Saturday’s College Featured Matchup

CFB September 17, 2016

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#2 Florida State (2-0) vs #10 Louisville (2-0)

Lamar Jackson has compiled 1,015 yards of total offense and accounted for 13 touchdowns in less than two full games for Louisville, so it goes without saying Florida State wouldn’t mind having all hands on deck defensively. Unfortunately, that won’t be the case for the second-ranked Seminoles.

Preseason All-American sophomore safety Derwin James suffered a cartilage tear in his left knee against FCS foe Charleston Southern last weekend. He will be sidelined indefinitely. Although the Seminoles will be shorthanded defensively, they should have more than enough firepower on the other side of the ball to stick with FBS’ highest-scoring team thus far, as running back Dalvin Cook has already accounted for 284 total yards and two touchdowns in limited action. While Cook has done nothing to hurt his campaign for the Heisman Trophy, Jackson has raced out to an early lead in that regard by ranking third in the country in rushing (318 yards) and eighth in passing (697) while leading Louisville to an average of 66 points in routs over Charlotte and Syracuse.

#25 Miami (2-0) vs Appalachian State (1-1)

After two one-sided victories, No. 25 Miami faces its first true test Saturday against a dangerous Appalachian State team in what is sure to be a hostile environment.  The Hurricanes have shown signs of being ready for such a test, having dominated the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. After depending on junior Brad Kaaya’s arm to carry the offense for two seasons, the Hurricanes are averaging 326 yards a game rushing while the defense has allowed only 34.5 yards on the ground to rank first in the nation despite starting a front seven dominated by freshmen and sophomores. Those young guys will face a big test against the Mountaineers, who are run-first team and feature one the nation’s best running backs in senior Marcus Cox, who entered the season with 4,088 yards rushing and has added 248 yards already this season.

#22 Oregan (2-0) vs Nebraska (2-0)

Mike Riley watched his Oregon State teams drop seven straight “Civil War” games to Oregon before he bolted for Nebraska in December of 2014. It should come as no surprise if the usually mild-mannered coach is a bit more amped up this week. He will get his chance to end his frustration against a familiar foe Saturday when his Cornhuskers host the 22nd-ranked Ducks in the first meeting between the schools in nearly 30 years.

Oregon have been solid starters, enjoying a plus-42 margin before the halftime break only to outscore their foes by one point over the final 30 minutes in its two home triumphs. Although they are sporting their usual offensive proficiency (eighth in FBS in total offense, tied for 14th in scoring offense), the Ducks are ranked 80th in scoring defense and 82nd in total defense despite playing a FCS opponent (UC Davis) and a struggling FBS squad (Virginia).

#1 Alabama (2-0) vs #19 Ole Miss (1-1)

Ole Miss sets its sights on knocking off top-ranked Alabama for the third consecutive season when the No. 19 Rebels host the defending national champions in the SEC opener for both teams. Crimson Tide Freshman quarterback Jalen Hurts still hasn’t been declared the starting quarterback over redshirt freshman Blake Barnett but it is heading in that direction after Hurts passed for 287 yards and two touchdowns in last Saturday’s victory over Western Kentucky. While it’s unclear who will start at quarterback for Alabama, the same can’t be said for Ole Miss. Senior quarterback Chad Kelly passed for 341 yards and three touchdowns while fueling last season’s win at Alabama and he has thrown for 532 yards and seven touchdowns in this season’s first two games.

Pittsburgh (2-0) vs Oklahoma State (1-1)

After one of the most bizarre finishes in college football history, Oklahoma State need to return their focus to the football field this week. The previously 17th-ranked squad cannot afford to falter against Pittsburgh. The Cowboys most recent contest turned ugly for them after a misinterpreted rule extended the game. One untimed down allowed the Chippewas to score the winning touchdown on a Hail Mary and lateral. Mike Gundy’s squad tried to kill the final four seconds of the game by throwing the ball away on fourth down with time expired, but they were incorrectly penalized for intentional grounding, setting up the 51-yard play. Pittsburgh is seeking to boost its top-25 credentials by starting 3-0 for just the fourth time since 2000.

