NBA Weekend Fantasy Basketball Recap 2/29


This NBA Weekend Fantasy Basketball recap is brought you by Fanpicks. Come enjoy some daily fantasy basketball action and WIN big at www.fanpicks.com

 

Friday

 This past weekend was filled with fast paced games with huge final scores. It started Friday with the Mavs beating the Nuggets in overtime 122-116 and the Clippers over the Kings with 117-107 in regular gameplay. When you see huge point totals like this, it is usually accompanied by big fantasy numbers from the game leaders, and these games did not disappoint.

 

The first game saw Dirk Nowitzki put up 20 points with 13 rebounds, 4 assists, and a block for a total of 32 fantasy points. But the real stars of the night were DeMarcus Cousins and Chris Paul. Cousins put up 26 point with 15 rebounds and 9 assists, just short of the triple double. He ended the day with 42 fantasy points. On the other side of the ball Chris Paul put up a huge 40 points, coupled with 8 rebounds and 13 assists, pulling more than his share with the absence of Blake Griffin. Chris Paul led the entire weekend with that performance totaling 52.5 fantasy points.

 

Saturday

Saturday saw even more huge games with the premiere matchup of the weekend Golden State at Oklahoma City. That game did not disappoint with a game-winning shot to end overtime by Steph Curry. The final score was 121-118 and 5 different players in that game exceeded 30 fantasy points. A lineup stacked in that game was bound to generate huge value in your daily fantasy NBA contest.

 

Durant and Curry led the game scoring 46 and 45.5 fantasy points respectively, Durant hitting 7 three pointers and Curry hitting 12. While only scoring 2 points the entire game, Draymond Green had 14 rebounds, 14 assists, 6 steals, and 4 blocks earning himself some serious fantasy value at 37.5 fantasy points. Ibaka tallied 20 rebounds and 15 game points while Westbrook had 7 rebounds, 13 assists, and 26 points for great fantasy value.

 

Beyond this game, a couple of key picks on the night were Karl Anthony-Towns and Pau Gasol. Gasol actually led the night with 50 fantasy points coming from a triple double of 22 points, 16 rebounds, and 14 assists. Towns had 30 points, 15 rebounds, and 4 assists totaling 43 fantasy points.

 

Sunday

While Sunday had the same huge point totals with the Magic winning against the 76ers 128-101, the Mavs over the Wolves 128-101, the Pistons over the Raptors 114-101, and the Blazers over the Pacers 111-102. Surprisingly however, there huge point totals did not lead to huge fantasy value all around. No player exceeded the 40 fantasy point threshold on Sunday.

 

John Wall led the league yesterday with 35.5 fantasy point coming from 21 points, 7 rebounds, and 13 assists. Parsons from the Mavs had 32.5 fantasy point from 29 points, 6 rebounds, and 4 assists. Finally Lillard and Horford each had 32 fantasy points, Lilllard’s coming from 33 points scored while Horford coupled 13 game points with 16 rebounds.

Posted in NBA

NBA Monday Night Fantasy Picks 2/29

FanPicks has your your NBA Monday night fantasy picks for the basketball games tonight. Come enjoy some DFS action and contests at www.fanpicks.com

 

 

Guard

 

Premium

If you want to spend your money at point guard, the best option is Russell Westbrook. On a night with lots of good options at guard (Paul, Harden, Wall, Irving, Thomas), you may be able to get away with Westbrook without the normal 40 percent ownership that goes along with him. He always has potential for 50+ fantasy points and he may be avoided by others because of his massive salary and the fact that he has been outshone by Durant lately. But Westbrook is the guy to put up huge numbers tonight against the Kings.

 

Value

If you want to save your money for a big pick at forward or center you have options. Ish Smith from the 76ers has quietly been putting up good fantasy value lately and he comes with a cheap price tag of only $4700. Monta Ellis also has potential for some good numbers, although with that Indiana offense, it is hard to determine which player will get the big numbers on any given night.

 

Forward

 

Premium

But then again, Durant could continue to outshine Westbrook. The way that offense goes, both players usually take the majority of the fantasy value but it tends to lean in one direction or the other. For a secondary lineup, it is a safe to hedge your bets with Durant over Westbrook because you can always expect some big number from one of the two.

