Week 16 Value Picks

Quarterback

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The shootout of the weekend should be between Jacksonville and New Orleans, assuming Drew Brees is healthy enough to take the field after tearing his plantar last week (the same injury Peyton Manning is struggling with). These two quarterbacks love to throw the ball and their defenses love to let the ball be thrown. I give Bortles the fantasy edge though since the Saints defense is more flawed fundamentally and Bortles just loves to throw the ball way down the field.

Kirk Cousins could be a great value pick this weekend as well. He has been on fire lately and we see the weapons he has in Jordan Reed and DeSean Jackson (even Alfred Morris as well). Thats not even considering the fact that the Eagles secondary is great at making any quarterback look like Tom Brady out there.

Running Back

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As you can see from the above, there are not many great options at running back this week with the highest projected running back as Doug Martin (CHI @ TB) with only 20.6 projected points. You can spend the money at Running back if you wish and go with the likes of Doug Martin (CHI @ TB) and Matt Forte (CHI @ TB) in what should be a run off, or you can save your money for the higher value at the Receiver position and go for the bargain picks of Darren Sproles (WAS @ PHI), Tim Hightower (JAX @ NO), Christine Michael (STL @ SEA), or Ameer Abdullah (SF @ DET).

Wide Receiver

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The stack of the week should be Allen Robinson and Blake Bortles against the Saints. There is no denying that the Big Ben and Antonio Brown connection has been unstoppable this year, no matter what the matchup. He is going to cost you a pretty penny but fading Antonio Brown may just kill your chances of winning big, as it has plenty of weekends this year already.

Or you can go with Doug Baldwin who has scored over 10 touchdowns in the past 4 weeks. Can he keep this streak going against the Rams? I’m saying yes, not that he will score another 3 touchdowns, but he should be able to haul in 1 or 2 providing some good fantasy value. Seattle doesn’t seem to be stopping this charge until the season ends.

If you are trying to find a cheap value receiver to fill that last spot in your lineup with limited funds, you can look to Jeremy Maclin (CLE @ KC), John Brown (GB @ ARI), Michael Floyd (GB @ ARI), Willie Snead (JAX @ NO), Bradon Cooks (JAX @ NO), or Golden Tate (SF @ DET).

Tight End

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The tight end decision has been made easier in the previous couple weeks with Gronk out. Up until then the decision was go for Gronk, accept the 50+% ownership and $7000+ price tag and hope its his week, or choose from the list of alternative tight ends. The Gronk versus the field decision is back. This week it is easy though.

Gronk has not shown his dominance of previous years this season and is only projected about 1 point higher than the Saints‘ Benjamin Watson. The value picks here are Ebron and Kelce. Kelce has been stagnated slightly since his explosive start to the season and his salary reflects that decline. However, he has high end potential against the Browns, which is what you are going to need to win any big NFL Daily Fantasy Tournament. Ebron as well has shown brilliance at times this year and is getting more action lately with Calvin Johnson all of the sudden becoming obsolete in their offense. Ebron comes much cheaper than the other highly projected options and allows you to spend the cash where you want this week, with the receivers.

Posted in NFL

NFL Week 11 Value Picks

Quarterback

Matthew Stafford (Oak @ Det) Although he has thrown almost as many interceptions this year as touchdowns, Stafford always has the potential for a high upside with the lions aggressive passing (that usually comes from being behind early). If Calvin Johnson doesn’t start that could hurt his value a bit but regardless, Stafford should be able to provide good fantasy value for his cheap price among Quarterbacks.
Projection: 23.3 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $6300

 

Tyrod Taylor (Buf @ NE) Taylor is another nice example of a cheap quarterback with high potential for garbage points. Facing the best team in the league, the Bills will be forced to pass the ball to attempt to fight out of their deficit.
Projection: 22.8 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $5500

 

Russell Wilson (SF @ Sea) Russell Wilson has failed to provide any sort of fantasy value so far this season but this may be the week he can turn things around. With the Seahawks running backs struggling (Lynch injured and Rawls unproductive) Wilson may resort to throwing the ball or running it himself, either which will be great for his fantasy production.
Projection: 22.5 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $6100

Running Back

Charcandrick West (KC @ SD) West has had great production over the past 3 games scoring a rushing touchdown in each, with an additional receiving touchdown last week. With a favorable matchup this week against the Chargers and his salary remaining on the low end, West is a great value pick for this week.
Projection: 17.7 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $4900

 

Latavius Murray (Oak @ Det) Murray has been averaging over 15 rushing attempts per game along with several receptions as well. This gives him huge upside potential to have a big fantasy performance, especially against the weak Lions defensive front.
Projection: 19.1 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $5100

 

Jonathan Stewart (Was @ Car) Stewart has gotten at least 20 rushing attempts in all of the Panthers last 4 games. The Panthers should be able to get ahead early and run down the clock, which means plenty of action for Stewart. If Newton hands off those red zone carries instead of taking them himself, Stewarts production could be even better.
Projection: 18.7 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $4900

Wide Receivers

Sammy Watkins (Buf @ NE) Watkins, like Taylor, should be able to rack up the garbage time points against the Patriots. A cheap stack between the two can provide good value and free up cash for other premium players. Nothing glamorous but points are points are point in Daily Fantasy NFL Contests.
Projection: 24.4 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $5600

 

Brandon Lafell (Buf @ NE) With Edelman out and Lafell back on the rise, he should get an increase in targets and should be able to open it up for a touchdown. Edelman’s targets may go to Gronk and Amendola, but I think Lafell has the most to gain from Edelman’s absence.
Projection: 22.5 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $5000

 

Golden Tate (Oak @ Det) If Calvin Johnson doesn’t get the start Tate will be the primary target for Stafford against the weak Oakland secondary. He has been under the radar so far this season but has great fantasy upside in a favorable matchup.
Projection: 20.1 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $5100

Tight End

Crockett Gilmore (Stl @ Bal) Don’t expect a huge number of targets or receiving yards out of Gilmore, but he has been productive in the red zone. If he can get a touchdown for a third game in a row then he will be a good draft pick for your winning lineup.
Projection: 15.8 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $3700

 

Eric Ebron (Oak @ Det) Ebron is another under the radar tight end. Don’t expect a huge number of targets, although they may be increased without Calvin Johnson at 100 percent. He has scored 3 touchdowns this year and always is a red zone threat.
Projection: 13.2 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $4000

Posted in NFL