Posted in CFB

College Football Fantasy Draft News 1-1-2016

Northwestern Wildcats vs. Tennessee Volunteers College Football Fantasy Preview 1-1-2016

The Outback Bowl features the Northwestern Wildcats facing the Tennessee Volunteers. College football draft GMs can tune to ESPN2 TV on Friday January 1st at 12PM Eastern Time to track the results of their one day league fantasy picks.

Northwestern competed in the weaker part of the Big Ten conference in the West division. They compiled an overall record of 10-2 and found themselves winning many of their close games which didn’t happen in 2014 where the team finished at 5-7. A very glaring picture of the team is when they were forced to step up in competition. They failed badly dropping a 40-10 home decision to Iowa and a 38-0 defeat on the road to the Michigan Wolverines. The Michigan loss was significant as Northwestern faced their first and pretty much only opponent with great speed and the difference on the playing field between the two teams was quiet wide.

Tennessee has good speed and quickness and that will give the Wildcats issues on defense. The Volunteers finished at 8-4 and closed out their regular season with five straight victories. They are a good offensive team that piles up 223 yards rushing per game which is 21st best in the nation.

College Football Daily Fantasy League Pick

Tennessee running back Jalen Hurd leads the team with 13 touchdowns. He has rushed for 253 times for 1155 yards with 11 touchdowns. Hurd is a busy running back who could get upwards of 20 carries in this bowl game. He closed out the season strongly with 120 rushing yards and a touchdown at home to Vanderbilt and he had a 151 rushing performance on November 21st at Missouri. An impressive performance came against Florida. The Gators are a stout defensive club yet Hurd was able to rush for 102 yards and two touchdowns. On Oklahoma’s defense the sophomore running back had a rushing touchdown and 106 yards on the ground. Against another playoff team in Alabama, Hurd averaged 5.1 yards a carry and had a touchdown.

Play Jalen Hurd

Tennessee Volunteers RB

Oklahoma St Cowboys vs. Mississippi Rebels College Football Real Money Fantasy Preview 1-1-2016

The Sugar Bowl will pit the Oklahoma St Cowboys against the Mississippi Rebels. DFS draft managers can tune to ESPN TV on Friday January 1st at 8:30PM Eastern Time to track the scoring results of their fantasy selections.

College Football Daily Cash Fantasy League Pick

The Ole Miss Rebels concluded regular season play with a record of 9-3. They are a very good offensive team that averaged 514 yards and 40 points per game. Early in the season the Rebels were the only team to nail Alabama with a regular season loss as Mississippi beat the Crimson Tide 43-37. The Rebels had a difficult schedule down the stretch and they closed out with a 38-17 home win to LSU and a 38-27 road victory against rival Mississippi St.

Oklahoma St is a very questionable New Year’s Six bowl team. They finished at 10-2 and looked really bad down the stretch with losses to Baylor and Oklahoma. They are the 95th ranked defense from college football and had trouble defending the pass by allowing 244 yards per game which is 93rd worst in the nation. They have given up 31 or greater points in four of their past five games.

Mississippi quarterback Chad Kelly completed 65% of his throws for 3740 yards with 27 touchdowns. He has thrown for multiple touchdown passes in seven straight games. Kelly had a three touchdown completion performance against Alabama as he tallied 341 yards passing in the game. The Ole Miss junior quarterback has the luxury to throw against another bad Big 12 defense.

Play Chad Kelly

Mississippi Rebels QB

Posted in CFB

Fanpicks.com College Football Bowl Game Preview

ALLSTATE SUGAR BOWL
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma State

Fanpicks.com is proud to bring you one of the oldest college playoff tradition – Allstate Sugar Bowl game preview featuring Ole Miss against Oklahoma State. This will also prove to be an exciting game… but the winning laurels will be had by Ole Miss; defeating Oklahoma State 33-24. Play the best fantasy college football contests at Fanpicks.com.

After a humbling defeat a year ago in the postseason, Ole Miss looks to make amends when it takes on Oklahoma State in the Allstate Sugar Bowl Jan. 1 in New Orleans. The Rebels absorbed a 42-3 loss in last season’s Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl against TCU and now must contend with another talented team from the Big 12. The Cowboys started 10-0 and had hopes of reaching the College Football Playoff before ending the regular season with back-to-back losses.

