed (NO @ WAS)  Reed is a prime value pick this weekend at tight end against the very weak Saints pass defense.  He is the primary red zone target for Cousins and they will need to pass the ball a lot to keep up with the Saints offense.

 

Projection: 21.9 Fantasy Points

Fanpicks Salary: $4800

 

 

Gary Barnage (CLE @ PIT) Barnage has caught over 600 receiving yards this season for 6 touchdowns.  He has been a consistent performer on the brown’s team that has had very little consistency in personnel or performance.

Projection: 16.8 Fantasy Points

Fanpicks Salary: $5000

Posted in NFL

NFL Week 9 Value Picks

 

Quarterback

 

Jameis Winston (NYG @ TB): Winston has been consistently subpar this year so far but this week may be a breakout against the weak Giants defense.  We saw last week how flawed the Giants secondary really is.  While I don’t expect a record setting performance from Winston as we saw last week agains the giants, there will be plenty of openings he can take advantage of to air out the ball.

Projection: 22.4 Fantasy Points

 

Jay Cutler (Chi @ SD):  San Diego’s defense has the highest rushing yards allowed and passing yards allowed of any team so far this season.  Cutler may not have his star running back Matt Forte but that will force him to throw the ball more, adding to his fantasy value.  With Jeffery and Bennet as top tier targets and the weak secondary, look for Cutler to provide big fantasy numbers.

Projection: 21.4 Fantasy Points

 

Derek Carr (Oak @ Pit):  Derek Carr has recently been a very valuable fantasy option and looks to keep this trend going this weekend against the Steelers.  The Steelers are notorious for shootout games, and if Carr can take advantage of that connection with Cooper, they could both end up with a big day.

Projection: 20.1 Fantasy Points

 

 

Running Back

 

Jeremy Hill (Cle @ Cin):  Hill is always a bit of a gamble as any given game could put Hill in the primary or Bernard.  One of them will definitely have a big game this weekend against the Browns but it could be either.  I’m giving the edge to Hill.

Projection: 20.7 Fantasy Points

 

LeSean McCoy (Mia @ Buf): McCoy has been given at least 10 rushing attempts every game this season and has been efficient with those attempts usually averaging over 4 yards per carry.  Couple that with a couple receptions and the fact that he will get even more workload if the Bills can get up early on the Dolphins and McCoy could be a prosperous draft pick this weekend.

Projection: 20.7 Fantasy Points

 

Duke Johnson (Cle @ Cin): Johnson had very poor rushing production last week against the Cardinals but was somewhat redeemed with his receptions.  He is a cheap fantasy option and may provide some value if he can more rushing attempts with his receiving targets as the Browns will likely have to throw the ball a lot to catch up to the undefeated Bengals.

Projection: 19.2 Fantasy Points

 

 

 

Wide Receiver

 

Amari Cooper (Oak @ Pit): The Carr-Cooper connection should be a valuable pick this weekend in the classic Roethlisberger shootout.

Projection: 24.8 Fantasy Points

 

Stefan Diggs (Stl @ Min):  Although the Vikings are facing the strong Ram’s defensive front, Diggs has been asserting himself as Bridgewater’s top target with a string of big fantasy value games lately (20+ fantasy points in three consecutive games).  He remains a cheap option at receiver.

Projection: 21.0 Fantasy Points

 

Malcom Floyd (Chi @ SD): Despite his minimal salary, Floyd managed 92 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns last week.  While he likely won’t be able to put up those numbers again, he clearly has chemistry with Rivers and the Bears’ defense won’t be able to do much to stop the pass.

Projection: 20.8 Fantasy Points

 

 

 

Tight End

 

Jordan Reed (Was @ NE):  The Redskins will have their hands full this weekend against the Pats and will likely be down early.  This will result in Cousins relying heavily on the pass game, with his favorite target Reed reaping the fantasy benefit.  Not to mention his 11 receptions for 2 touchdowns last week.  While ownership may be high on Reed, it may hurt you more to fade him then to go with the crowd on this one.

Projection: 22.6 Fantasy Points

 

Heath Miller (Oak @ Pit):  Miller has been somewhat unproductive this season so far but like what we have seen from Antonio Brown, he performs much better with Big Ben on the field than off.  Miller caught 100+ yards last weekend with Roethlisberger back in the lineup after failing to get anywhere near that mark in Ben’s absence.

Projection: 20.4 Fantasy Points

Posted in NFL

NFL Value Picks Week 4

Quarterback

Tyrod Taylor has been very consistent over the past 3 weeks. He has averaged 238 passing yards and has had very high efficiency in his passing game completing 82.7 percent of his pass attempts. He had an off day week 2 when he threw three interceptions and fumbled the ball twice against the Patriots, but his fantasy value that week was still high as he managed 242 passing yards, 3 passing touchdowns, 43 rushing yards, and a rushing touchdown. He comes among the cheapest of all starting quarterbacks and is facing a Giants Defense that has allowed over 300 passing yards to all their opponents this year.

Although Aaron Rodgers tops the salary chart for week 4, it looks like he will still be able to exceed his fantasy value this week against a weak San Francisco defense. He has thrown for 10 touchdowns over the first three weeks and thrown no interceptions. Whether or not Devante Adams takes the field, he has the weapons he needs to dominate the 49ers.

