Kansas City Chiefs versus New England Patriots NFL Playoffs Real Money Fantasy Picks 1-16-2016

 

The NFL Divisional Round of the playoffs get underway on Saturday as the AFC conference is featured when the New England Patriots host the Kansas City Chiefs. Fantasy football draft GM’s can tune to CBS TV on January 16th at 4:35PM Eastern Time from New England to track the scoring results of their one day leagues.

 

Kansas City was in action for the AFC Wildcard game last week while the Patriots got a much needed week of rest to get healthy with a bye week. The Chiefs carry an 11 game win streak as they blew out the Houston Texans 30-0. KC has put up some weak passing numbers this season and have gotten enough production from their run game to sit 9th in scoring offense by averaging 25.3 points per game. It has been the defense that has been outstanding for Kansas City They are seventh in total defense and sit third in the NFL in scoring defense by giving up only 17.9 points per game. In their victory against the Texans last week the Chiefs held the Texans to only 226 yards of offense and forced five turnovers by picking off Brian Hoyer four times.

 

New England has been hit hard on the injury front to their playmakers in the passing game. The good news is the team has upgraded Julian Edelman to probable on Sunday. Tom Brady had a high ankle sprain in Week 17 and reports are he is improving and will play. The point total for New England has sank in recent games as they have put up a total of 30 points total in their past two games at the Jets and Dolphins. They are 2-4 entering the playoffs.

 

Kansas City Chiefs QB

 

Alex Smith

 

It’s amazing during the passing era that Alex Smith has not thrown for 200 yards or greater in six straight games all resulting in wins. He has passed for multiple touchdown throws in four of his past seven games.

 

Kansas City Chiefs RB

 

Charcandrick West

 

West is the leading rusher for the Chiefs but it is running back by committee in KC and there is no value in picking one of their running backs in daily or head to head leagues.

 

Kansas City Chiefs WR

 

Jeremy Maclin

 

The former Philadelphia Eagle leads the Chiefs with 87 catches for 1088 yards and eight touchdowns. Problem is Maclin has a high ankle sprain and is questionable.

 

Kansas City Chiefs TE:

 

Travis Kelce

 

Kelce came up big for the Chiefs in their win at Houston. The tight end caught eight balls for 128 yards last week in the AFC Wildcard game. He averaged 16.0 yards per catch in the win. But with Maclin hurt expect the Patriots to game plan to contain Kelce in this spot which leaves Alex Smith few options in the passing game.

 

New England Patriots QB

 

Tom Brady

 

Interesting to see how his high ankle sprain will impact Brady’s ability to throw deep in this game. He has thrown for 231 yards or fewer in three of his past four games and faces a strong defense in the Chiefs.

 

New England Patriots RB

 

Brandon Bolden

 

With numerous injuries in the Patriots backfield Bolden has seen time in the backfield for the Patriots. But he is not trusted to get enough carries in this game to add to a roster.

 

New England Patriots TE:

 

Rob Gronkowski

 

The Patriots veteran tight end leads the team with 72 catches for 1176 yards and 11 touchdowns. Look for Gronkowski to be heavily targeted in this game like he always is. Teams know that Gronk will get passes yet opposing defenses have trouble defending the big man.

 

New England Patriots K

 

Stephen Gostkowski

 

Gostkowski has been money for New England on the year. He is a perfect 52 of 52 on extra points and has been successful in 33 of 36 field goal tries. The Patriots place kicker figures to get many chances in this game because of the high quality of play from the KC defense this year.

 

NFL Playoffs Football Fantasy League Picks

 

QB: Tom Brady (Patriots)

TE: Rob Gronkowski (Patriots)

K: Stephen Gostkowski (Patriots)

Posted in NFL

Kansas City Chiefs versus Houston Texans Real Money NFL Playoffs Fantasy Picks 1-9-2016

The Wildcard round of the NFL playoffs get underway with the Houston Texans hosting the Kansas City Chiefs. One day fantasy league GM’s can tune to ESPN TV on Saturday January 9th at 4:35PM Eastern Time to track the results of their real money roster picks.

