NBA Value Matchups


NBA Value Matchups

 

Everyone knows the value of a high scoring game in daily fantasy NBA contests.  Likewise everyone knows who the high scoring teams are since the ownership percentages of players like Stephan Curry, James Harden, and Russel Westbrook are often 50 percent or higher.  But what is lesser known is the teams with weak defensive fronts who allow higher point totals from opposing teams.  Using this to your advantage may allow you to choose a players with big fantasy value without the massive ownership percentages that limit the benefit you can hope to get from that player.

Below are two tables of the 5 highest and lowest scoring teams as well as the 5 highest and lowest teams in terms of points allowed. Those 5 highest teams on the Points per game chart are likely to have high scoring games but high ownership percentages.  That however does not mean you should go for a team among the lowest scoring either because although they will have low ownership percentages, they will likely not provide much fantasy value.

The other chart displays points allowed per game.  Here is where you can add in value to your draft picks that many of your opponents may not realize.  A team playing against any of the top 5 teams should score higher point totals than normal and a team playing against the bottom 5 teams will score lower point totals than normal.

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However, unless you are dealing with a purely point based player, there are other factors that contribute to fantasy value.  While assists are closely linked with points and blocks/steals are somewhat volatile and unpredictable, rebounds can be considered when choosing a player, especially a center or forward.  The below table shows which teams allow the most rebounds from opposing teams and is another opportunity to take advantage of matchups for increased fantasy value in your draft picks.

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