Complete NFC West Preview

Here is a look at what you can expect from the Rams, Seahawks, 49ers and Cards this season…

Los Angeles Rams

There’s no other way to interpret the Rams’ aggressive offseason: L.A. is aiming for the Super Bowl. A once-middling defense now might boast the best interior rush and secondary in the NFL. An explosive offense replaced one Pro Bowl vertical threat with another, better weapon and still has a 2,000-yard MVP candidate in the backfield. All signs point to the Rams continuing their NFC West supremacy and pushing toward a deep playoff run. But do they have enough for a Super Bowl run? In an insanely deep NFC race, they’re going to need all the weapons they can muster.

San Francisco 49ers

If the 49ers’ season-ending five-game winning streak wasn’t a mirage, they could contend for a playoff spot, assuming QB Jimmy Garoppolo stays healthy. The 49ers haven’t made the playoffs or had a winning record since going 12-4 and reaching the NFC title game in 2013, former coach Jim Harbaugh’s next-to-last season with the team.

Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks lost far too much talent in one offseason to improve their situation. They conducted a major housecleaning that proved disconcerting to both fans and returning players. A glory era ended. “Every year it’s not fun when guys leave, but this hurt pretty bad,” outside linebacker K.J. Wright says. Realistically, a team revamp as extensive as this is going to take a few seasons — and more moves — to take hold. Expect Seattle to hover around .500 and be home during the playoffs again.

Arizona Cardinals

A healthy Sam Bradford at quarterback might be enough to make even the most skeptical critics rethink their conclusions about the Cardinals, but history isn’t on Bradford’s side, and with the departures of so many key players across the board, it’s difficult to believe this is a credible playoff team. If Arizona’s defense can keep the team in games and Johnson once again threatens 1,000 yards as both a rusher and a pass catcher, then maybe there’s a chance of a winning record. The wild card could be Josh Rosen. If the rookie quarterback gets thrust into the spotlight early, a lot of things could change.

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Posted in NFL

NFL Draft Fantasy League

NFC West

One day, that is all that separate us from the 2016 NFL Draft, and it has yet to be determined who will go number one this year. There’s plenty of candidates, but there’s only one team with that significant pick. The Rams are in the midst of a major change. They will be relocating from St.Louis to Los Angeles starting next season. In fact, they will be making their return to the city of angels for the first time since 1994. This will increase their fanbase significantly. With a much higher population count, a wealthier metropolis and being the neighborhood of stardom, the Rams should do just fine there. They’ve already doubled in value from $1.5 billions to $2.9 billions, catapulting them in third place for the most expensive teams in the league. The number one pick, whoever that will turn out to be, will have an immediate popularity that will follow him in L.A. Does that mean that the other NFC West teams should be worried about this new franchise? What should they do? To maximize your selections for the NFL Draft Fantasy League contest, let’s find out what the NFC West teams needs are!

Arizona Cardinals

Arizona will have to be on the lookout for a high-pressure pass rusher. It would be time to look for younger option at defensive end rather than to bank on Frostee Rucker and Cory Redding for another few years. A young and talented middle linebacker with good size needs to be addressed as well. While Patrick Peterson and Tyrann Mathieu are already receiving much of the defensive backfield play time, adding an additional playmaker who’s formidable against the pass could definitely help the Cards.

Top 2 round picks: 29th selection.

Seattle Seahawks

Entering the draft, the Seahawks should covets playmaking secondary players. It would also be a possibility that they could look for some cornerback talents. Since moving Justin Britt to inside guard, Seattle needs to figure out who should helm the tackle spot opposite Russell Okung. The middle of the D-line looks empty since the loss of Brandon Mebane, and Bruce Irvin’s speed will also be missed off the edge of the second-tier. The Seahawks have made a tremendous job at building their defense through the draft, they are expected to do so again.

Top 2 round picks: 26th and 56th selections.

San Francisco 49ers

What to say about the saga that is Colin Kaepernick! New coach Chip Kelly as likely already set up a plan to grab a quarterback in the first-round. The offensive line woes will have to be attended to in the following rounds. The 49ers should also target some wide receivers to fit into Kelly’s offensive scheme. On the defensive side, linebackers would be needed.

Top 2 round picks: 7th and 37th selections.

Los Angeles Rams

Yet another draft where the Rams have to find a premium wide receiver, where they can build their passing game around. And even if they can find a true number one wide receiver, they will first need a quarterback. Finding some more cornerback and safety should help the team, especially with the departures of Rodney McLeod and Janoris Jenkins.

