Cardinals (1-3) vs 49ers (1-3)

The Arizona Cardinals are plagued by turnovers of late. Backup quarterback Drew Stanton will start Thursday against the San Francisco 49ers (Enter contests). With veteran Carson Palmer ruled out due to concussion, Stanton will be left looking to conjure the magic that saw him pull a 5-3 mark out of his hat during a stint in 2014.

ABOUT THE CARDINALS

Stanton struggled mightily in taking over for the concussed Palmer on Sunday, completing just 4-of-11 passes in a 17-13 setback to Los Angeles and his two interceptions upped Arizona’s turnover total to nine during its two-game skid. Arizona has not scored in the first quarter this season and was blanked over the first 15 minutes of a contest in six straight dating to 2015.

David Johnson (64 carries, 300 yards, three TDs) leads the NFL with 510 yards from scrimmage and has recorded 100 or more total yards in all four contests this season and eight of his last nine games. Johnson amassed 124 from scrimmage (83 rushing, 41 receiving) versus the Rams, but the workload was decidedly different in last year’s season series with San Francisco (15 carries, 46 yards). The 24-year-old is spelled by Andre Ellington, as veteran Chris Johnson (groin) was placed on injured reserve Tuesday. Tyvon Branch is also placed on injured reserves. Fellow safety Tyrann Mathieu will temporarily move to the slot while D.J. Swearinger plays in nickel packages. Cardinals LBs Chandler Jones and Markus Golden each have recorded a sack in all four contests this season.

ABOUT THE 49ERS

The 49ers had no such issue against the Rams with a 28-0 season-opening shellacking, but the defense of Chip Kelly’s club summarily has been shredded to the tune of 458.3 yards and 35.7 points per contest during its three-game losing streak. To add injury to insult, four-time NFL All-Pro linebacker NaVorro Bowman sustained a torn left Achilles in Sunday’s 24-17 setback to Dallas and will miss the rest of the season.

San Francisco collected eight takeaways in its first three games to provide a helping hand for the NFL’s 28th-ranked offense, which scored a league-best 45 points off the turnovers after mustering an NFL-worst 25 for the entire 2015 season. The 49ers failed to force a turnover versus the Cowboys on Sunday and Blaine Gabbert’s fourth interception of the season ended his team’s bid for an upset. Carlos Hyde (73 carries, 299 yards, NFC-best five TDs) is averaging 4.9 yards per rush over his last two games, but got limited to just 51 yards in a 47-7 loss at Arizona on Sept. 27. Wide receiver Jeremy Kerley, who had six receptions for 88 yards and a touchdown last week, leads the team in catches (18) and receiving yards (202).

Posted in NFL

Conference Championship Round Daily Fantasy Football Review

The Conference Championship round tasted bittersweet on multiple levels. As a fan of traditional Fantasy Football, Cam Newton’s 382 total yards and 4 touchdowns put the icing on his 2015 breakout cake, virtually guarantying SuperCam will be over drafted next season. I’ll be waiting on Quarterback once again next year, watching Cam, Russell Wilson and others being taken a round or two early, finding value in the later rounds.

The New England Patriots fan in me couldn’t help but notice the glaring weakness in both the running game and downfield passing game. James White did his best James White impression, looking good enough to contribute as a Daily Fantasy Football value player but requiring a big play or TD in order to help his team win in both an NFL and DFS matchup. White, who finished with a respectable 56 total yards and 5 receptions, allowed several downfield throws from Brady slip through his arms that may have changed the outcome for owners.

The NFL fan side of things couldn’t help but appreciate the drama of this season’s Peyton Manning journey coming to a head with a 2 touchdown, zero interception performance vs. his long time rival. Manning connected with the DFS value play of the day, Owen Daniels on both scores. Daniels presented owners with a cheap option at the TE position, enabling to spend up elsewhere.

As an avid DFS player and fan of sites like Fanpicks.com, Rob Gronkowski certainly returned value for me as the Chuck Norris of the NFL world hauled in 8 passes for 144 yards and a crucial touchdown late in the game. Gronk and Daily Fantasy Football fans have experienced a roller coaster relationship this season but he was without question the top Tight End going into the weekend and didn’t disappoint.

C.J. Anderson broke a 30 yard run in the second half which enabled him to slightly return value with his 90 total yards and 3 receptions. (Remember Ronnie Hillman?) Julian Edelman and Emmanuel Sanders both did just enough to not personally cost you your matchup but neither performed to the level DFS owners have come to expect. Edelman finished with 7 for 53 while Sanders hauled in 5 for 62.

