NFL Week 13 Value Picks

Quarterback

Matt Hasselback (Ind @ Pit) When Hasselback is the starting quarterback, the colts pass A LOT. He is averaging almost 40 passing attempts in his four starts this season. Although his efficiency could be better, if he is passing the ball this much against the weak Pittsburg secondary (which ranks third most on the list of passing yards allowed) he is bound to produce some good fantasy value.
Projection: 23.0 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $5900

Jay Cutler (SF @ Chi) Cutler is gets his favorite tight end target back this week and is facing a weak 49ers defense. He is very volatile as quarterbacks come but if we see the right Jay Cutler this week, the conditions are set for a big fantasy performance.
Projection: 21.4 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $5500

Ryan Fitzpatrick (NYJ @ NYG) The New York Giants have allowed an average of 309 passing yards per game to opposing teams so far this season, which is over 20 yards more than the next closest team, the Saints. Fitzpatrick has been playing decent lately but these teams always seem to bring a little extra in these rivalry matches.
Projection: 20.3 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $5500

Running Back

Javorious Allen (Bal @ Mia) The Dolphins lead the list in rushing yards allowed with 138 rushing yards per game. Allen has taken over lead rusher duties as Forsett was put on the DL. Allen hasn’t done anything astonishing yet but he has been given the attempts and he comes at a bargain. Look for a breakout performance from him against the weak rush defense of the Dolphins.
Projection: 21.0 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $4300

Jonathan Stewart (Car @ NO) On top of ranking second most passing yards allowed, the Saints rank third most for rushing yards allowed by opposing teams. The undefeated Panthers should have no issue negotiating this Saints team and which means Stewart will be given plenty of opportunities late in the game to run down the clock.
Projection: 19.8 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $5100

Wide Receiver

Eric Decker (NYJ @ NYG) You can go for the Brandon Marshall stack or the Eric Decker stack with Fitz against this weak Giants secondary. Realistically, the value could go either way but after Marshall scored 2 receiving touchdowns last week, Decker will definitely have lower ownership, which means more upside if he is the main target.
Projection: 21.2 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $6000

Donte Moncrief (Ind @ Pit) Moncrief is my value stack of the week with Hasselback. Like the Jets, you can either go Moncrief or Hilton but ownership will be lower with Moncrief and he comes at a cheaper price.
Projection: 21.4 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $5000

Brandon Lafell (Phi @ NE) With the list of receiver options getting less and less for Brady by the week, the remaining receivers values are on the rise. All the hype this week is on Scott Chandler due to the patriots tight end focused offense, but without Gronk in the lineup, I am willing to bet the Pats will make less use of their tight ends. Brady will have no problem negotiating this Eagles defense and Lafell should be the main beneficiary.
Projection: 24.9 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $4200

Tight End

Vance McDonald (SF @ Chi) McDonald is a very under the radar tight end who has been providing great value as the 49ers top tight end. He has two touchdowns in the past two games despite being among the cheapest options at TE. He is a favorite option for Gabbert and a prime red zone target.
Projection: 14.3 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $3000

Travis Kelce (KC @ Oak) Kelce has been a constant performer and reliable target for Alex Smith in a team with not much else going on. He is going to cost you a little more than some of your other options but he should be able to deliver against the weak pass defense of the Raiders.
Projection: 16.1 Fantasy Points
Fanpicks Salary: $5000

Posted in NFL

Indianapolis Colts versus Houston Texans

Thursday Night Football Fantasy Picks 10-8-2015

The Houston Texans will be at home facing the Indianapolis Colts from Thursday Night Football. NFL fantasy GM’s can tune to CBS TV on October 8th at 8:30PM Eastern Time to follow the results of their roster picks.

The Colts are a 2-2 football team after back to back wins. They victories came against AFC South teams and were close results. In week three the team defeated Tennessee 35-33 and won because they successfully defended a two point conversion late in the game. With Andrew Luck out last week the Colts edged the Jaguars 16-13 at home in the overtime period. The Indianapolis run game didn’t get going with just 60 yards on 24 carries. They struggled in the red zone with just 1 of 4 conversions in the game. Andrew Luck is expected to play on Thursday night. Matt Hasselbeck in his start last week threw for 282 yards and a touchdown going 30 of 47 passing. Indianapolis has had trouble scoring this season as they push across just 18 points a game ranking 26th in the league.

It has been a disappointing year for the Houston Texans. The team is 1-3 with their lone win a 19-9 victory against Tampa Bay in week three. Last week was a bad one for Houston as they get crushed at the Atlanta Falcons by the score of 48-21. The Texans fell behind 28-0 at the half then it was 42-0 after three quarters. Houston committed four turnovers in the loss and took none from the Falcons. Brian Hoyer replaced Ryan Mallett and threw two touchdown passes after the game was no longer in doubt by the fourth quarter.

Indianapolis Colts QB:

Andrew Luck

The Colts starting quarterback has told reporters he expects to play on Thursday. He is completing 56% of his throws this year for 753 yards with five touchdowns and seven picks. The offensive line has not blocked well for Luck on the year.

Indianapolis Colts RB:

Frank Gore

The veteran running back leads the Colts by far in carries with 54 on the year with 227 yards and two touchdowns. He is averaging 4.2 yards a carry on the season. He rushed for just 53 yards last week against Jacksonville on 17 carries for 3.1 yards per run.

Indianapolis Colts WR:

T.Y. Hilton

Hilton has been targeted 41 times in the passing game but has caught just 22 passes for 294 yards with no touchdowns. He caught seven balls for 67 yards last week.

Donte Moncrief

The second year receiver has three touchdowns catches on the year. Has been targeted 35 times and caught 23 passes for 275 yards and averaging 12 yards per reception. In the win against Jacksonville Moncrief caught six balls for 75 yards.

Houston Texans QB:

Ryan Mallett

This is a sore spot for the Texans coaching staff. Brian Hoyer was the opening week starter and lost his job to Ryan Mallett after week one when Houston dropped a home game to Kansas City. Mallett has hit on 51.8% of his throws for 720 yards with three touchdowns and two picks.

Houston Texas RB:

Alfred Blue

With the injury to Arian Foster it has been Blue getting the bulk of the carries. Alfred Blue has run for 214 yards on 51 carries. In the loss against Atlanta on the road last week Blue rushed for 17 yards on six carries.

Houston Texas WR:

DeAndre Hopkins

He leads the Texans in targets by a wide margin with 61. Hopkins has 31 receptions for 409 yards with three touchdowns on the year. In the loss at Atlanta last week Hopkins was targeted 22 times and has nine receptions for 157 yards which averaged 17.4 points per reception.

Cecil Shorts

The fifth year wide out has caught 22 balls for 236 yards and a touchdown. Shorts was targeted ten times last week and grabbed six passes for 87 yards with a touchdown with a long reception for 42 yards.

NFL Football Real Money Fantasy Picks

QB: Andrew Luck (Colts)

RB: Frank Gore (Colts)

WR: T.Y. Hilton (Colts), DeAndre Hopkins (Texans)

TE: Coby Fleener (Colts)

Posted in NFL