Ole Miss junior defensive lineman Robert Nkemdiche – the team’s best defensive player – fell 15 feet twice from a window in mid-December and had to be hospitalized. The team announced Dec. 20 that Nkemdiche, who was charged with misdemeanor marijuana possession following the incident, will be suspended for the bowl game. “I have learned a valuable lesson in the last week, and I look forward to showing NFL personnel that this is not representative of my true character,” said Nkemdiche, who announced he will enter the NFL draft, where he likely will be a top-10 pick. “I want to thank my coaches, my teammates and Rebel Nation for their support these past three years, and I look forward to making them proud for years to come.”

Oklahoma State has some injury issues of its own with quarterback Mason Rudolph employing a walking boot on his right foot with the bowl game less than two weeks away. Still, coach Mike Gundy seems to be unconcerned about the status of Rudolph and two of his weapons, tight end Blake Jarwin (ribs) and fullback Jeremy Seaton (undisclosed). Rudolph led the Big 12 with 57 passes of 20 yards or more and finished his sophomore regular season with 3,591 passing yards, 21 touchdowns and nine interceptions.

OKLAHOMA STATE Season Overview (10-2, 7-2 Big 12): The Cowboys rank in the top 10 nationally in passing yards (seventh) and points per game (ninth). They have tons of weapons on offense, but sophomore wide receiver James Washington (52 catches, 1,077 yards, 10 touchdowns) is the best of the bunch. Oklahoma State’s running game is relatively mediocre with only Chris Carson (504 yards) having amassed more than 300 and the team averaging just 3.7 yards per carry.

OLE MISS Season Overview (9-3, 6-2 SEC): The Rebels’ offense is centered around dynamic receiver Laquon Treadwell (76 catches, 1,082 yards, eight TDs), who had found the end zone in six straight games prior to a quiet day against Mississippi State to end the regular season. Chad Kelly threw 27 touchdowns during the year, including three in a signature win against Alabama back in September. A one-point overtime loss to a strong Arkansas team is the only thing separating Ole Miss from entering the postseason on a five-game winning streak.

Posted in CFB

Texas A&M Aggies versus Mississippi Rebels

College Football DFS Picks 10-24-2015

From college football the Mississippi Rebels will be hosting the Texas A&M Aggies. Fantasy football draft GMs can tune to ESPN TV on Saturday night October 24th at 7PM Eastern Time to follow the results of their roster picks.

The teams met last season with Ole Miss posting the 35-20 upset road victory. Texas A&M outgained the Rebels by 120 yards but turnovers were a factor in the game as the Aggies had a -3 margin for the game. Texas A&M had no success running the football with 54 yards rushing on 35 carries.

Texas A&M is looking to rebound after a 41-23 home defeat last week to the Alabama Crimson Tide. The loss dropped the club to 5-1 on the year. Alabama just looked too big and strong for the Aggies. Texas A&M had no luck rushing with 32 yards on 25 carries. The Aggies had no answer for the Crimson Tide’s rushing attack as they posted 258 yards for over 5 ½ yards per carry. Texas A&M is ranked 96th in the nation in run defense by allowing an average of 195 yards per game on the ground.

Mississippi fell to 5-2 as they traveled to Memphis and were beaten 37-24 in an upset loss. Surprisingly an SEC power like the Rebels couldn’t run a lick against an AAC team as Ole Miss had 40 yards on the ground on 24 carries. Defensively they had trouble defending Memphis quarterback Paxton Lynch who threw for 384 yards and three touchdowns with just one pick. The Rebels had their problems extending drives by going 4 of 13 on third down. Mississippi is 72nd in the nation in defending the pass as they surrender 229 yards per game.

Texas A&M Aggies QB:

Kyle Allen

The Aggies starting quarterback is hitting on 61% of his throws this year for 1537 yards with 14 touchdowns and 5 picks. Allen had a poor game in the loss to the Crimson Tide last week by completing 20 of his 40 throws for 263 yards with a touchdown and three interceptions. He has shown some run ability like he did in the win against Mississippi St three weeks ago as he rushed for 65 yards on 12 carries. Allen is just a sophomore.

Texas A&M Aggies RB:

Tra Carson

The Aggies senior running back has 108 carries on the campaign for 476 yards with four touchdowns. In the passing game Carson has a receiving touchdown as he grabbed 13 balls for 116 yards.

Texas A&M WR:

Christian Kirk

Kirk leads Texas A&M with 39 catches for 609 yards with four touchdowns. He is averaging 15.6 yards per reception on the campaign. In the loss to Alabama, Kirk had seven receptions for 90 yards with no touchdown grabs for the second straight game.