The Greg Olsen and Cam stack has been a smart DFS play all year and this weekend it paid off yet again as Olsen came away with 6 receptions and 113 yards. The DFS tournament play of the week came in the form of, not former Arizona Cardinal Ted Ginn Jr. but of fellow wide out Corey Brown. Brown, aided by an 86 yarder, totaled 113 yards and a touchdown on 4 receptions.

Surprise Performances

Carson Palmer, QB, Arizona Cardinals

Palmer was absolutely dreadful on the day, reverting back to the player whom once upon a time was so easy to bet against. Palmer had the best season of his career in 2015 but for Arizona fans and DFS owners who placed faith in the quasi ginger, any positive memories we had disappeared like a fart in the wind as Palmer threw interception after interception, finishing with 4 in total.

David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals

Johnson was widely considered to be a safe play this weekend due to volume but more than delivered on that label, especially in PPR formats. Johnson finished with 9 receptions and a touchdown to go along with his 128 total yards as he finished a clear number one at the RB position this weekend. The Panthers defense was enough of a threat to consider fading Johnson in tournaments but that strategy failed, miserably, just like our next group.

The Arizona Cardinals Wide Receivers

Terrible.

Posted in NFL

NFC Conference Championship Recap –

Arizona Cardinals vs Carolina Panthers

 

 This game went just about exactly as expected, a blowout in favor of the Panthers. They roll onto the Super Bowl with a 49-15 win over the Cardinals. Furthermore, all of the fantasy leaders except for Gronk came from this game, mostly concentrated on Carolina as well.

 

Cam Newton led the list of quarterbacks and cemented the MVP with 335 passing yards, 2 passing touchdowns, and 2 rushing touchdowns for a total of 39.1 fantasy points. Cam Newton was a must in any NFL Daily Cash Draft this weekend.

 

Corey Brown, Ted Ginn, and Greg Olsen were the receivers to stack with Newton. Corey Brown had 4 catches for 113 receiving yards and a touchdown totaling 24.3 fantasy points. Greg Olsen had 6 catches for 113 receiving yards totaling 20.3 fantasy points— still short of Gronk’s numbers. And Ginn had 2 catches for 52 yards as well as a 22 yard rush for a touchdown. Ginn ended the day with 15.4 fantasy points.

 

The Carolina defense was also a must totaling 24 fantasy points. They did this by allowing only 15 points (1 fantasy point), 4 interceptions (8 fantasy points), 1 touchdown (6 fantasy points), 3 fumble recoveries (6 fantasy points), and 3 sacks (3 fantasy points). Yes, that is a total of 7 forced turnovers by the Carolina defense.

 

The only redeemable part of the Cardinal’s offense was David Johnson, who led the list of running backs this weekend. He rushed for 60 yards and 1 touchdown as well as 9 receptions for 68 yards. This totaled 27.8 fantasy points.

Posted in NFL

Arizona Cardinals vs Carolina Panthers 1/24/16 Preview & Picks

  • At 6:40 pm, the 15-1 Panthers will host the 13-3 Arizona Cardinals in a contest of two true powerhouses.

How can we not be excited? This will be the very first time two Heisman-winning quarterbacks face each other in an NFL playoff game. Cameron Newton, as he likes to be called from time-to-time won it along with a National Championship while at Auburn and the veteran Carson Palmer claimed his trophy while starring at USC over a decade ago.

Both Qbs have been monsters this season and have heavy MVP consideration. Newton may be the favorite as his brash style gets the media all giddy, but Palmer is the better thrower. His aerial distribution has been so impressive, as all four WRs have had moments in the sun.

Larry Fitzgerald leads that group, though he’s been “old and washed-up” for a couple of years now…right. He was an animal on that 75-yard catch and run in OT last week and should get his fair share of chances again today. Josh Norman usually stays on his side and still has Michael Floyd, John Brown and occasionally J.J. Nelson to worry about.

Floyd was a beast himself, scoring a pair of touchdown last week. His size and speed will be VERY hard for guys like Cortland Finnegan or Robert McClain to handle. They are weak nickel backs at this point in their careers, and if Floyd played a full season he would have been among the league leaders at his position.

John Brown gets alot of hype for his flash, but his toughness is so impressive for a smaller receiver and he should eat up his matchup as well.

Rookie sensation RB David Johnson is a little banged up, but he is a tank and should pound out some hard yards against this stout Panthers D. As a former WR, his hands and ability in the open field make him a dangerous weapon, so watch for at least five targets with him coming out of the backfield as they will want to avoid that D-Line,

Tedd Ginn Jr has been fantastic all season for Carolina, but he has been dealing with a knee issue since Week 16 and a matchup with Patrick Peterson may be too much for the smaller Ginn to handle.

Greg Olsen always gets his fair share of targets from Cam Newton. The TE is probably how the Panthers want to attack this All-Star Cardinals D squad as their outside coverage will be tight. Five catches for just under 100 yards and a score is my guess.

