Week 16 Value Picks

Quarterback

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The shootout of the weekend should be between Jacksonville and New Orleans, assuming Drew Brees is healthy enough to take the field after tearing his plantar last week (the same injury Peyton Manning is struggling with). These two quarterbacks love to throw the ball and their defenses love to let the ball be thrown. I give Bortles the fantasy edge though since the Saints defense is more flawed fundamentally and Bortles just loves to throw the ball way down the field.

Kirk Cousins could be a great value pick this weekend as well. He has been on fire lately and we see the weapons he has in Jordan Reed and DeSean Jackson (even Alfred Morris as well). Thats not even considering the fact that the Eagles secondary is great at making any quarterback look like Tom Brady out there.

Running Back

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As you can see from the above, there are not many great options at running back this week with the highest projected running back as Doug Martin (CHI @ TB) with only 20.6 projected points. You can spend the money at Running back if you wish and go with the likes of Doug Martin (CHI @ TB) and Matt Forte (CHI @ TB) in what should be a run off, or you can save your money for the higher value at the Receiver position and go for the bargain picks of Darren Sproles (WAS @ PHI), Tim Hightower (JAX @ NO), Christine Michael (STL @ SEA), or Ameer Abdullah (SF @ DET).

Wide Receiver

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The stack of the week should be Allen Robinson and Blake Bortles against the Saints. There is no denying that the Big Ben and Antonio Brown connection has been unstoppable this year, no matter what the matchup. He is going to cost you a pretty penny but fading Antonio Brown may just kill your chances of winning big, as it has plenty of weekends this year already.

Or you can go with Doug Baldwin who has scored over 10 touchdowns in the past 4 weeks. Can he keep this streak going against the Rams? I’m saying yes, not that he will score another 3 touchdowns, but he should be able to haul in 1 or 2 providing some good fantasy value. Seattle doesn’t seem to be stopping this charge until the season ends.

If you are trying to find a cheap value receiver to fill that last spot in your lineup with limited funds, you can look to Jeremy Maclin (CLE @ KC), John Brown (GB @ ARI), Michael Floyd (GB @ ARI), Willie Snead (JAX @ NO), Bradon Cooks (JAX @ NO), or Golden Tate (SF @ DET).

Tight End

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The tight end decision has been made easier in the previous couple weeks with Gronk out. Up until then the decision was go for Gronk, accept the 50+% ownership and $7000+ price tag and hope its his week, or choose from the list of alternative tight ends. The Gronk versus the field decision is back. This week it is easy though.

Gronk has not shown his dominance of previous years this season and is only projected about 1 point higher than the Saints‘ Benjamin Watson. The value picks here are Ebron and Kelce. Kelce has been stagnated slightly since his explosive start to the season and his salary reflects that decline. However, he has high end potential against the Browns, which is what you are going to need to win any big NFL Daily Fantasy Tournament. Ebron as well has shown brilliance at times this year and is getting more action lately with Calvin Johnson all of the sudden becoming obsolete in their offense. Ebron comes much cheaper than the other highly projected options and allows you to spend the cash where you want this week, with the receivers.

Posted in NFL

NFL Week 15 Value Picks

Quarterback

Fantasy football

Carson Palmer (Ari @ Phi)  Carson Palmer has been on roll lately.  The Cardinals have depth at the receiver position and everyone is health.  The Eagles on the other hand have not been able to stop the long ball with their lack of depth at corner back.  Perfect conditions for Palmer to have a big passing game, especially to the likes of Michael Floyd and John Brown.

 

Blake Bortles (Atl @ Jax) While the Jaguars have not been winning many games, and Bortles does not among the list of top quarterbacks in terms of gameplay.  He is an allstar fantasy quarterback.  He throws the long ball more than any other quarterback and he been consistently able to produce big numbers (despite a couple of interceptions being pretty common).  The Falcons have not been strong against the pass either.

 

Running Back

Fantasy football

Bryce Brown (Cle @ Sea)  The Seahawks have been unstoppable in their last 3 games and showing to be a serious Super Bowl contender.  They should have no issue blowing out the Browns, but with Lynch and Rawls out, they will need a running back to run down the clock once they have established their lead.  It looks like Brown will get those duties.

 

Lamar Miller (Mia @ SD)  The Chargers rank 6th on the list of rushing yards allowed per game with 127 rushing yards allowed per game.  Miller is coming off a 2 touchdown game against the giants.