Top 2 round picks: 1st selection.

Posted in NFL

Chandler Jones Trade Review

On March 15 2016, the New England Patriots traded defensive end Chandler Jones to the Arizona Cardinals for Jonathan Cooper and the Cardinals’ second-round pick (61).

Jones, who led the Patriots with 30 sacks over the past three years was assumed to be a big piece of the puzzle moving forward in New England. While Cooper, who has been a major bust at guard since being drafted 7th overall in 2013 was slated to move to center for 2016 in hopes of saving his NFL career.

When the trade first broke, everyone freaked out and said “Wow, Chandler Jones to the Cardinals!? Did the Pats get duped in a deal for once!?” That quickly turned into, “well Jones has off-field issues and they lost a top pick due to deflate gate so it’s actually a smart move by the Pats”.

A typical reaction when the subject is a organization with such a tremendous track record of success. It’s hard to ever fault the Pats for any moves they make because even when they don’t look good at first, they often end up turning out quite well. I think we’ve all learned to shut our mouths on that front.

But I must speak up on this trade. I will not be another “yes-man”, one of the fellow “another solid move for the Pats” guys. We subliminally wear rose coloured glasses at anything Belichick or the Pats do, but I had a moment of clarity and managed to shed them for a second and immediately realized…Cards fans must be ecstatic about this move.

Think of the Cardinals defense swarming all around in a sea of red. All they were missing was a pass rush. That’s pretty much all anyone has talked about this off-season regarding the Cardinals. Tyrann Mathieu’s health, and getting a pass-rush. They didn’t land any rushers in free agency, so the draft was all that was left. But, how much could a rookie pass-rusher really help them? Four to eight sacks is a successful year for a rookie. Jones had 12.5 last season, including 4 forced fumbles.

Arizona got as far as they did this season with the late addition of Dwight Freeney as their sack specialist. He did well with 8 sacks of his own in just 11 games, but he is now another year older (36) and cannot anchor a team like he once did. Freeney still remains a free agent.

The Pats signed Chris Long in hopes of replacing some of Jones’ production, and will surely address the position in the draft. The Cardinals signed Evan Mathis. At this point in their careers Long is hoping he can still play in the NFL, while Mathis graded out 2015 as one of the best run-blockers in the league and won a Super Bowl starting for the Denver Broncos.

Arizona wins again.

Posted in NFL

NFC Conference Championship Recap –

Arizona Cardinals vs Carolina Panthers

 

 This game went just about exactly as expected, a blowout in favor of the Panthers. They roll onto the Super Bowl with a 49-15 win over the Cardinals. Furthermore, all of the fantasy leaders except for Gronk came from this game, mostly concentrated on Carolina as well.

 

Cam Newton led the list of quarterbacks and cemented the MVP with 335 passing yards, 2 passing touchdowns, and 2 rushing touchdowns for a total of 39.1 fantasy points. Cam Newton was a must in any NFL Daily Cash Draft this weekend.

 

Corey Brown, Ted Ginn, and Greg Olsen were the receivers to stack with Newton. Corey Brown had 4 catches for 113 receiving yards and a touchdown totaling 24.3 fantasy points. Greg Olsen had 6 catches for 113 receiving yards totaling 20.3 fantasy points— still short of Gronk’s numbers. And Ginn had 2 catches for 52 yards as well as a 22 yard rush for a touchdown. Ginn ended the day with 15.4 fantasy points.

 

The Carolina defense was also a must totaling 24 fantasy points. They did this by allowing only 15 points (1 fantasy point), 4 interceptions (8 fantasy points), 1 touchdown (6 fantasy points), 3 fumble recoveries (6 fantasy points), and 3 sacks (3 fantasy points). Yes, that is a total of 7 forced turnovers by the Carolina defense.

 

The only redeemable part of the Cardinal’s offense was David Johnson, who led the list of running backs this weekend. He rushed for 60 yards and 1 touchdown as well as 9 receptions for 68 yards. This totaled 27.8 fantasy points.

Posted in NFL

Arizona Cardinals vs Carolina Panthers 1/24/16 Preview & Picks

  • At 6:40 pm, the 15-1 Panthers will host the 13-3 Arizona Cardinals in a contest of two true powerhouses.

How can we not be excited? This will be the very first time two Heisman-winning quarterbacks face each other in an NFL playoff game. Cameron Newton, as he likes to be called from time-to-time won it along with a National Championship while at Auburn and the veteran Carson Palmer claimed his trophy while starring at USC over a decade ago.