Jonathan Stewart (foot, ankle) had himself a day last week against the Seahawks. 19 carries for 106 yards and two TDs versus that defense is no joke, but neither is this Cardinals front-seven. Stewart is pretty consistent and has that big-game ceiling.

AdviceThis will be a hard fought game, but Michael Floyd is in line to be the X-factor with 120 yards and another pair of scores over various Panthers DBs. Larry Fitzgerald is Mr. Playoffs but he could see alot of Josh Norman which may limit his yardage. At RB even as a rookie, David Johnson has been my money man all season.

Posted in NFL

NFL Conference Championships Stacks

 

With only a two game slate, it is key to identify and pick the best stack of the weekend to have any chance of placing in a NFL Daily Fantasy Tournament. Its down to the favorites and when everyone has strong defenses, every stack has the potential for boom or bust. For that reason you need to pick based on ownership rather than projection.

 

Lets look at the stacks:

 

Palmer and Fitz:

 

Coming off a hot performance last week, I think this will be one of the highest owned stacks of the weekend. Don’t get me wrong, Larry Fitzgerald is one of the most clutch playoff performers, however and he has great synergy with Palmer right now. But he performed too well last week and I don’t think he will do that again. If he does then the Cardinals will move on to the Super Bowl but the Panthers are just too strong. However, many others people may agree that it is not a great matchup, which can bring the ownership down. My verdict: FADE.

 

Newton and Olsen:

 

The biggest indicator of a players ownership is their performance the previous week. People just love to make their picks on what is the most fresh in their mind, and whats fresh in their mind here is Newton’s disappointment last week— of course I mean fantasy wise… the Panthers had a great game against the Seahawks last week. While the potential MVP will never be lowly owned, I do think he will be lower than normal and the Newton Olsen connection has great upside potential. My verdict: PICK.

 

Brady and Gronk/Edelman:

 

You can go either way with this stack. Edelman will rack up the targets, receptions, and yardage a bit faster but Gronk is the superior red zone threat. They as well as Brady had a great game last weekend. However, they are facing a much stronger defense here. In terms of ownership, I expect them to be highly owned, and rightfully so with more playoff experience than any other team. I’m avoiding it however for a lower owned stack with a higher upside. My verdict: FADE.

 

Manning and Thomas/Sanders:

 

We have seen very little out of Peyton Manning this year. He has had good and bad game play performances but he has had all bad fantasy performances. Their team has adopted a different style of offense which has destroyed his ability to put up big numbers. Thomas and Sanders have had their moments with Oswieller running the offense, but not Manning. I think this will be the lowest owned stack of the week— which makes it the stack with the most potential profit. Usually you only want to stack with one receiver but in a week with such few options, I don’t mind tossing both of them in there to hedge you’re bets a little bit. You shouldn’t expect these players to put up big numbers but when you are picking based on ownership— in the slight chance they do, you may win big. My verdict: PICK.

Posted in NFL

NFL Divisional Round Value Picks

Quarterback

There are no locks at quarterback in the Divisional Round with strong pass defenses and questionable starts.  The weak link in pass defense for the weekend is Pittsburgh.  They have one of the weakest pass defenses in the league, and have only made it this far with their explosive offense (mostly just the Big Ben and Antonio Brown connection).

However, there are question marks on the other side of the ball as well.  Peyton Manning has won back his starting job this game but if things go south for him, an early substitution could be made.  I personally have faith in the sheriff, he wants to leave the league on a high note and with this favorable matchup, he may be one of the best picks this week.  He comes at a bargain too as the cheapest quarterback for the week (Landry Jones and Brock Osweiller come cheaper if either of them end up starting).  However, there is the possibility Roethlisberger plays minimal minutes and in the hands of Jones, the Steelers don’t stand a chance.  If this ends up being a blowout early it could mean a lot of carries for Anderson and Hilman and Mannings numbers paying the price.

Although Roethlisberger was able to deconstruct this defense last time around in the regular season, his health is in question and it is not guaranteed he will even start.  We have seen the huge numbers Big Ben can put up against any defense, but I don’t think this will be his week.

The next chance for a shootout is Packers and Cardinals.  Vegas has this one rated as the highest scoring with an Over Under of 50, -7 point win the Cardinals favor.  An argument could be made either way on this one.  Aaron Rodgers has been here before and knows what he needs to do.  Plus the Packers looked great last weekend against the Redskins.  However, the Cardinals are not the Redskins, and we have not seen the Packer’s perform very well this year against a sound defense.

The playoff experience of Rodgers is exactly what Palmer is missing.  He has played one playoff game in his career (two if you count the quarter he played before leaving the game with a shoulder injury).  My take on it, experience is overrated, football is football.  If this were the Super Bowl then experience may take a role, but in this round, I think Palmer will continue to perform as he has all season—Very Well.