 

However, if you want to win your Daily Fantasy Tournament, you need to pick a player that most others are avoiding. Tonight I believe that player is Lebron James. He is projected similar to Durant, but due to a couple of down games lately, his status as the best player in the NBA is very much in question. Obviously James always has potential for huge numbers, and if he is low ownership as well, that is the best case scenario for winning some serious cash in your fantasy contest.

 

Value

If you are looking for some value at this position some good options are Will Barton for the Nuggets at $5400, Zach Randolph for the Grizzlies at $5400, and Gordon Hayward or Derrick Favors, both from the Jazz for $5800 and $6100 respectively. Barton and Randolph will be matched up in what should be a close game between the Nuggets and the Grizzlies. Vegas has the total at 207 with the spread at 3 favoring the Grizzlies.

 

Center

 

Premium

The top picks of the night are between Dwight Howard and Deandre Jordan. Jordan is a safer pick as Howard tends to get into foul trouble and see limited minutes, but if you want to win your daily fantasy tournament, safe is not the way to go. I would rather put my money on Howard putting up 40+ fantasy points that stick with the consistent 30 fantasy points from Jordan.

 

Value

For value at center Ruby Gobert from the Jazz should be able to put up good value at a salary of only $5400. One of the biggest determinant factors of ownership is team. A player on Golden State or Oklahoma City will always have ownership of 20 to 30 percent or higher. But if you pick players from low market teams such as the Jazz, the Bucks, or the Timberwolves, you can expect less ownership and more value for your money.

Posted in NBA

NBA Daily Fantasy Picks 2/22

 

The below chart is misleading to the NBA Daily Fantasy novice. On first look you probably look at Lebron James and Stephen Curry, decide that Lebron is projected higher than Stephen Curry but is cheaper so you should pick Lebron James. That is true that Lebron is a better option for today than Steph, but is he the best option? When it comes to daily fantasy picks, your picks are all about value (points per dollar) rather than sheer points. Winning a daily fantasy contest comes down to scoring the most total lineup points, and that is done with turning your $50,000 salary cap into all around value, not just a couple big scorers.

 

This may be a bad example because Lebron does have a good value coefficient of 5.5, meaning he is projected to score 5.5 fantasy points for each $1000 or his total $8700 of salary. That is not bad but as you can see, there are players on this list with higher value coefficients.

 

The one that sticks out especially is Jamal Crawford. He has taken on a larger role for the Clippers in Griffin’s absence and has been very consistent over the past 5 games at that 30 fantasy point mark. However, with a salary of only $5000, if he continues to put up 30 fantasy points per game, he will provide more value than any other player is projected. He should get plenty of play time in what should be a high scoring blowout in the Clippers favor against the Suns.

 

Another player who has been providing huge value is Khris Middleton. He has a more moderate salary level at $6500, but looks like he will be putting up numbers with the heavy hitters today. Milwaukee is favored by 8 points against the Lakers is what should be slightly higher scoring game.

 

If you need another cheap option to fill some gaps in your lineup Jabari Parker should be a good overlooked value pick. His numbers have been fantastic lately for his cheap salary level. Pairing him with Middleton may pay off if Middleton sets up Parker for some baskets as you will double dip with Parker’s points and Middleton’s assists.

 

 

Position PlayerName Points Dollars Value
SF LeBron James 48.1 8700 5.5
PG Stephen Curry 46.9 9400 5.0
C DeAndre Jordan 40.1 7300 5.5
SF Carmelo Anthony 39.6 7500 5.3
PF Paul Millsap 39.5 7100 5.6
PF Draymond Green 39.1 7500 5.2
SG Khris Middleton 38.5 6500 5.9
PG Kyle Lowry 38.3 7600 5.0
C Andre Drummond 38.3 7800 4.9
PG Isaiah Thomas 38.1 6900 5.5
SG DeMar DeRozan 35.9 6900 5.2
SF Giannis Antetokounmpo 34.9 6500 5.4
SG Klay Thompson 34.5 6500 5.3
C Greg Monroe 34.2 6800 5.0
PF Kevin Love 31.7 6800 4.7
PF Julius Randle 31.5 6100 5.2
SG Jamal Crawford 31.4 5000 6.3
C Al Horford 31.1 6500 4.8
PG Ricky Rubio 30.3 6100 5.0
PG Reggie Jackson 30.3 6500 4.7
PF Jabari Parker 30.1 5100 5.9