 

These teams have a history during the 2015 campaign as they met in Week 1 with Kansas City earning the 27-20 victory on the road. Houston did outgain the Chiefs and that was due in part to a pick six interception return for the Chiefs. KC built up a 27-9 halftime lead and was held scoreless in the second half. Alex Smith passed for 243 yards and three touchdowns in the victory. Brian Hoyer was benched in this game. He threw for 236 yards hitting on 18 of 34 passes with a touchdown and pick.

 

Kansas City has closed the season strongly winning ten straight games. This came before a five game losing streak as the Chiefs opened the year at 1-5 as their offense sputtered. The Chiefs have the 30th ranked passing attack and are sixth in rushing offense. The defense has carried Kansas City as they rank third in the NFL in scoring defense by allowing 17.9 points per game.

 

Houston was the winner of a weak AFC South division. They closed the year with three straight victories including a clutch 16-10 road win at Indianapolis which put the Texans in control of the division. The Texans rank near the middle in most offensive categories. The defense has been outstanding down the stretch for the Texans that it moved the team to number three in yardage allowed by giving up 310 yards per game.

 

Kansas City Chiefs QB:

 

Alex Smith

 

Known as a dink and dunk passer who is reluctant going deep downfield with passes. The veteran signal caller has completed 65.3% of his throws this year for 3486 yards with 20 touchdowns and seven picks. He threw two picks last week in the win against Oakland. His passing numbers have been futile in recent weeks. Smith has thrown for 191 yards or fewer over his past five games all against losing teams. Alex Smith has not had success in the post season.

 

Kansas City Chiefs RB:

 

Charcandrick West

 

With a season ending injury to Jamaal Charles the Chiefs were scrambling to find a replacement at running back. Second year man Charcandrick West stood out from the backups as he has rushed for 634 yards on 160 carries with four touchdowns. He averaged just 4 yards a carry and contributed in the passing game with 20 catches for 214 yards and a touchdown. He struggled last week with 34 rushing yards on 13 carries.

 

Kansas City Chiefs WR:

 

Jeremy Maclin

 

The veteran wide receiver was a good acquisition for KC in the offseason. He caught 87 passes for 1088 yards with eight touchdowns. Last year Kansas City did not complete a touchdown to a wide receiver. Maclin has a touchdown reception in three straight and five of his past six games.

 

Houston Texans QB:

 

Brian Hoyer

 

The Texans signal caller has completed 60.7% of his passes for 2606 yards with 19 touchdowns and 7 picks. He returned to the lineup last week in the win against Jacksonville as he threw for 249 yards with a touchdown and pick. He missed two games with a concussion. Hoyer has thrown for multiple touchdown throws in seven of his past ten games.

 

Houston Texans RB:

 

Alfred Blue

 

With the season long injury to Arian Foster it was Alfred Blue getting the majority of the carries this year. Blue has rushed for 698 yards on 183 carries and two touchdowns. He rushed for 102 yards on 21 carries on Jacksonville. In their huge win at Indy the running back had 107 rushing yards on 20 carries in Week 15.

 

Houston Texans WR:

 

DeAndre Hopkins

 

The third year pro had his best numbers in 2015 with 111 catches for 1521 yards with 11 touchdowns. He is averaging 13.7 yards per catch. He has caught seven or greater passes in three straight games.

 

NFL Playoff Football Fantasy League Picks

 

 

QB: Brian Hoyer (Texans)

WR: DeAndre Hopkins (Texans)

RB: Charcandrick West (Chiefs)

Posted in NFL

Wild Card Stacks to Look Out For

Antonio Brown and Ben Roethlisberger

STAY AWAY FROM THIS STACK. At least for tournaments. This has been the most valuable stack all this year and in most likelihood, will be the best stack this weekend as well. But everybody is thinking that, and I expect the ownership on both of these players to be upwards of 50 percent. For those of you who aren’t DFS experts out there, high ownership is a bad thing. Think about it this way. If you stack the Steelers, just like all of your opponents, and they do well, then your still on the same level as 80 percent of your opponents and not guaranteed to win much money. However, if they have a bad game and you avoid that stack, they you are already ahead of 80 percent of your opponents and in the running to win some big money. So take my advice here, and avoid the Steelers if you are playing in a tournament type of contest.