Josh Reynolds

This junior wide receiver has been a big play threat for the Aggies as he is averaging 20.9 yards per reception. Reynolds has 21 receptions for 439 yards with three catches. He has come up big in the three games against the SEC with 13 catches for 197 yards with 19.7 yards per reception average.

Mississippi Rebels QB:

Chad Kelly

The junior signal caller has completed 65% of his throws for 2234 yards with 16 touchdowns and seven picks. In the loss to Memphis Kelly went 33 of 47 for 372 yards with two touchdowns and two picks. He has six interceptions thrown over his past four games.

Mississippi Rebels RB:

Jaylen Walton

Walton has 58 carries for 331 yards with three touchdowns. He is rushing for 5.7 yards per run on the season. It was only 7 carries for Walton last week for 39 yards. It was a struggle three weeks back at Florida with 23 yards rushing on nine carries for 2.6 yards per attempt.

Mississippi Rebels WR:

Laquon Treadwell

The junior wide out has 49 receptions for 654 yards with four touchdowns. He is averaging 13.3 yards per reception on the campaign. Treadwell had a season high 14 catches for 144 yards and a touchdown.

College Football Real Money Fantasy League Picks

QB: Kyle Allen (Texas A&M)

RB: Tra Carson (Texas A&M)

WR: Laquon Treadwell (Ole Miss), Josh Reynolds (Texas A&M)

Posted in CFB

Mississippi Rebels versus Florida Gators College Football Daily Fantasy League Picks 10-3-2015

The Florida Gators will be at home in SEC conference competition to meet the Mississippi Rebels. College football draft managers can tune to ESPN TV at 7PM Eastern Time from Florida on October 3rd to track the results of their fantasy rosters.

Ole Miss is undefeated at 4-0 with SEC conference wins at Alabama and last week they went into Vanderbilt and came away with a 27-16 victory. The Rebels had trouble separating from the Commodores as the game was tied at 13-13 midway through the third period. Mississippi struggled offensively in the win with 3.6 yards per carry from their run game and 3 of 13 conversions on third down. They also lost the turnover margin by -2. Prior to this Vanderbilt game the Rebels have piled up the points with 73 on Fresno St in week two and 43 points on the Alabama defense in week three. Defensively Ole Miss is 34th ranked in points allowed at 19.2 per game.

Florida is also 4-0 as they enter play on Saturday. They are 2-0 in the SEC with a 14-9 road win at Kentucky and last week they pull out a wild 28-27 home victory to Tennessee. Down 27-14 late in the fourth quarter the Gators scored two late touchdowns including a 63 yard TD reception with a minute and a half left for the game winner. Like most recent seasons the Gators are defending very well. They limit opponents to 298 yards gained per game which ranks 22nd best in total defense in college football. Opponents score just 18 points a game on the Gators defense ranking 30th best in the nation.

Mississippi Rebels QB:

Chad Kelly

The junior QB is completing 61.7% of his throws for 1219 yards with ten touchdowns and three picks. Last week Kelly did throw for 321 yards but he completed 57% of his throws and threw two picks.

Mississippi Rebels RB:

Jaylen Walton

The Rebels running back had 42 carries on the year with 269 yards with three touchdowns. Walton had his best game of the year last week at home to Vanderbilt with 21 carries for 133 yards and a touchdown. He averaged 6.3 yards a carry in that game.

Jordan Wilkins

Wilkins is averaging almost seven carries a game and is rushing for 5.4 yards a carry with a touchdown.

Mississippi Rebels WR:

Laquon Treadwell

The junior wide out has caught 22 balls with 332 yards and a touchdown. He had his best game of the season last week against the Commodores with eight receptions for 139 yards for nearly 17 yards per reception.

Florida Gators QB:

Will Grier

Grier has passed for 62.6% accuracy for 725 yards with six touchdowns and three picks. In the home victory against Tennessee last week the freshman quarterback threw for 283 yards completing nearly 55% of his throws with two touchdowns and a pick.

Florida Gators RB:

Kelvin Taylor

The junior running back leads the Gators in carries with 59 with 256 yards and five touchdowns. He has seen significant action in all three years at the school. He ran for 102 yards and nearly 5.4 yards a carry last week against Tennessee with two touchdowns.

