NFL Week 9 Value Picks
Jameis Winston (NYG @ TB): Winston has been consistently subpar this year so far but this week may be a breakout against the weak Giants defense. We saw last week how flawed the Giants secondary really is. While I don’t expect a record setting performance from Winston as we saw last week agains the giants, there will be plenty of openings he can take advantage of to air out the ball.
Projection: 22.4 Fantasy Points
Jay Cutler (Chi @ SD): San Diego’s defense has the highest rushing yards allowed and passing yards allowed of any team so far this season. Cutler may not have his star running back Matt Forte but that will force him to throw the ball more, adding to his fantasy value. With Jeffery and Bennet as top tier targets and the weak secondary, look for Cutler to provide big fantasy numbers.
Projection: 21.4 Fantasy Points
Derek Carr (Oak @ Pit): Derek Carr has recently been a very valuable fantasy option and looks to keep this trend going this weekend against the Steelers. The Steelers are notorious for shootout games, and if Carr can take advantage of that connection with Cooper, they could both end up with a big day.
Projection: 20.1 Fantasy Points
Jeremy Hill (Cle @ Cin): Hill is always a bit of a gamble as any given game could put Hill in the primary or Bernard. One of them will definitely have a big game this weekend against the Browns but it could be either. I’m giving the edge to Hill.
Projection: 20.7 Fantasy Points
LeSean McCoy (Mia @ Buf): McCoy has been given at least 10 rushing attempts every game this season and has been efficient with those attempts usually averaging over 4 yards per carry. Couple that with a couple receptions and the fact that he will get even more workload if the Bills can get up early on the Dolphins and McCoy could be a prosperous draft pick this weekend.
Projection: 20.7 Fantasy Points
Duke Johnson (Cle @ Cin): Johnson had very poor rushing production last week against the Cardinals but was somewhat redeemed with his receptions. He is a cheap fantasy option and may provide some value if he can more rushing attempts with his receiving targets as the Browns will likely have to throw the ball a lot to catch up to the undefeated Bengals.
Projection: 19.2 Fantasy Points
Amari Cooper (Oak @ Pit): The Carr-Cooper connection should be a valuable pick this weekend in the classic Roethlisberger shootout.
Projection: 24.8 Fantasy Points
Stefan Diggs (Stl @ Min): Although the Vikings are facing the strong Ram’s defensive front, Diggs has been asserting himself as Bridgewater’s top target with a string of big fantasy value games lately (20+ fantasy points in three consecutive games). He remains a cheap option at receiver.
Projection: 21.0 Fantasy Points
Malcom Floyd (Chi @ SD): Despite his minimal salary, Floyd managed 92 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns last week. While he likely won’t be able to put up those numbers again, he clearly has chemistry with Rivers and the Bears’ defense won’t be able to do much to stop the pass.
Projection: 20.8 Fantasy Points
Jordan Reed (Was @ NE): The Redskins will have their hands full this weekend against the Pats and will likely be down early. This will result in Cousins relying heavily on the pass game, with his favorite target Reed reaping the fantasy benefit. Not to mention his 11 receptions for 2 touchdowns last week. While ownership may be high on Reed, it may hurt you more to fade him then to go with the crowd on this one.
Projection: 22.6 Fantasy Points
Heath Miller (Oak @ Pit): Miller has been somewhat unproductive this season so far but like what we have seen from Antonio Brown, he performs much better with Big Ben on the field than off. Miller caught 100+ yards last weekend with Roethlisberger back in the lineup after failing to get anywhere near that mark in Ben’s absence.
Projection: 20.4 Fantasy Points