Both Qbs have been monsters this season and have heavy MVP consideration. Newton may be the favorite as his brash style gets the media all giddy, but Palmer is the better thrower. His aerial distribution has been so impressive, as all four WRs have had moments in the sun.

Larry Fitzgerald leads that group, though he’s been “old and washed-up” for a couple of years now…right. He was an animal on that 75-yard catch and run in OT last week and should get his fair share of chances again today. Josh Norman usually stays on his side and still has Michael Floyd, John Brown and occasionally J.J. Nelson to worry about.

Floyd was a beast himself, scoring a pair of touchdown last week. His size and speed will be VERY hard for guys like Cortland Finnegan or Robert McClain to handle. They are weak nickel backs at this point in their careers, and if Floyd played a full season he would have been among the league leaders at his position.

John Brown gets alot of hype for his flash, but his toughness is so impressive for a smaller receiver and he should eat up his matchup as well.

Rookie sensation RB David Johnson is a little banged up, but he is a tank and should pound out some hard yards against this stout Panthers D. As a former WR, his hands and ability in the open field make him a dangerous weapon, so watch for at least five targets with him coming out of the backfield as they will want to avoid that D-Line,

Tedd Ginn Jr has been fantastic all season for Carolina, but he has been dealing with a knee issue since Week 16 and a matchup with Patrick Peterson may be too much for the smaller Ginn to handle.

Greg Olsen always gets his fair share of targets from Cam Newton. The TE is probably how the Panthers want to attack this All-Star Cardinals D squad as their outside coverage will be tight. Five catches for just under 100 yards and a score is my guess.

Jonathan Stewart (foot, ankle) had himself a day last week against the Seahawks. 19 carries for 106 yards and two TDs versus that defense is no joke, but neither is this Cardinals front-seven. Stewart is pretty consistent and has that big-game ceiling.

AdviceThis will be a hard fought game, but Michael Floyd is in line to be the X-factor with 120 yards and another pair of scores over various Panthers DBs. Larry Fitzgerald is Mr. Playoffs but he could see alot of Josh Norman which may limit his yardage. At RB even as a rookie, David Johnson has been my money man all season.

Posted in NFL

NFL Conference Championships Stacks

 

With only a two game slate, it is key to identify and pick the best stack of the weekend to have any chance of placing in a NFL Daily Fantasy Tournament. Its down to the favorites and when everyone has strong defenses, every stack has the potential for boom or bust. For that reason you need to pick based on ownership rather than projection.

 

Lets look at the stacks:

 

Palmer and Fitz:

 

Coming off a hot performance last week, I think this will be one of the highest owned stacks of the weekend. Don’t get me wrong, Larry Fitzgerald is one of the most clutch playoff performers, however and he has great synergy with Palmer right now. But he performed too well last week and I don’t think he will do that again. If he does then the Cardinals will move on to the Super Bowl but the Panthers are just too strong. However, many others people may agree that it is not a great matchup, which can bring the ownership down. My verdict: FADE.

 

Newton and Olsen:

 

The biggest indicator of a players ownership is their performance the previous week. People just love to make their picks on what is the most fresh in their mind, and whats fresh in their mind here is Newton’s disappointment last week— of course I mean fantasy wise… the Panthers had a great game against the Seahawks last week. While the potential MVP will never be lowly owned, I do think he will be lower than normal and the Newton Olsen connection has great upside potential. My verdict: PICK.

 

Brady and Gronk/Edelman:

 

You can go either way with this stack. Edelman will rack up the targets, receptions, and yardage a bit faster but Gronk is the superior red zone threat. They as well as Brady had a great game last weekend. However, they are facing a much stronger defense here. In terms of ownership, I expect them to be highly owned, and rightfully so with more playoff experience than any other team. I’m avoiding it however for a lower owned stack with a higher upside. My verdict: FADE.

 

Manning and Thomas/Sanders:

 

We have seen very little out of Peyton Manning this year. He has had good and bad game play performances but he has had all bad fantasy performances. Their team has adopted a different style of offense which has destroyed his ability to put up big numbers. Thomas and Sanders have had their moments with Oswieller running the offense, but not Manning. I think this will be the lowest owned stack of the week— which makes it the stack with the most potential profit. Usually you only want to stack with one receiver but in a week with such few options, I don’t mind tossing both of them in there to hedge you’re bets a little bit. You shouldn’t expect these players to put up big numbers but when you are picking based on ownership— in the slight chance they do, you may win big. My verdict: PICK.