 

Posted in NBA

 

NBA Fantasy Weekend Leaders

 

This was an exciting weekend in the Fantasy NBA world. A couple of NBA players hit fantasy numbers that we have not seen the likes of this season. When a heavy hitter like that generates such huge numbers, it is essential to have that pick or you are immediately out of contention in your NBA Daily Fantasy Tournament. Sometimes its just luck, but keep in mind, even though a player has not been hitting huge numbers recently, if he is the key man on a team, he always has potential to generate some big fantasy value.

 

Damian Lillard started things off on Friday with a huge game that led to a big win over the Warriors. He was hot from the outside shooting 9 for 12 from the three point line, racking up a total of 51 game points. He added on to that 7 assists and 6 steals for a total of 52 fantasy points, a rare occurrence of a player breaking that 50 point barrier.

 

However, he was not the only one to put up big numbers on Friday. Demarcus Cousins put up 49 fantasy points of his own as the Kings won against the Nuggets. While Lillard generated his value with threes, Cousins did so in the paint putting up 37 points with 20 rebounds for a huge double double.

 

Russell Westbrook provided similar value, but in a different way than each of the other two. He only scored 23 game points but he matched that with 18 assists on his way to a total of 42 fantasy points. If you just happened to put these three players in the same lineup, chances are you were in the money no matter who you picked at the rest of your positions.

 

For the rest of thew weekend only one player was able to exceed that 40 point barrier on each day. On Saturday that player was Hassan Whiteside for a big win for the Heat over the Wizards. Whiteside had a similar game to Cousins the day before. He had a big double double with points and rebounds putting up 25 game points and 23 rebounds. All in all he had 42.5 fantasy points.

 

But the real show happened on Sunday as Anthony Davis racked up the largest fantasy point total of any player so far this season and became the first player to break the 60 fantasy point barrier. He was 24 for 34 from inside the arch putting up a total of 59 game points out of his teams total 111 points for the day. Additionally, he had 4 assists and 20 rebounds for his groundbreaking total of 66.5 fantasy points. The next closest from this season was Draymond Green when he put up 56.5 fantasy points with a triple double on January 2nd.

 

+——————-+———-+———+————+———-+—————+

| PlayerName       |   Points   | Assists | Rebounds | Steals | FantasyPoints |

+——————-+———-+———+————-+———-+—————+

| Anthony Davis     |      59 |           4 |           20 |            0 |             66.5 |

| Damian Lillard     |      51 |           7 |             0 |            6 |               52 |

| DeMarcus Cousins |   37 |           2 |            20 |           1 |                49 |

| Hassan Whiteside |     25 |          0 |            23 |          0 |              42.5 |

| Russell Westbrook |    23 |        18 |             3 |            2 |               42 |

+——————-+——–+———+———-+————-+—————+

Posted in NBA

College Basketball Season Leaders

 

In College Basketball, on any day any player can hit their stride for a huge fantasy value, far beyond the numbers we see in other sports. However, this unpredictability can swing the other direction as well. As you can see from the below graph, only three players (Ben Simmons, Quinton Chievous, and Domantas Sabonis) make multiple appearances on this 65+ fantasy point list. So if you spend the $9,600 on Ben Simmons and he has an off day, you are pretty much already guaranteed a loss in your Fanpicks College Basketball Fantasy tournament.

 

On the team level there are no guarantees there either. Lets say you spend your cash on Kyle Hollingsworth from BYU. It is just as likely that Hollingsworth takes the lions share of the fantasy points as one of his teammates, Nick Emery or Chase Fischer. Same goes for Gonzaga, it could just as easily be Domantas Sabonis as Kyle Wiltjer who provides the fantasy value. It is best to find a team that is very dependent on one player to put up big numbers, such as Ben Simmons for Louisiana State, as he is the only player to exceed 60 fantasy points this year on his College Basketball team.