Running Back

The star of last week at the running back position was Devante Freeman. He ran for 141 yards last week for 3 touchdowns as well as caught 5 receptions for 51 yards in his breakout performance against the Cowboys. Atlanta is somewhat limited in its offensive weapons so if they get ahead or Julio isn’t open, then Freeman is the go to guy. His salary is somewhat adjusted since last week but he is still a bargain in terms of fantasy value this week.

One of the most important things to look at to predict a breakout performance is attempts. A running back who gets plenty of attempts but has not been prosperous in fantasy value as of yet is just waiting on the right opponent. Melvin Gordon has gotten between 14 and 16 attempts over the first three weeks yet has failed to exceed 90 rushing yards. With this number of attempts and a weak Cleveland Defense, this could be the week for Gordon.

Receiver

T.Y. Hilton has been very unimpressive this season compared to his performance last year, but the blame for his fantasy struggles should not necessarily be placed on him. Andrew Luck, arguably the most consistent fantasy performer last season, has struggled in the early parts of this season. Week 4 may be both of these players time to shine against Jacksonville.

Mike Evans missed the first two games of the season but had a nice performance last week against the Texans. He caught 7 passes for over 100 receiving yards. If he can match that performance next week while adding in a touchdown or two against Carolina, he could be a huge fantasy value and a necessary addition to a winning lineup.

Tight End

Jordan Reed was limited from hitting big last week due to the failure of his quarterback Kirk Cousins. He potentially could have had over 100 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns but was limited to 6 receptions for 96 yards due to Cousins misfires. This makes him a prime sleeper candidate for a big performance this week that is not on most peoples radar.

Posted in NFL

Philadelphia Eagles versus Washington Redskins Real Money League Fantasy Football Preview 9-30-2015

NFL Fantasy Football Draft News 9-30-2015

It will be a battle in the NFC East division as the Washington Redskins will host the Philadelphia Eagles. NFL fantasy draft GM’s can tune to FOX on Sunday October 4th at 1PM Eastern Time from Washington to track the results of their one day football real money leagues.

Both teams are 1-2 on the campaign. They split their two regular season meetings from a year ago. It was Washington who knocked the Eagles out of the playoffs last year as the Redskins earned a 27-24 victory at home in late December.

The Las Vegas odds believe that Philadelphia will win this game as they are favored by a field goal on the road in this spot. A total of 47 points reveals that the oddsmakers still believe that the Eagles will find their offense. Philadelphia got their first win last week by defeating the New York Jets 24-17. It was not a very impressive victory by Philadelphia as they were aided to victory by Jets mistakes. A Darren Sproles 89 yard punt return made the difference in this game. The Eagles offense did very little with 123 rushing yards on 39 carries and a mere 108 yards through the pass. Halftime adjustments by the Jets defense were effective as they held Philadelphia scoreless in the second half of the game. The Eagles are 31st in total offensive yards with an average of just 285 yards per game. They are 30th and third last in the league in rushing yardage per game and score just 19 points a game ranking 22nd. On defense the Eagles are holding teams to 21 points a game an improved 11th in the NFL.

The Washington Redskins are looking to bounce back from a 32-21 loss at the Giants on Thursday Night Football over a week ago. Heading into this game the Redskins defense has looked improved from the prior season. Washington contained the run well but allowed 279 yards passing and two touchdown passes by Eli Manning. The Redskins were sloppy with three turnovers for the game and they forced no miscues by New York. Washington still ranks second in yardage allowed defensively as opponent’s average just 277 yards per game on the Redskins.

Philadelphia Eagles QB:

Sam Bradford

The Eagles signal caller is struggling with this system completing 62% of his throws for 678 yards with three touchdowns and four picks. He was just 14 of 28 for 118 yards against the Jets last week with very few throws down the field.

Philadelphia Eagles RB:

Ryan Matthews:

The former Charger leads the Eagles in carries with 29 for 112 yards and a touchdown. Matthews is averaging just 3.9 yards a carry this year. He had two catches last week for 20 yards and a touchdown.

Philadelphia Eagles WR:

Jordan Matthews

The second year wide out is getting heavily targeted by Bradford. Matthews has 22 catches for 231 yards with a touchdown. He is below his average with 10.5 yards per catch this year.

Washington Redskins QB:

Kirk Cousins

The Redskins starting quarterback is completing 69% of his throws for 715 yards with three touchdowns and four picks. He had two picks in the losses to Miami and the Giants this year.

Washington Redskins RB:

Alfred Morris

The veteran back has 49 carries for 199 yards and no touchdowns. He received just six carries against the Giants for 19 yards for 3.2 yards per carry.

Washington Redskins TE:

Jordan Reed

The Redskins tight end leads the team with 19 catches for 241 yards and a touchdown. He had six catches for 96 yards at the Giants.

Washington Redskins WR:

Pierre Garcon

The eighth year veteran receiver has 17 catches for 161 yards and a touchdown. Garcon was targeted 12 times in the Giants game and caught just five passes for 64 yards.

Posted in NFL