RunningBack

The other two matchups have the potential to go either way.  The top ranked matchup between Seattle and Carolina could be a high scoring shootout or a defensive battle, the only thing you can bet it won’t be is a blowout in either direction.  Marshawn Lynch is set to make his return this week (although that was the word last week as well).  With his questionable health and the matchup, I think you avoid Seattle running backs completely.  The same can be said about Jonathan Stewart,  although drastically different in running style, if Adrian Peterson can’t get any yardage against the Seahawks, I don’t expect anyone to.

Like I mentioned earlier, CJ Anderson should get plenty of carries.  I think he is the best pick of the weekend.  James White also should be a good value as well.  Tom Brady and the Patriots won’t make the same mistakes as the Texans last week.

Wide Receiver

The top picks at receiver should be Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders no matter who is playing at quarterback.  They will pay the price as well though if Denver gets ahead early and focuses on the running game.  Both of these receivers however have great synergy with both Manning and Osweiller and last time against the Steelers DT had 2 touchdowns while Sanders had well over 100 receiving yards and a touchdown.

The Cardinals receiver squad should be able to generate some good value this weekend as well.  In the playoffs it will be all Larry Fitzgerald who brings the experience that Palmer lacks.  In his 2008 playoff run he averaged 130 receiving yards per game in the 4 playoff games and had 7 receiving touchdowns.  That has to be on par with the most impressive individual postseason performance of all time.

 

Posted in NFL

Green Bay Packers versus Arizona Cardinals NFL Playoffs Fantasy Picks 1-16-2016

 

The NFL Divisional Round of the playoffs will feature in prime time the Arizona Cardinals hosting the Green Bay Packers. Fantasy football draft managers can tune to NBC TV on Saturday January 16th at 8:15PM Eastern Time to track the results of their one day real money leagues.

 

This is a rematch of the regular season meeting between these teams back on December 27th. It was all Arizona as they crushed the Packers 38-8 at home. The Cardinals got a great performance on both sides of the ball. Carson Palmer passed for 265 yards with two touchdowns and a pick. It was a three headed monster for the Cardinals running game as they rushed for 121 yards. The Arizona defense had a fantastic game by limiting the Packers to just 178 yards and registered nine quarterback sacks.

 

Arizona is on a bye week as the number two seed in the playoffs. They possess the number one rated offense in the NFL as they gain 408 yards per game. They average 30.6 points per game which is second best in the league. The Cardinals has been outstanding on the defensive end as they limit opponents to 321 yards per game.

 

Green Bay is only the 25th ranked passing team in the NFL. They have not been able to overcome the injury of wide receiver Jordy Nelson. The Packers defense has performed well as they sit sixth best in the league in pass defense by giving up 227 yards passing per game. They went 0-2 to close out the regular season scoring just eight points at Arizona and 13 points at home to Minnesota to close the regular season. The team improved off those two dull efforts with the 35-18 road victory in the NFC Wildcard game last week against the Washington Redskins. The Packers moved the football on the Redskins defense for 210 yards passing and two touchdowns thrown by Aaron Rodgers with 141 yards rushing. The difference in the game came in the red zone. Green Bay was 4 of 5 while Washington was 1-4. That is a huge swing as the Redskins were able to move the football through the air in the passing game with Kirk Cousins passing for 329 yards. Arizona is better in the red zone in scoring and defending than the Washington Redskins. The Cardinals would be the preferred playmaker choices from this playoff meeting.

 

Green Bay Packers QB:

 

Aaron Rodgers

 

The Packers wide receivers have been graded by NFL scouts as being the slowest off the line of scrimmage of any unit in the league. It will be hard to hear the snap count for Green Bay at a noisy Cardinals stadium in this playoff game. In the playoff win last week at Washington Rodgers completed 58.3% of his throws for 210 yards with two touchdowns. He has touchdown passes in ten straight games and he has thrown for multiple touchdowns in six of ten games. Pass protection will be vital in this game for Green Bay as Rodgers took nine sacks last times these two teams met.

 

Green Bay Packers RB:

 

Eddie Lacy

 

Lacy is splitting carries with James Starks. That does not offer fantasy value. Last week Lacy had 12 carries for 63 yards and a touchdown for 5.3 yards per carry. But the issue is Lacy is receiving an average of only 12 carries over his past four games.

 

Green Bay Packers WR:

 

James Jones

 

The veteran wide out for the Packers has caught 50 balls for 890 yards with eight touchdowns. Jones had seven grabs last week for Green Bay for 81 yards. In Week 17, Jones had 102 receiving yards with four catches.