Kirk Cousins and Jordan Reed

This may be another highly owned stack, not quite as high as the steelers but Reed and Cousins have shown how dangerous they can be together with multiple games this season with 2 receiving touchdowns by Reed. The Skins are facing the struggling Packers as well. Cousins’ aggressive play gives him a very high fantasy upside.

Aaron Rodgers and James Jones/Randall Cobb/Richard Rodgers

Its hard to figure out who is going to be Aaron Rodgers’ favorite target each game. From week to week it can be any of the three, personally, I give the edge to James Jones since he always seems to get the long balls and red zone threats. Nobody is expecting much from Rodgers after a lackluster season so far but he has been here before, and he will show up for the playoffs. This is my favorite stack for the weekend, you just have to decide for yourself which receiver you think is going to get the targets.

Alex Smith and Jeremy Maclin

This stack could be valuable as the synergy between these two has been very solid as of late. Maclin seems to have taken over as Smith’s favorite receiver. However, facing the Houston defense may be a difficult task and it seems like the Chiefs have taken on a run first offense. You can guarantee the ownership will be lower on this stack than most other stacks so there is a high upside, but the matchup is not great. If you are entering multiple lineups, maybe throw this stack in one of them and roll the dice.

Posted in NFL

NFL Week 8 Value Picks

Quarterback

 

Andy Dalton (Cin @ Pit): Dalton has let the Bengals to a 6-0 record so far this season against some strong defensive fronts.  He has averaged almost 300 passing yards and thrown only 2 interceptions all year.  Rested off of the bye week, Dalton will have to win the shootout against the returning Roethlisberger to keep the Bengals streak alive.

Projection: 22.7 Fantasy Points

 

Alex Smith (Det @ KC): Smith has been consistently subpar in fantasy value so far this year, but has had decent completion rating and very few interceptions.  He has Maclin back this week against the Lions and should be able to provide serious fantasy value for his cheap price.

Projection: 21 Fantasy Points

 

Matt Stafford (Det @ KC): Stafford on the other side of the ball has been one of the most volatile quarterbacks but chances are he will be firing the ball downfield just as much.  Also coming for a bargain, Stafford may be able to put together another big fantasy performance.

Projection: 21 Fantasy Points

 

Running Back

 

Justin Forsett (SD @ Bal): After a slow start to the season, Forsett has been a top pick at the running back position.  With his combination of running attempts and receiving targets, he should be able to deliver solid value this week against the weak Chargers defense.  Chargers have allowed second most rushing yards per game (132) and the most receiving yards per game (344) this season.

Projection: 20.8 Fantasy Points

 

Danny Woodhead (SD @ Bal):  Woodhead is the exact counterpart of Forsett for the chargers— a primary running back who magnifies his fantasy value with receptions.  After scoring two touchdowns last week and being the only effective running back for the Chargers, look for Woodhead to deliver again this week.

Projection: 20.1 Fantasy Points

 

Chris Johnson (Ari @ Cle):  Chris Johnson has asserted himself as the primary back among the Cardinals strong group of Running backs (including Andre Ellington and David Johnson).  He is facing the struggling Browns this week who have allowed more rushing yards (151 per game) than any other team this season.

Projection: 20.7 Fantasy Points

 

Wide Receiver

 

Martavis Bryant (Cin @ Pit): With the veteran Quarterback Roethlisberger back on the field, Bryant’s fantasy production should be far beyond his recent weeks (which have not been bad considering the conditions.  You can expect some long, on target passes to be thrown to Bryant downfield in the shootout against the Bengals.

Projection: 21.3 Fantasy Points

 

Jeremy Maclin (Det @ KC): Alex Smith has recently been spreading out the ball with moderate success.  However, his favorite targets are the Tight End Travis Kelce and Receiver Jeremy Maclin.  If the Chiefs are going to win against the Lions, Maclin will have to do his part.

Projection: 22 Fantasy Points

 

Alshon Jeffery (Min @ Chi): Alshon Jeffery has been plagued by injuries so far this year but look for him to return to his normal production this week against the vikings.  With Cutler back on track that chemistry could generate some good fantasy value.