 

Wide Receiver

Fantasy football

Golden Tate (Det @ NO) Although the Saints defense has been stronger as of late, they still average the third most passing yards allowed per game.  Golden Tate has only dropped 4 passes on 28 targets over the pass 4 games and if Calvin Johnson continues to struggle, Tate is the logical next target.

 

Demaryius Thomas (Den @ Pit) Pittsburgh is the most likely team to be involved in a shootout type game.  They have an explosive offense, but allow huge amounts of opposing passing yards as well.  Thomas has been working well with Osweiier recently and may be in for a big game against the Steelers.

 

Tight End

Fantasy football

Benjamin Watson (Det @ NO) Watson has amounted 28 targets from Brees over the past 3 games.  He has only managed to catch 15 of them, which means he has potential for big fantasy value if he can reel in those passes.

 

Posted in NFL

NFL Week 14 Weekend Highlights

Seattle is on a roll

In the past 3 weeks Russell Wilson has scored 14 touchdowns, 8 of which were to his favorite target Doug Baldwin. This team is matching their stiff defense with an explosive offense that has scored 29 or more points for the past 5 weeks. These two led the weekend in fantasy points as well with Russell Wilson totaling 32.28 fantasy points with 292 passing yards and 5 passing touchdowns while Doug Baldwin had 6 catches for 82 receiving yards and 3 receiving touchdowns.

As impressive as those numbers are, Baldwin wasn’t the only receiver to score big this weekend. Tyler Lockett had 2 receiving touchdowns for himself and over 100 receiving yards for a total of 28.4 fantasy points and 4th on the list of fantasy performers for the weekend, putting Seahawks players at 1st, 2nd, and 4th for the weekend, the clear winning stack of the week.

Golden Tate takes over in Megatron’s absence

While Calvin Johnson did take the field, he only had one catch this weekend on 5 targets, far from how we saw him performing just a couple weeks ago. Stafford and Johnson both have yet to produce the video game numbers from Thanksgiving. Golden Tate however took over with 9 catches on 10 targets (very impressive efficiency), with 60 receiving yards, and 2 receiving touchdowns for a total of 28.5 fantasy points, for third on our list of weekend fantasy performers.

Green Bay Running Backs

Very rarely do we see multiple running backs on the same team generating good fantasy value. Generally, in committee running schemes, the hot running back of the day will get most of the attempts while the others see little action. This weekend however saw big fantasy performances from both Starks and Lacy. Starks had 2 touchdowns, 1 receiving and 1 rushing for a total of 26.3 fantasy points. While lacy only had 1 touchdown, he beat out Starks in yardage with 124 rushing yards and a total of 21.8 fantasy points.

Jordan Reed may be the only promising player on the Redskins

While the Redskins still are in the hunt with a 6-7 record and a win over the Bears this weekend, they have clearly been very subpar this season. The one shining light however is Jordan Reed who caught 9 passes on 9 targets this weekend, leading the charts at Tight End with 120 receiving yards, a touchdown, and 27 fantasy points.

Posted in NFL

NFL Thanksgiving We Build Champions Fantasy Football Lineup

The Stack between Matthew Stafford was the Key pick of the day with those two connecting for 3 passing touchdowns against the Eagles. Stafford threw an additional touchdown to both Theo Riddick and Golden creating huge fantasy value for himself and his receivers. Beyond the Lions offense, Carolina Defense was the next key value pick to lock in on as they had three interceptions, two of which were returned for touchdowns. In small game slates, such as yesterday, a couple of your picks can make or break you as failing to pick Calvin Johnson (who’s ownership was somewhere in the area of 70-80% depending on the contest) pretty much guaranteed you would be out of the money.

Fantasy Football

Posted in NFL

NFL Week 11 Value Picks

Quarterback

Matthew Stafford (Oak @ Det) Although he has thrown almost as many interceptions this year as touchdowns, Stafford always has the potential for a high upside with the lions aggressive passing (that usually comes from being behind early). If Calvin Johnson doesn’t start that could hurt his value a bit but regardless, Stafford should be able to provide good fantasy value for his cheap price among Quarterbacks.
Projection: 23.3 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $6300

 

Tyrod Taylor (Buf @ NE) Taylor is another nice example of a cheap quarterback with high potential for garbage points. Facing the best team in the league, the Bills will be forced to pass the ball to attempt to fight out of their deficit.
Projection: 22.8 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $5500

 

Russell Wilson (SF @ Sea) Russell Wilson has failed to provide any sort of fantasy value so far this season but this may be the week he can turn things around. With the Seahawks running backs struggling (Lynch injured and Rawls unproductive) Wilson may resort to throwing the ball or running it himself, either which will be great for his fantasy production.
Projection: 22.5 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $6100