 

Arizona Cardinals QB:

 

Carson Palmer

 

The veteran quarterback for Arizona is coming off an outstanding regular season. He has been injury free starting all 16 games. Palmer is completing 63.7% of his passing for 4671 yards with 35 touchdowns and 11 picks. The yardage and touchdown passes are all career highs.

 

Arizona Cardinals RB:

 

David Johnson

 

The Cardinals have been hit hard with injuries to their running back position. Johnson has 125 carries for 581 yards with eight touchdowns and 4.6 yards per carry average. He had a three touchdown performance at Philadelphia in Week 15.

 

Arizona Cardinals WR:

 

John Brown

 

Brown is a big play receiver for the Cardinals. He has caught 65 passes for 1003 yards and seven touchdowns with 15.4 yards per catch average.

 

NFL Playoffs Real Money Football Fantasy League Picks

 

QB: Carson Palmer (Cardinals)

RB: David Johnson (Cardinals)

WR: John Browns (Cardinals)

Posted in NFL

NFL Fantasy Draft News 12-25-2015

New England Patriots versus New York Jets NFL Real Money Fantasy Preview 12-27-2015

Two AFC East division rivals meet in Week 16 as the New York Jets will meet the New England Patriots. NFL fantasy football GMs can tune to CBS TV on Sunday December 27th at 1PM Eastern Time to track the scoring results of their one day real money roster picks.

After six straight games being held under 30 points the New England Patriots put up 33 points on a bad Tennessee Titans team. The Patriots have been hit hard with injuries to their wide receiver and running back position that has impacted fantasy value on their playmakers.

The Jets have had four straight good defensive performances. They held Tennessee to eight points two weeks ago and last week held the Cowboys to just 16 points. But those results came against poor offensive teams. In the first meeting with New England it was New York allowing 30 points to the Patriots in a loss. The Patriots simply abandoned the run in that contest with Tom Brady passing for 355 yards and two touchdowns. Everyone knew that Rob Gronkowski was going to be heavily targeted yet he led the Patriots with 11 catches for 108 yards and a touchdown.

Here are the Fantasy Football Picks

Don’t expect the Patriots to waste downs running the ball on the Jets defense. New York had trouble covering Rob Gronkowski. He has touchdown receptions in three straight and 8 of his 13 games played this season.

Play Rob Gronkowski

New England Patriots TE

Green Bay Packers versus Arizona Cardinals NFL Fantasy Preview 12-20-2015

A battle between playoff contenders as the Arizona Cardinals will meet the Green Bay Packers. DFS draft managers can tune to FOX at 4:25PM Eastern Time on Sunday December 27th to follow the results of their roster picks.

The Arizona Cardinals have the top offense in the NFL as they average 422 yards per game. They are second best in the league by putting up 32 points per game. They are coming off a 40 point performance last week in a win at Philadelphia.

Green Bay is in a back to back road trip out west in this spot. The 30 points put up on the Raiders last week were greatly aided by Oakland turnovers. Arizona has played clean this season. The location is key here in a climate controlled stadium in Arizona instead of the cold December weather of Green Bay.

Here are the Fantasy Football Picks

Carson Palmer has been healthy this year and is putting up some quality numbers this season. He has completed 64.3% of his throws for 4277 yards with 32 touchdowns and nine picks. He has thrown touchdown passes in 13 of his 14 games this season. Palmer has multiple touchdown passes in ten games with games with three touchdowns or greater in six. The past two home games for Carson Palmer came against good defensive teams. He passed for 310 yards and two touchdown passes against Minnesota and had 317 yards passing with four touchdowns in a Week 11 win against Cincinnati. He faced another good defensive team but this time on the road to Seattle where he threw for 363 yards and three touchdowns.

Play on Carson Palmer

Arizona Cardinals QB

Second year wide receiver Josh Brown is showing improvement with the Arizona Cardinals in 2015. He is way ahead of his numbers from a season ago mainly due to the fact that Carson Palmer has played every game. Brown is the deep threat who has caught 58 passes this year for 933 yards with six touchdowns. He is averaging 16.1 yards per catch this season. With the run game producing for Arizona and with an intermediate route runner in Larry Fitzgerald lingering in pass patterns it will open the field for big plays for Brown.

Play on Josh Brown

Arizona Cardinals WR

Posted in NFL

Week 16 Value Picks

Quarterback

Screen Shot 2015-12-26 at 9.35.20 AM

The shootout of the weekend should be between Jacksonville and New Orleans, assuming Drew Brees is healthy enough to take the field after tearing his plantar last week (the same injury Peyton Manning is struggling with). These two quarterbacks love to throw the ball and their defenses love to let the ball be thrown. I give Bortles the fantasy edge though since the Saints defense is more flawed fundamentally and Bortles just loves to throw the ball way down the field.

