NBA High Upside Value Picks
When choosing players for NBA Daily Fantasy Tournaments, most users tend to value the wrong thing. They value consistency in their picks when consistency is actually the opposite of what you want. In order to win serious cash in a Daily Fantasy Cash Draft you usually need extraordinary performances from all the players in your lineup, not a normal constant performance.
Furthermore, constancy is usually picked up in salary. A consistent player like Stephen Curry is going to be at the top of the charts as far as salary goes because he regularly puts up huge numbers, but a player like Dwight Howard, who has potential for huge games or very poor games (as he often gets into foul trouble and plays minimal minutes).
So the goal is to find players that have the potential to put up big numbers but also have the potential for poor numbers. Therefore, if they do have their big number day, then you’re lineup will benefit huge, especially since these inconstant players typically have low ownership as well.
Below you see a chart of 40+ fantasy point games in the past 30 days. Kemba Walker for example is going to cost you far less than Stephen Curry but if you picked him on January 18th, you already had a huge leg up on all your competition and were in the running for a big payday. If you had Dwight Howard on that day as well you would have been a very happy daily fantasy manager as you got over 100 points in fantasy value out of only 2 roster spots.
Players to Exceed 40 Fantasy Point Games in the Past 30 days
It may be easier to identify value in the below chart. Look at Tyson Chandler for example. He costs only 5000 but has had two 40+ fantasy point games in the past 30 days. If you caught him on one of those big days then his fantasy value would have been off the charts!
James Harden however has the most counts of 40+ point games in the past 30 with an incredible 8, but his salary remains lower than the likes of Curry and Westbrook. This tells you when he has a bad game, it may be worse than those other players, but his upside is better.
Players to Exceed 40 Fantasy Point Games in the Past 30 days with Count and Salary