Running Back

Charcandrick West (KC @ SD) West has had great production over the past 3 games scoring a rushing touchdown in each, with an additional receiving touchdown last week. With a favorable matchup this week against the Chargers and his salary remaining on the low end, West is a great value pick for this week.
Projection: 17.7 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $4900

 

Latavius Murray (Oak @ Det) Murray has been averaging over 15 rushing attempts per game along with several receptions as well. This gives him huge upside potential to have a big fantasy performance, especially against the weak Lions defensive front.
Projection: 19.1 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $5100

 

Jonathan Stewart (Was @ Car) Stewart has gotten at least 20 rushing attempts in all of the Panthers last 4 games. The Panthers should be able to get ahead early and run down the clock, which means plenty of action for Stewart. If Newton hands off those red zone carries instead of taking them himself, Stewarts production could be even better.
Projection: 18.7 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $4900

Wide Receivers

Sammy Watkins (Buf @ NE) Watkins, like Taylor, should be able to rack up the garbage time points against the Patriots. A cheap stack between the two can provide good value and free up cash for other premium players. Nothing glamorous but points are points are point in Daily Fantasy NFL Contests.
Projection: 24.4 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $5600

 

Brandon Lafell (Buf @ NE) With Edelman out and Lafell back on the rise, he should get an increase in targets and should be able to open it up for a touchdown. Edelman’s targets may go to Gronk and Amendola, but I think Lafell has the most to gain from Edelman’s absence.
Projection: 22.5 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $5000

 

Golden Tate (Oak @ Det) If Calvin Johnson doesn’t get the start Tate will be the primary target for Stafford against the weak Oakland secondary. He has been under the radar so far this season but has great fantasy upside in a favorable matchup.
Projection: 20.1 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $5100

Tight End

Crockett Gilmore (Stl @ Bal) Don’t expect a huge number of targets or receiving yards out of Gilmore, but he has been productive in the red zone. If he can get a touchdown for a third game in a row then he will be a good draft pick for your winning lineup.
Projection: 15.8 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $3700

 

Eric Ebron (Oak @ Det) Ebron is another under the radar tight end. Don’t expect a huge number of targets, although they may be increased without Calvin Johnson at 100 percent. He has scored 3 touchdowns this year and always is a red zone threat.
Projection: 13.2 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $4000

Posted in NFL

Denver Broncos versus Detroit Lions
Sunday Night Fantasy NFL Picks 9-27-2015

Sunday Night Football features the Detroit Lions at home welcoming into town Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos. Fantasy Football draft managers will tune to NBC TV on September 27th at 8:30PM Eastern Time to track the scoring results of their roster picks.

Denver enters play with a mark of 2-0. After an ugly 19-13 home win to Baltimore in Week 1 the team traveled to Kansas City on a short week for a Thursday night battle they won 31-24. Peyton Manning had a touchdown pass in the closing seconds to tie it and the Broncos returned a Chiefs fumble for a touchdown just seconds later for the outright win. The Broncos have defended very well this year as they are at the top of the league in total defense as they surrender just 255 yards per game. Denver is number one against the pass by allowing 145 yards passing per game to their opponents. The running game has sputtered this year as the team runs for just 65 yards per game ranking 29th in the NFL.

The Detroit Lions are a desperate 0-2 team as the take the field in their home opener. They began the year with road games at San Diego and Detroit to start the year. The Lions blew a big lead to San Diego in week one by getting outscored 23-7 in the second half of a 33-28 road defeat. Last week the Lions traveled to division rival Minnesota Vikings and were defeated 26-16. The Lions have struggled on the defensive side of the football by ranking 31st and second to last in total defense by giving up 416 yards per game. Teams run for 147 yards and average 29 points per game on the Lions ranking the club amongst the bottom teams at 28th this year.

Denver Broncos QB:

Peyton Manning

The veteran signal caller threw for 256 yards and three touchdowns in the victory against the Kansas City Chiefs. He has thrown a pick in each game of this season. Manning was clutch in that Thursday night game as he threw a game tying touchdown in the final seconds of the game.

Denver Broncos RB:

Ronnie Hillman

The Broncos continue to play running back by committee which hurts NFL fantasy draft managers. Hillman leads the club with 75 yards rushing on 21 carries for just 3.6 yards per run.

C.J. Anderson

The third year pro running back has 24 carries for just 56 yards which averages out to 2.3 yards per run. He ran for 27 yards on Thursday night against Kansas City on 12 carries.