 

 

Date PlayerName TeamName Points Assists Blocks Steals Rebounds FantasyPoints
12/2 Ben Simmons Louisiana State 43 7 3 5 14 86.5
1/4 Brice Johnson North Carolina 39 1 3 3 23 84
2/3 Corey Sanders Rutgers 39 12 0 3 8 73.5
11/22 Jarelle Reischel Eastern Kentucky 37 6 2 3 13 73
12/2 Pascal Siakam New Mexico St 24 2 5 1 23 70.5
11/21 MarcEddy Norelia Florida Gulf Coast 34 4 0 2 18 70
12/5 Jameel Warney Stony Brook 26 5 8 1 15 69.5
12/30 Cleveland Thomas Hartford 35 5 0 1 17 69.5
11/14 Quinton Chievous Hampton 29 3 0 1 23 69.5
2/6 Marvelle Harris Fresno St 37 7 2 3 9 68.5
1/4 Buddy Hield Oklahoma 46 7 0 0 8 68.5
1/16 Jack Gibbs Davidson 43 8 0 1 8 68.5
1/9 Domantas Sabonis Gonzaga 28 4 3 3 17 68.5
11/18 Bruce Beckford NoCarolina AT 38 3 0 1 16 68
1/2 Domantas Sabonis Gonzaga 35 4 3 1 14 68
2/10 Ben Bentil Providence 42 2 1 1 12 66
1/2 Ben Simmons Louisiana State 36 4 1 1 14 66
12/19 Malcolm Hill Illinois 34 5 3 2 11 65.5
1/6 Quinton Chievous Hampton 28 3 1 3 18 65.5
11/17 Denzel Valentine Michigan St 29 12 0 0 12 65
1/28 Matt Scott Niagara 32 5 0 4 13 65

 

 

 

Posted in CBB

NBA/CBB All-Star Game Cross Sport Recap

 

If you were looking for Fantasy Basketball to play yesterday for the NBA All-Star game, Fanpicks was the only place to satisfy your needs with our exclusive Cross Sport Daily Fantasy Basketball tournaments. We offered several different NBA/NHL and NBA/CBB cross sport cash drafts, here’s what it took to win big money yesterday.

 

The game ended in a massive 196-173 point total, in favor of the West. However, fantasy point totals were not as high as you would expect with this high scoring of a game with points being spread out throughout the teams.

 

There was very little defense played all around with only 2 blocks in the entire game, however, out lead scorer Russell Westbrook only took this position at the top of the charts due to his defensive game play adding 5 steals on top of his 31 points, 5 assists, and 8 rebounds. Paul George did what he could to get you fantasy points from the losing side of the game scoring a huge 41 points. Chris Paul brought his value as the point man, racking up 16 assists and Drummond led the centers with 16 points and 13 rebounds for the only other double-double in the game besides Chris Paul.

 

PlayerName Position Points Assists Blocks Steals Rebounds Turnovers FantasyPoints
Russell Westbrook PG 31 5 0 5 8 3 41.5
Paul George SF 41 1 0 1 5 3 38.5
Stephen Curry PG 26 6 0 4 5 2 35
Chris Paul PG 14 16 0 1 4 4 32.5
Kevin Durant SF 23 7 0 2 5 0 31.5
Kyle Lowry PG 14 10 1 2 5 6 28.5
Andre Drummond C 16 0 0 2 13 1 26.5
James Harden SG 23 3 0 0 4 1 25.5
Anthony Davis PF 24 0 0 1 6 0 25
Kawhi Leonard SF 17 3 0 2 6 2 23
John Wall PG 22 3 0 1 3 2 23
Kobe Bryant SG 10 7 0 1 6 1 21
LeBron James SF 13 7 0 0 4 4 19
DeMar DeRozan SG 18 2 0 1 1 1 17
Dwyane Wade SG 8 6 0 2 4 3 16.5
Carmelo Anthony SF 13 0 1 0 6 2 16
Pau Gasol C 9 1 0 1 7 1 14.5
DeMarcus Cousins C 11 1 0 0 4 0 13.5
Klay Thompson SG 9 2 0 1 2 0 12.5
Isaiah Thomas PG 9 1 0 1 3 1 11.5
Al Horford C 7 2 0 0 3 0 10.5
Draymond Green PF 4 0 0 2 5 1 9.5
LaMarcus Aldridge PF 4 1 0 1 4 0 9
Paul Millsap PF 3 1 0 0 3 0 6.5

 

 

However, the whole idea behind cross sport is you can’t win with one sport alone, its both that contribute to your point total. In your NBA/CBB cross sport contest, NBA matters more with the 6 roster spots, but a little value at the 3 CBB roster spots could go a long way. Below are the top scorers from college yesterday. With the right picks there was a lot of value to be found, but with the unpredictability of college sports, its hard to determine who will be the top scorers will be in the league, let alone on each individual team.