Florida Gators WR:

Antonio Callaway

Callaway has made big plays in the passing game during his freshman season as he is averaging 19.1 yards per catch. He has nine grabs for 172 yards and a touchdown. Last week against Tennessee Callaway caught five balls for 112 yards and a touchdown.

Brandon Powell

Powell is a sophomore and has caught 12 passes for 162 yards and two touchdowns. He had five catches against Tennessee for 64 yards and a touchdown.

Posted in CFB

Receiving takes over in the NCAA: Week 2

Wide Receivers

Corey Coleman: 51.2 Fantasy Points, 182 Receiving Yards, 4 Touchdowns
Roger Lewis: 50 Fantasy Points, 200 Receiving Yards, 2 Touchdowns
Tyrain Taylor: 45.6 Fantasy Points, 206 receiving, 2 Touchdowns
Juju Smith: 44.2 Fantasy Points 192 Receiving Yards, 2 Touchdowns
Penny Hart: 41 Fantasy Points, 150 Receiving Yards, 2 Touchdowns
Thomas Owens: 40.6 Fantasy Points, 166 Receiving Yards, 2 Touchdowns

Running Backs

Elijah McGuire: 49.2 Fantasy Points, 162 Rushing Yards, 5 Touchdowns
Dalvin Cook: 47.6 Fantasy Points, 266 Rushing Yards, 3 Touchdowns
Terrell Newby: 46.6 Fantasy Points, 198 Rushing Yards, 3 Touchdowns
Nick Wilson: 45.4 Fantasy Points, 194 Rushing Yards, 3 Touchdowns
Matt Breida: 44.6 Fantasy Points, 176 Rushing Yards, 4 Touchdowns
Joseph Yaerby: 42.3 Fantasy Points, 146 Rushing Yards, 97 receiving, 2 Touchdowns

Quarterbacks

Chad Kelly: 38.6 Fantasy Points, 340 Passing Yards, 4 passing Touchdowns, 32 1 Rushing Yards touchdown
Luke Falk: 38.1 Fantasy Points, 478 Passing Yards, 4 passing Touchdowns
Garret Smith: 35.6 Fantasy Points, 370 Passing Yards, 3 passing Touchdowns, 1 Rushing Yards Touchdowns
Thomas Sirk: 33.6 Fantasy Points, 86 Rushing Yards, 315 Passing Yards 3 pass Touchdowns, 1 Rushing Touchdowns
Drew Hare: 33.5 Fantasy Points, 358 Passing Yards 4 Passing Touchdowns
Tyler Rogers: 31.8 Fantasy Points, 445 Passing Yards 3 Passing Touchdowns

 

Quarterbacks and Running Backs were the fantasy leaders in week 1—the trend has changed in week 2. Displayed above are the top 6 performers at each of the three pivotal fantasy position in CFB Daily Fantasy Cash Drafts.

The clear message that can be observed is that on the top end, receivers and running backs have higher top end potential than a quarterback. 40 points is about the limit you can ever expect a quarterback to score.

Look at Luke Falk for example. I can’t imagine him throwing much more, maybe total out at 500 passing yards. Additionally maybe he runs in a touchdown on top of the 4 passing touchdowns. This still only brings his total to 45 points, still short of what many of the running backs and receivers accomplished this week.

However, what’s missing in this message is the predictability of quarterback performances. Quarterbacks are much more predictable and can consistently provide fantasy value in return for the salary spent on them. The same is not necessarily guaranteed with a running back and especially not with a receiver.

You can work this into your CFB Cash Draft Strategy. If you are entering in a head to head or 50/50 type contest, you don’t need huge point totals, but you need consistent point totals. For this you should put a little extra salary into the quarterback position where you know you will get the return on your investment.

For a league type tournament or multiplier, focus on your Running Back picks. Here you can get a little extra return beyond the quarterback but it is more reliable return than the volatile receivers.

And if you are a high risk, high reward type fantasy manager, receivers are your best friend. It may be hard to identify the receiver than will explode each week, but if you are entering a winner take all type of contest, you’ll need to roll the dice with receivers to stand a chance of cashing in. Maybe even look to spend your cash at the tight end, which is more volatile, yet less impactful than receivers.

Posted in CFB