Denver Broncos WR:

Demaryius Thomas

Thomas leads the Broncos with 15 catches for 176 yards. He longest catch was for 22 yards and has no touchdown receptions on the campaign.

Emmanuel Sanders:

Sanders have 16 catches for 152 yards with two touchdowns. He is well below his 13 yards per catch average during his career.

Detroit Lions QB:

Matthew Stafford

It has been a tough start of the year for Stafford who has thrown for four touchdowns but has three picks on the year. He has completed 61% of his throws this year for 532 yards.

Detroit Lions RB:

Ameer Abdullah

The rookie running back had much of his potential shine in the preseason. Now in the regular season Abdullah had 13 carries for 59 yards with a touchdown and a long run for 24 yards.

Joique Bell

Looks like Bell will be losing his carries to Abdullah as Bell has run for just 16 yards on ten carries for 1.6 yards a carry.

Detroit Lions WR:

Calvin Johnson

The veteran wide out has 12 catches for 122 yards and a touchdown. Johnson averages 16 yards per catch in his career but just 10 yards a catch in 2015. He was targeted 17 times last week at Minnesota and caught ten balls for 83 yards and a touchdown.

Golden Tate

Tate has ten catches for 104 yards. In the Vikings game last week Tate in his six catches averaged 13.3 yards per reception.

Posted in NFL

Fantasy Football – NFL Preview – Detroit Lions

Daily Fantasy Sports managers, it`s time to play some Fantasy Football. In the next few weeks, we are going to do a preview of every football team in preparation for the NFL 2015 season. Get ready for the new and improved way to Play Daily Fantasy Football, starting September 10th.

The hiring of Jim Caldwell as head coach of the Detroit Lions last year, made an immediate impact to the success of the team. They finished with a 11-5 record, and made the playoffs as a wild card team. They`ve lost the first round to the Dallas Cowboys 24-20. The Lions want to go a step further this season, despite losing a lot of their best player in the offseason.

Cash Draft Offensive analysis

QB Matthew Stafford will be entering his 7th season in the NFL. The 2009 first-overall pick had more than 4500 yards between 2011 and 2013. Last year, he completed 363 pass for 4257 yards and 22 touchdowns while having 12 interceptions. Even if his passing game has slowed down, that doesn`t mean that he isn`t a overall elite quarterback. He has developped his running skill quite nicely in the last few seasons, and has also reduced the fumbles over the years.

RB Joique Bell has now taken the full time running back spot, when Reggie Bush left for San Francisco. Bell had 860 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns in 2014. His fantasy value will be tested early. If he isn`t able to fulfill the job of the number 1, RB Ameer Abdullah will be right there waiting for the opportunity to steal playing time from Bell. Abdullah is the 2nd round pick of the 2015 draft, for the Lions. He has shown great skills with the Nebraska Cornhuskers, acquiring 1611 rushing yards and 19 touchdowns in 2014. Abdullah is an explosive running back, and also has the ability to receive the ball.

WR Calvin Johnson has been face of the franchise for several years now. Last year, he has collected 71 receptions for a 1077 yards and 8 touchdowns. Despite entering his 30`s, he`s still likely to have a few more good seasons ahead of him.

WR Golden Tate had his first season with more than a 1000 yards, last year. He caught 99 times for 1331 yards and 4 touchdowns in 2014. He`s not as tall as Johnson, which limits him for touchdown opportunities. But he`ll look to lead the team in receiving yards once again.

WR T.J. Jones has missed all of last season due to a shoulder injury and is currently listed as the 5th receiver. But the 23 years-old has football blood in his veins. He has played college football for the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, and he had the game winning catch during the 2013 BCS National Championship. His last year in the NCAA, he had 70 receptions for 1108 yards and 9 touchdowns. He could be a real fantasy sleeper this year.

TE Eric Ebron came in as a rookie with big promises. But he has failed to attend those in his first year in the NFL. He finished the year with 25 receptions for 248 yards and a single touchdown. This year, the North Carolina alumni will have a second chance to prove he is not a fluke. The Lions would love to find someone at this position, who can complement with Calvin Johnson and Golden Tate.

Cash Draft Defensive analysis

The Defensive line took a turn for the worse, as DT`s Ndamukong Suh and Nick Fairley both left in the offseason. They were able to find one replacement in DT Haloti Ngata, who has the ability to stuff the run. DE Ziggy Ansah came in second behind Suh in sacks, last year. And now that Suh is gone, he will be relied upon heavily for the pass rush, this year.