Kirk Cousins could be a great value pick this weekend as well. He has been on fire lately and we see the weapons he has in Jordan Reed and DeSean Jackson (even Alfred Morris as well). Thats not even considering the fact that the Eagles secondary is great at making any quarterback look like Tom Brady out there.

Running Back

Screen Shot 2015-12-26 at 9.39.15 AM

As you can see from the above, there are not many great options at running back this week with the highest projected running back as Doug Martin (CHI @ TB) with only 20.6 projected points. You can spend the money at Running back if you wish and go with the likes of Doug Martin (CHI @ TB) and Matt Forte (CHI @ TB) in what should be a run off, or you can save your money for the higher value at the Receiver position and go for the bargain picks of Darren Sproles (WAS @ PHI), Tim Hightower (JAX @ NO), Christine Michael (STL @ SEA), or Ameer Abdullah (SF @ DET).

Wide Receiver

Screen Shot 2015-12-26 at 9.41.06 AM

The stack of the week should be Allen Robinson and Blake Bortles against the Saints. There is no denying that the Big Ben and Antonio Brown connection has been unstoppable this year, no matter what the matchup. He is going to cost you a pretty penny but fading Antonio Brown may just kill your chances of winning big, as it has plenty of weekends this year already.

Or you can go with Doug Baldwin who has scored over 10 touchdowns in the past 4 weeks. Can he keep this streak going against the Rams? I’m saying yes, not that he will score another 3 touchdowns, but he should be able to haul in 1 or 2 providing some good fantasy value. Seattle doesn’t seem to be stopping this charge until the season ends.

If you are trying to find a cheap value receiver to fill that last spot in your lineup with limited funds, you can look to Jeremy Maclin (CLE @ KC), John Brown (GB @ ARI), Michael Floyd (GB @ ARI), Willie Snead (JAX @ NO), Bradon Cooks (JAX @ NO), or Golden Tate (SF @ DET).

Tight End

Screen Shot 2015-12-26 at 9.44.28 AM

The tight end decision has been made easier in the previous couple weeks with Gronk out. Up until then the decision was go for Gronk, accept the 50+% ownership and $7000+ price tag and hope its his week, or choose from the list of alternative tight ends. The Gronk versus the field decision is back. This week it is easy though.

Gronk has not shown his dominance of previous years this season and is only projected about 1 point higher than the Saints‘ Benjamin Watson. The value picks here are Ebron and Kelce. Kelce has been stagnated slightly since his explosive start to the season and his salary reflects that decline. However, he has high end potential against the Browns, which is what you are going to need to win any big NFL Daily Fantasy Tournament. Ebron as well has shown brilliance at times this year and is getting more action lately with Calvin Johnson all of the sudden becoming obsolete in their offense. Ebron comes much cheaper than the other highly projected options and allows you to spend the cash where you want this week, with the receivers.

Posted in NFL

NFL Week 15 Value Picks

Quarterback

Fantasy football

Carson Palmer (Ari @ Phi)  Carson Palmer has been on roll lately.  The Cardinals have depth at the receiver position and everyone is health.  The Eagles on the other hand have not been able to stop the long ball with their lack of depth at corner back.  Perfect conditions for Palmer to have a big passing game, especially to the likes of Michael Floyd and John Brown.

 

Blake Bortles (Atl @ Jax) While the Jaguars have not been winning many games, and Bortles does not among the list of top quarterbacks in terms of gameplay.  He is an allstar fantasy quarterback.  He throws the long ball more than any other quarterback and he been consistently able to produce big numbers (despite a couple of interceptions being pretty common).  The Falcons have not been strong against the pass either.

 

Running Back

Fantasy football

Bryce Brown (Cle @ Sea)  The Seahawks have been unstoppable in their last 3 games and showing to be a serious Super Bowl contender.  They should have no issue blowing out the Browns, but with Lynch and Rawls out, they will need a running back to run down the clock once they have established their lead.  It looks like Brown will get those duties.

 

Lamar Miller (Mia @ SD)  The Chargers rank 6th on the list of rushing yards allowed per game with 127 rushing yards allowed per game.  Miller is coming off a 2 touchdown game against the giants.

 

Wide Receiver

Fantasy football

Golden Tate (Det @ NO) Although the Saints defense has been stronger as of late, they still average the third most passing yards allowed per game.  Golden Tate has only dropped 4 passes on 28 targets over the pass 4 games and if Calvin Johnson continues to struggle, Tate is the logical next target.

 

Demaryius Thomas (Den @ Pit) Pittsburgh is the most likely team to be involved in a shootout type game.  They have an explosive offense, but allow huge amounts of opposing passing yards as well.  Thomas has been working well with Osweiier recently and may be in for a big game against the Steelers.