Projection: 21.7 Fantasy Points

 

 

Posted in NFL

Kansas City Chiefs versus Green Bay Packers

Monday Night One Day League Fantasy Picks 9-28-2015

The Monday Night Football game on tap for September 28th features the Green Bay Packers hosting the Kansas City Chiefs. Fantasy football draft GM’s can tune to ESPN TV at 8:30PM Eastern Time from Green Bay to follow the results of their roster picks.

The Las Vegas line has the Packers favored by -6 points and they expect each offense to put up points as the total is rather high at 49 points. It is worth noting that these two teams face off against one another just once every four years so the offense should shine on Monday Night. Kansas City will have plenty of time to get ready for Green Bay having played way back on September 17th at home to Denver. The Chiefs are 1-1 with a road win at Houston to open the year and a home loss to Denver 31-24. The Chiefs were unable to hold a 24-17 lead late against the Broncos as they surrender 14 points in the final 36 seconds of the game. The tying touchdown was a 19 yard touchdown pass by Peyton Manning then nine seconds later the Broncos return a Chief fumble for the game winning touchdown.

Green Bay is 2-0 on the campaign as they take the field on Monday Night. They have put up some points this season ranking sixth in scoring 29 points a game. They have a 31-23 road win at Chicago and last week they defeated Seattle 27-17. Defensively the numbers have looked good except in one area which is rush defense. Opponents are rushing for 154 yards on them ranking 31st and second to last in the NFL.

Kansas City Chiefs QB:

Alex Smith

The veteran signal caller is completing 65% of his throws for 434 yards. He has thrown three touchdowns with two picks. The Chiefs offensive line has surrendered six sacks in two games to their starting quarterback.

Kansas City Chiefs RB:

Jamaal Charles

The veteran back has 37 carries for 182 yards with a touchdown. He has seven first down gains and is running for 4.9 yards a carry this season. His best game of the year came at home to Denver where he rushed for 125 yards and touchdown on 21 carries for 6 yards per run.

Kansas City Chiefs TE:

Travis Kelce

The Chiefs third year tight end leads the club with 10 catches for 164 yards with two touchdowns. Alex Smith doesn’t fire deep as much as the elite quarterbacks do in this league so the tight end will be targeted heavily. Kelce had two touchdown catches in week one on the road to Houston.

Kansas City Chiefs WR:

Jeremy Maclin

The receiver was acquired from the Philadelphia Eagles in the offseason. He has caught nine balls for 109 yards. He has yet to catch a touchdown pass this year. Alex Smith had no touchdown passes to receivers last year. Maclin caught four balls last week against Denver for 57 yards.

Albert Wilson

Wilson is a fantasy dud so far lining up opposite Maclin. He has three catches for 25 yards.

Green Bay Packers QB:

Aaron Rodgers

Rodgers is playing well hitting on 76% of his throws for 438 yards with five touchdowns and no picks. He threw for 249 yards and two touchdowns last week at home to Seattle.

Green Bay Packers RB:

Eddie Lacy

The Packers running back is questionable as he left the game against Seattle with an ankle problem. He has 22 carries for 94 yards and a touchdown. He had just three carries before getting hurt.

James Starks:

The veteran running back has 22 carries for 97 yards. He is rushing for 4.4 yards a carry on the year. He had 20 carries for 95 yards last week against Seattle.

Green Bay Packers WR:

Randall Cobb

The fifth year wide out has 13 catches for 154 yards and a touchdown. He had a big game against Seattle last week catching eight passes for 116 yards averaging 14.5 yards per catch.

James Jones

Cut by the Giants and signed by the Packers in the preseason. Jones has caught five balls for 80 yards and three touchdowns. He has a touchdown reception in each game this year.

Monday Night Football Real Money Fantasy Picks

QB: Aaron Rodgers (Packers)

RB: Jamaal Charles (Chiefs)

WR: Randall Cobb (Packers), James Jones (Packers)

TE: Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

Posted in NFL

Denver Broncos versus Kansas City Chiefs

Thursday Night NFL Fantasy Picks 9-17-2015

Thursday Night Football features two AFC West 2-0 clubs as the Kansas City Chiefs will welcome into town the Denver Broncos. Fantasy football GM’s can tune to CBS TV on September 17th at 8:25PM Eastern Time to follow the results of their one day league rosters.