MLB Stephen Tulloch will be making his return to the Lions lineup, after missing time due to injury. He was bound for a great season before he tore his ACL, after celebrating a sack. Tulloch leads a tremendous linebacker squad that includes Tahir Whitehead, Kyle Van Noy and two time Detroit Lions Defensive MVP DeAndre Levy.

FS Glover Quin had a suprisingly good year for the Lions. He led the team with 7 interceptions. SS James Ihedigbo will continue to scare opposing teams with his big hits ability. There`s still a few questions about the cornebacks. CB`s Darius Slay and Rashean Mathis will start this year, but the Lions have drafted Alex Cater and Quandre Diggs to provide depht and to become the eventual starters.

The departure of Ndamukong Suh will drop down this defense a few ranks in fantasy lists. They did improve against the run, with their offseason acquisitions. So look for this squad to still have some good games here and there, this year.

Fantasy Football Outlook

The Detroit Lions are contenders for the NFC North crown. But it will be hard against the Green Bay Packers, Minnesota Vikings and Chicago Bears, who are also extremely good teams.

Posted in NFL

NFL Fantasy Draft News—A Look at Offensive Playmakers for Week One 8-31-2015

The Green Bay Packers suffered a major injury during the preseason with lead wide receiver Jordy Nelson out for the season. Draft managers are high on the Green Bay Packers with Aaron Rodgers at quarterback. Randall Cobb will now be asked to step up in a more prominent role with his team. Cobb is small in stature and may not get as many red zone targets as Nelson did. The Packers got a huge scare on Saturday as Randall Cobb was injured as he went down very hard on his shoulder. The indications are the injury is not very serious.

Rob Gronkowski should be an interesting decision for NFL draft managers. With Tom Brady looking to miss at least the opener of the season can you trust that Jimmy Garappolo can deliver in tight windows downfield in week one? It may be wise to look for value at the tight end position in week one and look to spend more on wide outs and running backs in your draft.

Justin Forsett put up some great numbers in 2014. The beauty of drafting Forsett is the depth around him is not too promising. Expect Forsett to get the bulk of the carries in week one with a significant drop in quality behind him on the bench.

Golden Tate has shown improvement each year in the league. He caught just under 100 receptions for over 1300 yards in the 2014 campaign. He is quick off the line of scrimmage and provides value in drafts as teams may look to put heavy attention on Johnson in his pass patterns.

Running back C.J. Spiller gets upgraded going to New Orleans after spending his career with the Buffalo Bills. He is finally playing with a team that has to respect his quarterback and passing game. Spiller provides value at the running back position in drafts.

Victor Cruz will benefit with the development of Odell Beckham Jr. The great thing about Cruz is his attitude. He doesn’t carry a Primo Donna attitude with the team as he is willing to lineup in the slot and run patterns over the middle of the field. The Giants moving to a quick strike offense means there will be a lot more targets for Cruz to move the stick and keep drives alive.

Shane Vereen is another Giant who will benefit from the quick strike Giants offense. The running back was vital in the Patriots Super Bowl year in 2014 as the running back was utilized in the passing game as an outlet for Tom Brady. With Beckham Jr. and Cruz in pass patterns it opens up the potential for fantasy points for Vereen drafters.

Matthew Stafford the Lions quarterback could be on the brink of a breakthrough season. Calvin Johnson is the star for the Lions but there are talented weapons around him. Golden Tate has shown improvement each year as a pro. Rookie Ameer Abdullah has the ability to make an impact with the team. Abdullah was a workhorse in his time with Nebraska with his skill to be a dual threat in the run and passing game. Stafford provides good value to fantasy football managers in week one.

Tight end Owen Daniels was relied heavily for targets in the passing game in his time with the Houston Texans. Remember current Denver Broncos head coach Gary Kubiak was Daniels former coach at Houston. Before making a decision on Daniels remember that the Texans did not run efficiently for many years under Kubiak. Virgil Green, the other option in Denver has been typecast as a blocking tight end but has shown signs of improvement in the passing game this preseason. There could be some timesharing between Daniels and Green so put a pass on Daniels for week one.

Posted in NFL

Today’s Top Fantasy Picks – NFL – 8-20-15

Wide Receiver Value Roster Picks

Top fantasy value picks for NFL Week 1 2015 – Wide Receivers

Jordan Matthews

Keenan Allen

Golden Tate

Mike Wallace

Kelvin Benjamin

Jeremy Maclin

Posted in Top Fantasy Picks