Posted in NFL

Green Bay Packers versus Arizona Cardinals NFL Playoffs Fantasy Picks 1-16-2016

 

The NFL Divisional Round of the playoffs will feature in prime time the Arizona Cardinals hosting the Green Bay Packers. Fantasy football draft managers can tune to NBC TV on Saturday January 16th at 8:15PM Eastern Time to track the results of their one day real money leagues.

 

This is a rematch of the regular season meeting between these teams back on December 27th. It was all Arizona as they crushed the Packers 38-8 at home. The Cardinals got a great performance on both sides of the ball. Carson Palmer passed for 265 yards with two touchdowns and a pick. It was a three headed monster for the Cardinals running game as they rushed for 121 yards. The Arizona defense had a fantastic game by limiting the Packers to just 178 yards and registered nine quarterback sacks.

 

Arizona is on a bye week as the number two seed in the playoffs. They possess the number one rated offense in the NFL as they gain 408 yards per game. They average 30.6 points per game which is second best in the league. The Cardinals has been outstanding on the defensive end as they limit opponents to 321 yards per game.

 

Green Bay is only the 25th ranked passing team in the NFL. They have not been able to overcome the injury of wide receiver Jordy Nelson. The Packers defense has performed well as they sit sixth best in the league in pass defense by giving up 227 yards passing per game. They went 0-2 to close out the regular season scoring just eight points at Arizona and 13 points at home to Minnesota to close the regular season. The team improved off those two dull efforts with the 35-18 road victory in the NFC Wildcard game last week against the Washington Redskins. The Packers moved the football on the Redskins defense for 210 yards passing and two touchdowns thrown by Aaron Rodgers with 141 yards rushing. The difference in the game came in the red zone. Green Bay was 4 of 5 while Washington was 1-4. That is a huge swing as the Redskins were able to move the football through the air in the passing game with Kirk Cousins passing for 329 yards. Arizona is better in the red zone in scoring and defending than the Washington Redskins. The Cardinals would be the preferred playmaker choices from this playoff meeting.

 

Green Bay Packers QB:

 

Aaron Rodgers

 

The Packers wide receivers have been graded by NFL scouts as being the slowest off the line of scrimmage of any unit in the league. It will be hard to hear the snap count for Green Bay at a noisy Cardinals stadium in this playoff game. In the playoff win last week at Washington Rodgers completed 58.3% of his throws for 210 yards with two touchdowns. He has touchdown passes in ten straight games and he has thrown for multiple touchdowns in six of ten games. Pass protection will be vital in this game for Green Bay as Rodgers took nine sacks last times these two teams met.

 

Green Bay Packers RB:

 

Eddie Lacy

 

Lacy is splitting carries with James Starks. That does not offer fantasy value. Last week Lacy had 12 carries for 63 yards and a touchdown for 5.3 yards per carry. But the issue is Lacy is receiving an average of only 12 carries over his past four games.

 

Green Bay Packers WR:

 

James Jones

 

The veteran wide out for the Packers has caught 50 balls for 890 yards with eight touchdowns. Jones had seven grabs last week for Green Bay for 81 yards. In Week 17, Jones had 102 receiving yards with four catches.

 

Arizona Cardinals QB:

 

Carson Palmer

 

The veteran quarterback for Arizona is coming off an outstanding regular season. He has been injury free starting all 16 games. Palmer is completing 63.7% of his passing for 4671 yards with 35 touchdowns and 11 picks. The yardage and touchdown passes are all career highs.

 

Arizona Cardinals RB:

 

David Johnson

 

The Cardinals have been hit hard with injuries to their running back position. Johnson has 125 carries for 581 yards with eight touchdowns and 4.6 yards per carry average. He had a three touchdown performance at Philadelphia in Week 15.

 

Arizona Cardinals WR:

 

John Brown

 

Brown is a big play receiver for the Cardinals. He has caught 65 passes for 1003 yards and seven touchdowns with 15.4 yards per catch average.

 

NFL Playoffs Real Money Football Fantasy League Picks

 

QB: Carson Palmer (Cardinals)

RB: David Johnson (Cardinals)

WR: John Browns (Cardinals)

Posted in NFL

NFL Divisional Round Stacks to look out for

 

Its hard to pick your stacks in the divisional round as almost all of the 8 teams remaining has a top 8 defense.  The matchup in the divisional round are

 

Kansas City @ New England

 

Green Bay @ Arizona

 

Seattle @ Carolina

 

Pittsburgh @ Denver

 

The weak link as far as pass defenses goes is clearly Pittsburgh.  The only reason they have made it this far is by relying on their offense with most of their games being very high scoring shootouts.  Last time Denver played Pittsburgh this year Emmanuel Sanders caught 10 passes for 181 receiving yards and a receiving touchdown while Demaryius Thomas had 5 catches for 61 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns.  And this was with Brock Osweiller at quarterback and not Peyton Manning, who will be back and starting in their Divisional Playoff.  Peyton, Sanders, and Thomas is the most predicable value stack of the weekend, which like always risks high ownership.