 

 

PlayerName Position TeamName Points Assists Blocks Steals Rebounds FantasyPoints
Denzel Valentine G Michigan St 30 13 1 3 5 63
Egidijus Mockevicius C Evansville 24 0 7 0 16 58.5
Jabarie Hinds G Massachusetts 37 6 0 2 2 52
Micah Mason G Duquesne 29 10 1 3 3 54.5
Jarrod Uthoff F Iowa 24 0 6 0 15 55.5
Jakob Poeltl F Utah 25 0 2 3 10 47.5
Antwan Space F Massachusetts 17 2 0 3 17 50
Cleveland Thomas G Hartford 35 2 0 0 6 47
Jaylen Bond F Temple 18 2 1 2 14 46.5
Matt Costello F Michigan St 22 1 3 0 11 44.5

 

Posted in CBB, NBA

NBA Daily Fantasy Picks for February 9th

Premium Picks that are worth the Cost

Player

Position

Team

Projection

Salary

DeMarcus Cousins

C

Sacramento

35.7

8900

DeAndre Jordan

C

LA Clippers

30.1

7200

Chris Paul

PG

LA Clippers

28.1

7900

Carmelo Anthony

SF

New York

27.6

7400

Rajon Rondo

PG

Sacramento

26.3

7500

Nikola Vucevic

C

Orlando

25.2

7100

Paul Millsap

PF

Atlanta

20.9

7400

These are the projections for those premium players, salaries over $7000 but consistent performances that can be relied on. Demarcus Cousins leads the list by over 5 fantasy points as he has continued his huge season with a 30+ fantasy point performance last night. However, you can go a little cheaper at the premium spot with Rajon Rondo, who led the league with 33 fantasy points last night, or Paul and Jordan who have been putting up big numbers to fill that gap of no Blake Griffin in the lineup.

Value Picks

Player

Position

Team

Projection

Salary

Nikola Jokic

C

Denver

24.4

5200

Victor Oladipo

SG

Orlando

24.1

6000

Dwyane Wade

SG

Miami

23.6

6700

Isaiah Thomas

PG

Boston

23.2

6900

Robin Lopez

C

New York

22.4

4900

Rudy Gay

SF

Sacramento

21.9

6700

Evan Turner

SG

Boston

21.8

5200

Jeff Teague

PG

Atlanta

21.3

5700

However, it is the value picks, not the premium picks that win Daily Fantasy Tournaments. Premium picks are reliable but also come with high ownership percentages and when if come to Daily Fantasy NBA Cash Drafts, low ownership picks are key. When you need to save a little cash look for these picks to fill those positions. When you can get a starting center like Jokic or Lopez for such a cheap price he is bound to put up decent numbers just from the minutes on the court alone. Turner and Thomas as well have been very hot lately and their salaries have not yet completely adjusted for their big performances.

Factoring in the Matchups

Home Team

Away Team

Over Under

Spread

Houston

Portland

217.5

-3

Charlotte

Washington

208.5

-4.5

Indiana

Detroit

204

-1.5

Cleveland

New Orleans

209.5

-5.5

Philadelphia

Brooklyn

204.5

-1.5

Memphis

Dallas

193.5

-5.5

Minnesota

Chicago

204

-3.5

San Antonio

L.A. Lakers

200

-8.5

Phoenix

Utah

189

3

Golden State

Oklahoma City

224.5

-4.5

One of the most important factors however is the pace of the matchup, which can be generally defined by two numbers. Over Under and Spread. Over Under is the total number of projected points that will be scored by the 2 teams in the matchup and the spread is the projected win margin, negative meaning the home team is favored. The best matchup is one with a high Over Under and a low spread, meaning it is competitive and fast paced, the best situation for a lot of fantasy points to be found.

Looking at these matchups, the key two are clearly Portland @ Houston and Oklahoma City @ Golden State. Both those matchups look to be higher scoring than the rest, so favor those players just a little bit extra when making your picks.

