NFL Value Picks Week 4
Tyrod Taylor has been very consistent over the past 3 weeks. He has averaged 238 passing yards and has had very high efficiency in his passing game completing 82.7 percent of his pass attempts. He had an off day week 2 when he threw three interceptions and fumbled the ball twice against the Patriots, but his fantasy value that week was still high as he managed 242 passing yards, 3 passing touchdowns, 43 rushing yards, and a rushing touchdown. He comes among the cheapest of all starting quarterbacks and is facing a Giants Defense that has allowed over 300 passing yards to all their opponents this year.
Although Aaron Rodgers tops the salary chart for week 4, it looks like he will still be able to exceed his fantasy value this week against a weak San Francisco defense. He has thrown for 10 touchdowns over the first three weeks and thrown no interceptions. Whether or not Devante Adams takes the field, he has the weapons he needs to dominate the 49ers.
The star of last week at the running back position was Devante Freeman. He ran for 141 yards last week for 3 touchdowns as well as caught 5 receptions for 51 yards in his breakout performance against the Cowboys. Atlanta is somewhat limited in its offensive weapons so if they get ahead or Julio isn’t open, then Freeman is the go to guy. His salary is somewhat adjusted since last week but he is still a bargain in terms of fantasy value this week.
One of the most important things to look at to predict a breakout performance is attempts. A running back who gets plenty of attempts but has not been prosperous in fantasy value as of yet is just waiting on the right opponent. Melvin Gordon has gotten between 14 and 16 attempts over the first three weeks yet has failed to exceed 90 rushing yards. With this number of attempts and a weak Cleveland Defense, this could be the week for Gordon.
T.Y. Hilton has been very unimpressive this season compared to his performance last year, but the blame for his fantasy struggles should not necessarily be placed on him. Andrew Luck, arguably the most consistent fantasy performer last season, has struggled in the early parts of this season. Week 4 may be both of these players time to shine against Jacksonville.
Mike Evans missed the first two games of the season but had a nice performance last week against the Texans. He caught 7 passes for over 100 receiving yards. If he can match that performance next week while adding in a touchdown or two against Carolina, he could be a huge fantasy value and a necessary addition to a winning lineup.
Jordan Reed was limited from hitting big last week due to the failure of his quarterback Kirk Cousins. He potentially could have had over 100 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns but was limited to 6 receptions for 96 yards due to Cousins misfires. This makes him a prime sleeper candidate for a big performance this week that is not on most peoples radar.