 

However, Denver still lost this game as Antonio Brown had a gigantic fantasy day with 16 catches for 189 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns.  Pittsburgh has a lot of question marks with health going into this game with Deangelo Williams out, Big Ben questionable with a shoulder injury, and Antonio Brown with a concussion.  Despite the strength of the Denver defense, if Ben and Brown are healthy going into this game, they always have the potential for huge fantasy value.

 

In my opinion, anything could happen with the Seattle Carolina game.  This is a matchup of the two top ranked teams in the playoff and is one most would probably like to see wait until the Superbowl.  While arguably the top 2 defenses, their offenses are just as explosive.  A Wilson/Baldwin or Newton/Ginn(Questionable)/Olsen stack is a nice contrarian stack that may end up profitable in a NFL Daily fantasy tournament.

 

The Patriots and the Chiefs game should be a low scoring victory for the Patriots, although Tom Brady may put up some big numbers.  However, it is always a crapshoot who to stack Brady with since he spreads the ball out so much (the same could be said about Rodgers or Manning this week).  That leaves Carson Palmer, who may be able to have a big day considering Kirk Cousins was able to put up over 300 passing yards in their loss against the Packers in the wild card round.

 

The top stacks are Manning/Sanders, Newton/Olsen, Wilson/Baldwin, and Palmer/Fitzgerald.  The edge in my mind goes to Palmer and Fitz but anything can happen in the playoffs, and Palmer has less experience here than many of the other Quarterbacks (Brady, Rodgers, Manning, Wilson, Roethlisberger)

Posted in NFL

NFL Week 16 Review

Washington Shows up when it Counts

The Redskins won a “must-win” game against the Eagles on Saturday night locking up their playoff position. Kirk Cousins continues on his hot streak. He threw for 365 passing yards and 4 passing touchdowns totaling 32.2 fantasy points. He connected with the weekend leading tight end, Jordan Reed 9 times for 129 receiving yards and 2 receiving touchdowns for 36.9 fantasy points.

Big upsets around the League

This week saw losses from the top teams all over the league. These teams are already locks in the playoffs though so who knows if they were playing at the full level. The first loss was the Patriots overtime loss against the Jets. Brady played the whole game and produced very poor numbers: 231 passing yards, 1 passing touchdowns, and an interception for only 14.8 fantasy points. Fitzpatrick for the Jets provided some good fantasy value with 3 passing touchdowns (2 to Marshall and 1 to Decker), with 296 passing yards for 26.9 fantasy points.

The next big upset was the Falcons taking down the undefeated Panthers. Matt Ryan and Julio Jones got back in sync with Ryan totaling 306 passing yards and a touchdown (19.2 fantasy points) while Julio had 178 yards and a touchdown on 9 catches (35.8 fantasy points). Cam Newton threw for only 142 passing yards, no touchdowns.

Lastly, the Seahawks, who have been red hot over the past 4 weeks, fail to generate much offense against the Rams. Doug Baldwin, who totals 10 receiving touchdowns over the previous 4 weeks scored only 1 this weekend for 1 of 2 passing touchdowns by Wilson.

Johnny Football plays Running Back

Manziel put up the worst game of the weekend as far as passing stats but he helped save a little fantasy value by running the ball. While passing only 136 yards and 1 interception, he ran for 108 rushing yards on 11 attempts. This brought his total score to 17 fantasy points.

Megatron gets some attention

Calvin Johnson put up a decent game this week after catching only 1 pass in each of the previous 2 weeks. He caught 6 passes for 77 receiving yards and a receiving touchdown. This made 19.7 fantasy points. Far from the 3 touchdown game he put up on Thanksgiving, but an improvement.

Brees and Bortles Shootout

The Jaguars and Saints had a high scoring shootout game, which is no surprise with those aggressive quarterbacks and weak secondaries. Although injured, Brees threw for 412 passing yards and 3 passing touchdowns in the win, totaling 31.5 fantasy points. One was a long 71 yard touchdown pass to Cooks, giving him a 5 catch, 123 yard, 1 touchdown game (26.3 fantasy points)

Bortles was less effective throwing 2 interceptions, but with 368 passing yards and 4 passing touchdowns, he stayed close to Brees with 32 fantasy points.