Posted in NBA

Cross Sport Super Bowl Recap

The tragedy of Daily Fantasy sports is that when the sport season is at its climax, whether it be the Super Bowl, the World Series, or the NBA Championships, Daily Fantasy contests are nowhere to be found. The limitations on DFS require two or more games, where players must be selected from a minimum of 3 different teams. So when the nations focus is all on a single game, Daily Fantasy contests can not be offered.

However, Fanpicks has rectified this issue with their new Cross Sport Daily Fantasy Contests. This involves a contest type where the game slate spans multiple sports so even if there is only 1 NFL game (like on Super Bowl Sunday), a contest can be offered still by adding a couple NBA or NHL games to the slate. In an NFL/NBA cross sport contest you pick a roster of 6 NFL players and 3 NBA players from the game slate while still remaining under the standard $50,000 Fanpicks salary cap.

These groundbreaking contests saw a lot of action this weekend and we are here to tell you what picks made you the first Daily Fantasy Cross Sport Champion.

NFL

There was not a lot of Fantasy Points to go around in this defensive battle at the Super Bowl. The winning Broncos had only 231 yards of total offensive yards. When it comes to such a limited scoring game with only a few viable options at each position, you had to make all the right picks to win your NFL/NBA Cross Sport Tournament.

At Quarterback, you would have been fine with either quarterback you chose (as long as you didn’t take the long shot on Oswieller coming into the game). Newton threw for 265 yards, ran for 45, and threw 1 interception for 10.1 fantasy point. Peyton threw for only 141 yards and threw an interception amounting only 2.64 points. However, since both quarterback performances were so abysmal, you may have benefited by saving the $3000 in salary cap and going for Peyton over Cam, regaining that value as another position.

For running backs, there were 4 viable picks in my mind going in—Anderson, Hillman, Tolbert, and Stewart. Of these picks, Tolbert ended up in the red with -0.2 fantasy points with his pair of fumbles and Hillman had 0 fantasy points. Anderson and Stewart however each scored a touchdown giving them 20 and 9.8 fantasy points respectively. Anderson actually gained such serious value with 4 receptions on top of his 90 rushing yards.

At receiver, there were three receivers who broke the 10 fantasy point barrier, that would have been perfect fills for your 2 receiver slots and utility position in the NFL/NBA Cross Sport roster format. Those three were Corey Brown, Ted Ginn, and Emmanuel Sanders. Each of these three did it with receptions and yards alone as there were no receiving touchdowns in the entire Super Bowl, and the three receivers scored 12.0, 11.4, and 14.3 fantasy points respectively.

The tight end game was very similar to your options at quarterback. You could spend over $7000 for Greg Olsen’s 8.1 fantasy points or you could have spend $3000 in salary for Owen Daniels to score you 2.8 fantasy points and spend the salary elsewhere. I thing you were better off with Daniels but this pick was not a deal-breaker.

NBA

But remember, since it is Cross Sport, your NBA picks determined your fantasy value as well. There was a lot of value to go around in the NBA and it may have been to your benefit to save some salary cap in the NFL and put that towards your premium NBA picks.

Rajon Rondo was the pick of the night leading all NBA players with 36 fantasy points. However, if you were running low on money after your NFL picks, Rondo’s $7500 price may not have appealed to you. Elfrid Payton provided more fantasy value at the guard position with 28 fantasy points but only a price tag of $5500.

At forward there was a lot of fantasy value to be found for cheap prices. Kristaps Porzingis, Will Barton, and Aaron Gordon each earned you over 30 fantasy points with price tags of only $6200, $5900, and $5000 respectively.

Finally, at Center Demarcus Cousins led the list with 33 fantasy points, however with a price tag far beyond the other options at $8900, your other positions may have suffered with the pick of Demarcus Cousins. However, if you picked Jared Sullinger he scored you 24.5 fantasy points while only costing you $5800.

So there is what it took to win the first Exclusive Cross Sport Daily Fantasy offering at Fanpicks. You can learn from these results for future cross sport contests, as there will be plenty of those to come at Fanpicks. Keep an eye out for cross sport when it comes to the NBA Allstar game, the NBA championships, and any other sports championship game.