The Denver Broncos opened the year at home to face the Baltimore Ravens and Denver squeaked by for a 19-13 home victory. It was not a very good offensive performance by the Broncos as they kick four field goals and scored just one touchdown in the win. Denver had 69 rushing yards and 150 yards passing in the game with just one red zone appearance.

The Kansas City Chiefs were successful in week one of the season as they traveled into Houston and came away with the 27-20 victory. The Chiefs offense relied heavily on their first half performance as they are up 27-9 at the half. Unfortunately Kansas City could not score anymore points in the game after the Texans made second half adjustments plus the Chiefs had to sweat out recovering an onside kick in the end.

These two division rivals met twice in the 2014 season. Denver won both games home and away. The Broncos carry a six game win streak against Kansas City into Thursday night. The game held in Kansas City last year was in late November and Denver came away with the 29-16 road win. Denver ran the ball effectively in the victory with 214 yards on the ground. In the Chiefs win in Week 1 at Houston the Texans were without their leading rusher in Arian Thomas who underwent surgery.

Denver Broncos QB: Peyton Manning

Entering the 2015 season fantasy football GM’s were concerned about the arm strength of Peyton Manning. He has lost weapons from previous seasons and the replacements are not of similar quality. His play last week did not sit well with Manning’s detractors. He did not appear to have the same zip on throws he has had in the past. That 39 year old body could be wearing down a bit. He missed open receivers downfield which could be a rust issue rather than age. Another issue facing Manning is the Broncos reconstructed offensive line. Manning dealt with heavy pressure last week as the Ravens on the road got to the veteran quarterback many times with hits. That is a real issue here because the Broncos will be on the road and will have to deal with the noise factor at Arrowhead Stadium. In week one Manning completed 60% of his throws for 150 yards with no touchdowns and an interception that went for a Ravens touchdown.

Denver Broncos RB: Ronnie Hillman, C.J. Anderson

These two running backs split carries and that’s not a good sign for fantasy value. Hillman had 12 carries for 41 yards.

C.J. Anderson on 12 carries for 29 yards. The Broncos two running backs combined for just 2.8 yards a carry.

Denver Broncos WR: Emmanuel Sanders, Demaryius Thomas

Sanders was targeted 12 times in week one and caught eight balls for 65 yards. His longest play went for 18 yards.

Thomas had seven grabs for 60 yards. Neither receiver had much in their yards per catch average also posting a red flag for drafting Manning in daily leagues.

Kansas City Chiefs QB: Alex Smith

The veteran quarterback was good to his draft managers last week as he hit 22 of 33 passes for 233 yards with three touchdowns passes. He had no turnovers in the game. Going on the highway facing JJ Watt and company in a road opener has to give huge confidence to this Chiefs team and starting quarterback.

Kansas City Chiefs RB: Jamaal Charles

The veteran back ran for 57 yards on 16 carries for just 3.6 yards a carry. Charles is a weapon in the passing game as he caught five balls for 46 yards and a touchdown.

Kansas City Chiefs TE: Travis Kelce

It was a nice opener for Kelce with six grabs for 106 yards and two touchdowns. He also had five first down gains.

Kansas City Chiefs WR: Jeremy Maclin

The opener in 2015 saw no Chiefs receiver with a receiving touchdown. Jeremy Maclin acquired in the offseason had five receptions for just 52 yards with his longest catch going for 20 yards.

Thursday Night Football Daily Fantasy League Picks

QB: Alex Smith (Chiefs)

RB: Jamaal Charles (Chiefs)

WR: Jeremy Maclin (Chiefs), Emmanuel Sanders (Broncos)

TE: Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

Posted in NFL

Today’s Top Fantasy Picks – NFL – 8-20-15

Wide Receiver Value Roster Picks

Top fantasy value picks for NFL Week 1 2015 – Wide Receivers

Jordan Matthews

Keenan Allen

Golden Tate

Mike Wallace

Kelvin Benjamin

Jeremy Maclin

Posted in Top Fantasy Picks