Steelers finally stopped

Big Ben and Antonio Brown seemed unstoppable after putting up big numbers against the Broncos defense last weekend. They were finally stopped this weekend however by the likes of Baltimore. Roethlisberger only there for 215 yards and 2 interceptions, a measly 10.6 fantasy points. Brown had a touchdown get called back and ended the day with 7 receptions for 61 receiving yards and 13.1 fantasy points.

Cardinals and Vikings prove contenders

The Cardinals had a big 38 to 8 win over the Packers. Carson Palmer and the Cardinals prove to be serious contenders, especially with the other big teams showing poor results. There was no huge individual fantasy value in this game, only team contentions.

The Vikings won a blowout of their own winning 49 to 17 against the Giants. Minnesota was very effective running the ball with Peterson rushing 104 yards with a touchdown and McKinnon rushing 89 yards with 2 touchdowns.

Some Premium Receivers Deliver

Brandon Marshall caught 8 passes for 115 receiving yards and 2 receiving touchdowns. 31.5 fantasy points.

Deandre Hopkins caught 7 passes for 117 receiving yards and a receiving touchdown. 24.7 fantasy points.

Julio Jones caught 7 passes for 178 receiving yards and a touchdown. 35.8 fantasy points.

Allen Robinson caught 6 passes for 151 receiving yards and a touchdown. 30 fantasy points.

Posted in NFL

NFL Fantasy Draft News 12-25-2015

New England Patriots versus New York Jets NFL Real Money Fantasy Preview 12-27-2015

Two AFC East division rivals meet in Week 16 as the New York Jets will meet the New England Patriots. NFL fantasy football GMs can tune to CBS TV on Sunday December 27th at 1PM Eastern Time to track the scoring results of their one day real money roster picks.

After six straight games being held under 30 points the New England Patriots put up 33 points on a bad Tennessee Titans team. The Patriots have been hit hard with injuries to their wide receiver and running back position that has impacted fantasy value on their playmakers.

The Jets have had four straight good defensive performances. They held Tennessee to eight points two weeks ago and last week held the Cowboys to just 16 points. But those results came against poor offensive teams. In the first meeting with New England it was New York allowing 30 points to the Patriots in a loss. The Patriots simply abandoned the run in that contest with Tom Brady passing for 355 yards and two touchdowns. Everyone knew that Rob Gronkowski was going to be heavily targeted yet he led the Patriots with 11 catches for 108 yards and a touchdown.

Here are the Fantasy Football Picks

Don’t expect the Patriots to waste downs running the ball on the Jets defense. New York had trouble covering Rob Gronkowski. He has touchdown receptions in three straight and 8 of his 13 games played this season.

Play Rob Gronkowski

New England Patriots TE

Green Bay Packers versus Arizona Cardinals NFL Fantasy Preview 12-20-2015

A battle between playoff contenders as the Arizona Cardinals will meet the Green Bay Packers. DFS draft managers can tune to FOX at 4:25PM Eastern Time on Sunday December 27th to follow the results of their roster picks.

The Arizona Cardinals have the top offense in the NFL as they average 422 yards per game. They are second best in the league by putting up 32 points per game. They are coming off a 40 point performance last week in a win at Philadelphia.

Green Bay is in a back to back road trip out west in this spot. The 30 points put up on the Raiders last week were greatly aided by Oakland turnovers. Arizona has played clean this season. The location is key here in a climate controlled stadium in Arizona instead of the cold December weather of Green Bay.

Here are the Fantasy Football Picks

Carson Palmer has been healthy this year and is putting up some quality numbers this season. He has completed 64.3% of his throws for 4277 yards with 32 touchdowns and nine picks. He has thrown touchdown passes in 13 of his 14 games this season. Palmer has multiple touchdown passes in ten games with games with three touchdowns or greater in six. The past two home games for Carson Palmer came against good defensive teams. He passed for 310 yards and two touchdown passes against Minnesota and had 317 yards passing with four touchdowns in a Week 11 win against Cincinnati. He faced another good defensive team but this time on the road to Seattle where he threw for 363 yards and three touchdowns.