 

Tight End

Fantasy football

Benjamin Watson (Det @ NO) Watson has amounted 28 targets from Brees over the past 3 games.  He has only managed to catch 15 of them, which means he has potential for big fantasy value if he can reel in those passes.

 

Posted in NFL

NFL Fantasy Draft News 12-15-2015

Arizona Cardinals versus Philadelphia Eagles Real Money NFL Fantasy Preview 12-20-2015

Two playoff contenders are in action on Sunday night football as the Philadelphia Eagles will host the Arizona Cardinals. NFL fantasy draft GM’s can tune to NBC TV on December 20th at 8:30PM Eastern Time to follow the results of their one day league DFS roster picks.

 

The Philadelphia Eagles will carry a two game win streak after their win against Buffalo 23-20 at home. This came after a seven point victory at New England the previous week. The team’s defense has improved after allowing 45 to the Lions and Buccaneers in their prior two games before this win streak. The Eagles got a break from Bills self-destruction as they were penalized for 101 yards.

 

Arizona extends their win streak to seven straight after they beat Minnesota 23-20 on Thursday night football. The Cardinals have just one loss on the road and have put up 27 or greater points in five of their seven road games with three games where they amassed 39 or greater points. The Cardinals are second best in the NFL in scoring as they put up 31 points per game.

 

Here is the Fantasy Football Pick

 

Carson Palmer is healthy and is playing very good football for the Cardinals in 2015. Prior to his season long injury in 2014 Palmer was sharp and had good chemistry with his weapons in the passing game. Last week against Minnesota the veteran quarterback completed 71% of his throws for 310 yards with two touchdowns. Palmer has thrown for over 300 yards in two straight and five of his past six games. He has multiple touchdown passes in two straight and six of his past seven games. Palmer will have success connecting with his targets against an Eagles defense that has given up 28 at New England that had numerous injuries to their playmakers and 45 to Detroit and Tampa Bay.

 

Play Carson Palmer (Cardinals QB)

 

 

Denver Broncos versus Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Fantasy Preview 12-20-2015

 

A possible playoff preview is on tap on Sunday afternoon as the Pittsburgh Steelers will host the Denver Broncos. DFS fantasy draft managers can tune to CBS TV on December 20th at 4:25PM Eastern Time to track the scoring results from their daily league roster picks.

 

The Denver Broncos come off a stinging home loss to the Oakland Raiders 15-12 where their defense put on a pretty good performance and deserved a better result. It is a log jam between the Patriots, Bengals and Broncos for best record in the AFC conference and the all-important home field advantage up into the Championship Game. The offense has gone stagnant in Denver. The team has been held to 17 points or fewer in four of their past five games. It does not look like Peyton Manning is going to return soon to the lineup.

 

The Pittsburgh Steelers bring momentum into their final home game of the regular season on Sunday. The team has won two straight and four of their past five games. Their offense is clicking as they scored at least 30 points for the fifth straight week. After holding the Cots to 10 points the Steelers limited the Bengals to 20 points. Following this home game against Denver the team finishes with road games against losing teams in the Ravens and Browns. Pittsburgh has the second ranked offense in the NFL and their defense yet getting lit up for passing yards is only allowing 20 points per game ranking 11th in the league.

 

Here is the NFL Fantasy Pick for your Real Money League

 

Pittsburgh has been a bend don’t break defense and they face a Broncos team that is having trouble moving the football and putting points on the board.

 

Play on Pittsburgh Steelers Defense

Posted in NFL

Week 15 Stacks to Watch Out For

Carolina Panthers versus the Giants

No need to tell you how unstoppable the Panthers have been this year. Newton is the frontrunner in the MVP race and their winning record speaks for itself. However, they may be missing their star tight end Greg Olsen, who left the game early with a knee injury. Weather he plays or not, he may be a risky pick. If Olsen is limited that will mean more targets for Ginn and Funchess, especially Ginn who has shown he has the speed to separate from defenders and get open for a long ball.

The primary reason this stack looks so promising however is more about their matchup. The Giants have by far been the weakest at against defending the pass this year allowing an average of 314.5 passing yards per game this year, far more than the second place on this list (Steelers at 279 passing yards per game).

Packers Stack

If you are looking for a stack that may be less owned (more upside in a tournament) the Packers may be your choice. While Aaron Rodgers has been struggling lately and the Packers were all run game last weekend, we all know what Aaron Rodgers is capable of with that offense. The Raiders, while weak against both, are better at defending the run than the pass, allowing an average of 271 passing yards per game this year (putting them 5th on that list) but are 12 on lowest rushing yards allowed with just over 100 per game.

