NFL Week 14 Value Picks
Jameis Winston (NO @ TB) Based on season averages, New Orleans still maintains the second most passing yards allowed (average 287 passing yards per game) in the NFL, only beat by the Giants (average 314 passing yards per game). While they gave the Panthers a good game last week in what was probably their most impressive showing this season, they still allowed 331 passing yards and 5 passing touchdowns. Winston has been consistently getting decent number of passing yards and if he can connect with Evans, Jackson, or Seferian-Jenkins for a couple passing touchdowns, he could be a big value pick for the week.
Ryan Fitzpatrick (Ten @ NYJ) Fitzpatrick is coming off of two big fantasy performances in a row with 277 passing yards and 4 passing touchdowns two weeks ago and 390 passing yards with 2 passing touchdowns last week. While Tennessee ranks somewhat low in passing yards allowed with an average of 230 per game, Fitzpatrick is hot and he has his two weapons in Marshall and Decker.
David Johnson (Min @ Ari) Johnson is now the primary running back in a team that used to split the play time between three. He showed he could handle the role last week with 99 rushing yards, 22 receiving yards, and a receiving touchdown. Minnesota has allowed an average of 116 rushing yards per game and the majority of those should go to Johnson, with Kerynn Williams taking his share as well.
Bilal Powell (Ten @ NYJ) Although classified as a running back, Powell produced his value last week with receptions and reception yards. He ran for only 17 yards but has 8 receptions for 91 yards and a receiving touchdown. He is a good value stack with Fitzpatrick this week.
Marvin Jones (Pit @ Cin) Pittsburgh is also very high on the list of passing yards allowed with an average of 275 passing yards allowed per game. Marvin Jones has proved to be one of Dalton’s favorite targets and Dalton has been on his game lately. Jones still comes at a very cheap price and he has a high upside this week against the Steelers.
Vincent Jackson (NO @ TB) While Evans may be the receiver getting the most attention from this team, Jackson has been quietly generating good fantasy value. The Saints weak secondary does not have much depth, so Jackson may be able to sneak away with a couple long balls undetected.
Austin Seferian-Jenkins (NO @ TB) Seferian-Jenkins has a high potential for fantasy value and his salary is very low. He is a good stack to use with Winston for this week against the weak Saints defense. Seferian-Jenkins was limited last week but should see an increase in play time and targets this week.
Antonio Gates (SD @ KC) Rivers has been struggling as of late after a hot start to the season. He has been somewhat limited with injuries to his top receivers, but that has served to give Gates much more targets, especially in the red zone. If Rivers can get his game going again, Gates has good upside potential this week.