Play on Carson Palmer

Arizona Cardinals QB

Second year wide receiver Josh Brown is showing improvement with the Arizona Cardinals in 2015. He is way ahead of his numbers from a season ago mainly due to the fact that Carson Palmer has played every game. Brown is the deep threat who has caught 58 passes this year for 933 yards with six touchdowns. He is averaging 16.1 yards per catch this season. With the run game producing for Arizona and with an intermediate route runner in Larry Fitzgerald lingering in pass patterns it will open the field for big plays for Brown.

Play on Josh Brown

Arizona Cardinals WR

Posted in NFL

Week 16 Value Picks

Quarterback

Screen Shot 2015-12-26 at 9.35.20 AM

The shootout of the weekend should be between Jacksonville and New Orleans, assuming Drew Brees is healthy enough to take the field after tearing his plantar last week (the same injury Peyton Manning is struggling with). These two quarterbacks love to throw the ball and their defenses love to let the ball be thrown. I give Bortles the fantasy edge though since the Saints defense is more flawed fundamentally and Bortles just loves to throw the ball way down the field.

Kirk Cousins could be a great value pick this weekend as well. He has been on fire lately and we see the weapons he has in Jordan Reed and DeSean Jackson (even Alfred Morris as well). Thats not even considering the fact that the Eagles secondary is great at making any quarterback look like Tom Brady out there.

Running Back

Screen Shot 2015-12-26 at 9.39.15 AM

As you can see from the above, there are not many great options at running back this week with the highest projected running back as Doug Martin (CHI @ TB) with only 20.6 projected points. You can spend the money at Running back if you wish and go with the likes of Doug Martin (CHI @ TB) and Matt Forte (CHI @ TB) in what should be a run off, or you can save your money for the higher value at the Receiver position and go for the bargain picks of Darren Sproles (WAS @ PHI), Tim Hightower (JAX @ NO), Christine Michael (STL @ SEA), or Ameer Abdullah (SF @ DET).

Wide Receiver

Screen Shot 2015-12-26 at 9.41.06 AM

The stack of the week should be Allen Robinson and Blake Bortles against the Saints. There is no denying that the Big Ben and Antonio Brown connection has been unstoppable this year, no matter what the matchup. He is going to cost you a pretty penny but fading Antonio Brown may just kill your chances of winning big, as it has plenty of weekends this year already.

Or you can go with Doug Baldwin who has scored over 10 touchdowns in the past 4 weeks. Can he keep this streak going against the Rams? I’m saying yes, not that he will score another 3 touchdowns, but he should be able to haul in 1 or 2 providing some good fantasy value. Seattle doesn’t seem to be stopping this charge until the season ends.

If you are trying to find a cheap value receiver to fill that last spot in your lineup with limited funds, you can look to Jeremy Maclin (CLE @ KC), John Brown (GB @ ARI), Michael Floyd (GB @ ARI), Willie Snead (JAX @ NO), Bradon Cooks (JAX @ NO), or Golden Tate (SF @ DET).

Tight End

Screen Shot 2015-12-26 at 9.44.28 AM

The tight end decision has been made easier in the previous couple weeks with Gronk out. Up until then the decision was go for Gronk, accept the 50+% ownership and $7000+ price tag and hope its his week, or choose from the list of alternative tight ends. The Gronk versus the field decision is back. This week it is easy though.

Gronk has not shown his dominance of previous years this season and is only projected about 1 point higher than the Saints‘ Benjamin Watson. The value picks here are Ebron and Kelce. Kelce has been stagnated slightly since his explosive start to the season and his salary reflects that decline. However, he has high end potential against the Browns, which is what you are going to need to win any big NFL Daily Fantasy Tournament. Ebron as well has shown brilliance at times this year and is getting more action lately with Calvin Johnson all of the sudden becoming obsolete in their offense. Ebron comes much cheaper than the other highly projected options and allows you to spend the cash where you want this week, with the receivers.

Posted in NFL

NFL Fantasy Draft News 12-15-2015

Arizona Cardinals versus Philadelphia Eagles Real Money NFL Fantasy Preview 12-20-2015

Two playoff contenders are in action on Sunday night football as the Philadelphia Eagles will host the Arizona Cardinals. NFL fantasy draft GM’s can tune to NBC TV on December 20th at 8:30PM Eastern Time to follow the results of their one day league DFS roster picks.

 

The Philadelphia Eagles will carry a two game win streak after their win against Buffalo 23-20 at home. This came after a seven point victory at New England the previous week. The team’s defense has improved after allowing 45 to the Lions and Buccaneers in their prior two games before this win streak. The Eagles got a break from Bills self-destruction as they were penalized for 101 yards.