James Jones and Randall Cobb are the best picks as far as receivers go. Cobb is a definite favorite target of Rodgers’ and he always seems to be able to find Jones for a long ball. While Richard Rodgers is a red zone threat, I doubt he will be able to match his 2 touchdown performance from 2 weeks ago and he doesn’t get many targets otherwise.

Cardinals Stack

Another matchup that has serious potential is the Arizona Cardinals against the Eagles. The Eagles have been struggling to stop the pass this year and Carson Palmer and his receivers have been red hot. While Larry Fitzgerald has been quite as of late, he is the veteran of this team and always shows up in the clutch. However, the Eagles real weakness lies in their secondary, typically leaving the long ball open. This is where John Brown and Michael Floyd generate their value. Each had a long touchdown last week against the Vikings for over 40 yards and with their speed, they will have no problem getting open down the field against Philly’s pass defense.

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Minnesota Vikings versus Arizona Cardinals Thursday Night Football Real Money Fantasy Picks 12-10-2015

A pair of playoff contenders will be showcased on Thursday Night Football as the Arizona Cardinals will be home to the Minnesota Vikings. NFL Fantasy League GM’s can tune to CBS TV at 8:30PM Eastern Time on December 10th to follow the results of their DFS roster picks.

 

The Minnesota Vikings are looking to rebound after a bad 38-7 home defeat to the Seattle Seahawks. The Seahawks defense did a very good job of taking running back Adrian Peterson out of the game by stacking the line. This forced Vikings quarterback Teddy Bridgewater to beat the Seahawks linebackers and secondary. It was no contest as Bridgewater likes to lob up passes and lead his receivers to run under balls. He doesn’t have the arm strength and accuracy to throw in tight windows yet and that weakness was exposed greatly by the Seahawks defense last week. They fell to a flat footed tie with the Packers in the division at 8-4. The team is 31st and second worst in the NFL in passing offense by throwing for 179 yards per game. Minnesota could be very vulnerable in this game as they lose the services of four of their starters on defense due to getting injured in the physical battle with Seattle. It is tough to play the Seahawks but even worse when you have a Thursday night game after playing them on the previous Sunday.

 

The Arizona Cardinals enter play with a record of 10-2 and can clinch the NFC West with a win and a loss by the Seahawks on Sunday. The team came off a dominating victory last week to the St Louis Rams 27-3 and they get revenge from an earlier home loss to the Rams at home. The Cardinals have performed very well on both ends of the field. They are the top scoring team in the NFL as they put up nearly 32 points per game. They are third in the league in passing offense as they throw for 299 yards per game. Teams score just 19.3 points per game on the Cardinals which is fourth best in the NFL. We are going to make a case here to select the Arizona Cardinals defense. This is a play against the Minnesota Vikings offense for the second straight week. It is another nightmare matchup for the Vikings as they will take Adrian Peterson out of the game and expose the weakness of Teddy Bridgewater in threading the needle.

 

Arizona Cardinals QB:

 

Carson Palmer

 

The veteran quarterback is completing 64% of his throws this season for 3693 yards with 29 touchdowns and 9 picks. He threw for 356 yards with two touchdowns last week in the win at St Louis. He has thrown for multiple touchdowns in five of his past six games.

 

Arizona Cardinals RB:

 

David Johnson

 

The rookie from Northern Iowa was called into action with injuries to the Andre Ellington and Chris Johnson. David Johnson ran for 120 yards and a touchdown on his 24 carries.

 

Arizona Cardinals WR:

 

Larry Fitzgerald

 

Fitzgerald is leading the Cardinals with 91 catches for 1047 yards with seven touchdowns. He is averaging 11.5 yards per catch on the campaign.

 

Minnesota Vikings QB:

 

Teddy Bridgewater

 

The second year quarterback still has some development work to get better in this league. He has some good qualities and can complete passes to open receivers. But when the opponent can stop the run and the coverage is tight on receivers the Vikings signal caller struggles to complete passes downfield. Many times he looks to check down or will complete a pass to a tight end well in front of the first down markers that stall drives.

 

Minnesota Vikings RB:

 

Adrian Peterson

 

The Vikings pro bowl running back struggled for yardage against a very good Seattle Seahawks defense last week. He had 8 carries for only 18 yards.

 

Minnesota Vikings TE:

 

Kyle Rudolph

 

The Minnesota tight end has 39 catches for 354 yards and four touchdowns. Look for Bridgewater to target his tight end heavily in this game against a very good secondary and run defense.

 

NFL Thursday Night Football Fantasy League Picks

 

 

QB: Carson Palmer (Cardinals)

RB: David Johnson (Cardinals)

WR: Larry Fitzgerald (Cardinals)

TE: Kyle Rudolph (Vikings)

Play Arizona Cardinals Defense

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