 

Arizona extends their win streak to seven straight after they beat Minnesota 23-20 on Thursday night football. The Cardinals have just one loss on the road and have put up 27 or greater points in five of their seven road games with three games where they amassed 39 or greater points. The Cardinals are second best in the NFL in scoring as they put up 31 points per game.

 

Here is the Fantasy Football Pick

 

Carson Palmer is healthy and is playing very good football for the Cardinals in 2015. Prior to his season long injury in 2014 Palmer was sharp and had good chemistry with his weapons in the passing game. Last week against Minnesota the veteran quarterback completed 71% of his throws for 310 yards with two touchdowns. Palmer has thrown for over 300 yards in two straight and five of his past six games. He has multiple touchdown passes in two straight and six of his past seven games. Palmer will have success connecting with his targets against an Eagles defense that has given up 28 at New England that had numerous injuries to their playmakers and 45 to Detroit and Tampa Bay.

 

Play Carson Palmer (Cardinals QB)

 

 

Denver Broncos versus Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Fantasy Preview 12-20-2015

 

A possible playoff preview is on tap on Sunday afternoon as the Pittsburgh Steelers will host the Denver Broncos. DFS fantasy draft managers can tune to CBS TV on December 20th at 4:25PM Eastern Time to track the scoring results from their daily league roster picks.

 

The Denver Broncos come off a stinging home loss to the Oakland Raiders 15-12 where their defense put on a pretty good performance and deserved a better result. It is a log jam between the Patriots, Bengals and Broncos for best record in the AFC conference and the all-important home field advantage up into the Championship Game. The offense has gone stagnant in Denver. The team has been held to 17 points or fewer in four of their past five games. It does not look like Peyton Manning is going to return soon to the lineup.

 

The Pittsburgh Steelers bring momentum into their final home game of the regular season on Sunday. The team has won two straight and four of their past five games. Their offense is clicking as they scored at least 30 points for the fifth straight week. After holding the Cots to 10 points the Steelers limited the Bengals to 20 points. Following this home game against Denver the team finishes with road games against losing teams in the Ravens and Browns. Pittsburgh has the second ranked offense in the NFL and their defense yet getting lit up for passing yards is only allowing 20 points per game ranking 11th in the league.

 

Here is the NFL Fantasy Pick for your Real Money League

 

Pittsburgh has been a bend don’t break defense and they face a Broncos team that is having trouble moving the football and putting points on the board.

 

Play on Pittsburgh Steelers Defense

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Week 15 Stacks to Watch Out For

Carolina Panthers versus the Giants

No need to tell you how unstoppable the Panthers have been this year. Newton is the frontrunner in the MVP race and their winning record speaks for itself. However, they may be missing their star tight end Greg Olsen, who left the game early with a knee injury. Weather he plays or not, he may be a risky pick. If Olsen is limited that will mean more targets for Ginn and Funchess, especially Ginn who has shown he has the speed to separate from defenders and get open for a long ball.

The primary reason this stack looks so promising however is more about their matchup. The Giants have by far been the weakest at against defending the pass this year allowing an average of 314.5 passing yards per game this year, far more than the second place on this list (Steelers at 279 passing yards per game).

Packers Stack

If you are looking for a stack that may be less owned (more upside in a tournament) the Packers may be your choice. While Aaron Rodgers has been struggling lately and the Packers were all run game last weekend, we all know what Aaron Rodgers is capable of with that offense. The Raiders, while weak against both, are better at defending the run than the pass, allowing an average of 271 passing yards per game this year (putting them 5th on that list) but are 12 on lowest rushing yards allowed with just over 100 per game.

James Jones and Randall Cobb are the best picks as far as receivers go. Cobb is a definite favorite target of Rodgers’ and he always seems to be able to find Jones for a long ball. While Richard Rodgers is a red zone threat, I doubt he will be able to match his 2 touchdown performance from 2 weeks ago and he doesn’t get many targets otherwise.

Cardinals Stack

Another matchup that has serious potential is the Arizona Cardinals against the Eagles. The Eagles have been struggling to stop the pass this year and Carson Palmer and his receivers have been red hot. While Larry Fitzgerald has been quite as of late, he is the veteran of this team and always shows up in the clutch. However, the Eagles real weakness lies in their secondary, typically leaving the long ball open. This is where John Brown and Michael Floyd generate their value. Each had a long touchdown last week against the Vikings for over 40 yards and with their speed, they will have no problem getting open down the field against Philly’s pass defense.

Posted in NFL