Posted in NBA, NFL

NBA High Upside Value Picks

 

When choosing players for NBA Daily Fantasy Tournaments, most users tend to value the wrong thing.  They value consistency in their picks when consistency is actually the opposite of what you want.  In order to win serious cash in a Daily Fantasy Cash Draft you usually need extraordinary performances from all the players in your lineup, not a normal constant performance.

 

Furthermore, constancy is usually picked up in salary.  A consistent player like Stephen Curry is going to be at the top of the charts as far as salary goes because he regularly puts up huge numbers, but a player like Dwight Howard, who has potential for huge games or very poor games (as he often gets into foul trouble and plays minimal minutes).

 

So the goal is to find players that have the potential to put up big numbers but also have the potential for poor numbers.  Therefore, if they do have their big number day, then you’re lineup will benefit huge, especially since these inconstant players typically have low ownership as well.

 

Below you see a chart of 40+ fantasy point games in the past 30 days. Kemba Walker for example is going to cost you far less than Stephen Curry but if you picked him on January 18th, you already had a huge leg up on all your competition and were in the running for a big payday.  If you had Dwight Howard on that day as well you would have been a very happy daily fantasy manager as you got over 100 points in fantasy value out of only 2 roster spots.

 

Players to Exceed 40 Fantasy Point Games in the Past 30 days

Fantasy Basketball

It may be easier to identify value in the below chart.  Look at Tyson Chandler for example.  He costs only 5000 but has had two 40+ fantasy point games in the past 30 days.  If you caught him on one of those big days then his fantasy value would have been off the charts!

 

James Harden however has the most counts of 40+ point games in the past 30 with an incredible 8, but his salary remains lower than the likes of Curry and Westbrook.  This tells you when he has a bad game, it may be worse than those other players, but his upside is better.

 

Players to Exceed 40 Fantasy Point Games in the Past 30 days with Count and Salary

Fantasy Basketball

 

 

Posted in NBA

NFL Pro Bowl Preview

The Pro Bowl is a hard event to predict. Just because a player does well in a certain type of offense in the regular season does not guarantee they will be effective in the Pro Bowl. The opposite is true as well when a player is used to being the target of a subpar quarterback for example. Lets look at the lineups and determine where value may be attained in order to maximize your chances in Fanpicks Pro Bowl Daily Fantasy Tournaments this weekend.

 

Team Rice

 

PlayerName Position
Derek Carr QB
Eli Manning QB
Tyrod Taylor QB
Chris Ivory RB
John Kuhn RB
Doug Martin RB
Adrian Peterson RB
Odell Beckham WR
Amari Cooper WR
T.Y. Hilton WR
Jarvis Landry WR
Gary Barnidge TE
Travis Kelce TE

 

As the Pro Bowl goes, each of the quarterbacks on each time will likely see some play time, with the more effective ones seeing more minutes. Eli Manning is the clear leader here in terms of passing but if the pass game is ineffective, it is very likely Tyrod could take over duties given his mobility and speed.

 

As far as receivers go, both Carr and Manning have their primary targets during the regular season, Cooper and Beckham respectively, so you can expect some good synergy between them. I think Hilton however, is the receiver to look out for on Team Rice. He may get less attention from the coverage and although he put up lackluster numbers during the season, with Manning or Carr throwing to him, he may be able to put together a big game. He is my sleeper pick on team Rice.

 

Team Irvine

 

PlayerName Position
Teddy Bridgewater QB
Russell Wilson QB
Jameis Winston QB
Patrick DiMarco RB
Devonta Freeman RB
Todd Gurley RB
Latavius Murray RB
A.J. Green WR
DeAndre Hopkins WR
Julio Jones WR
Allen Robinson WR
Tyler Eifert TE
Delanie Walker TE

 

 Team Irvine is made up somewhat differently, mostly because their quarterback roster is all three players who have proven to be effective with both their arms and their legs. My bet would be that Wilson gets the most play time and should have no problem passing the ball with a stronger receiving squad.

 

Julio Jones and Hopkins should be the main targets but Green and Robinson are both very effective at getting downfield and open. Without a Bortles/Roethlisberger/Cousins type quarterback who loves chucking the ball downfield though, Green and Robinson may not be able to put up the numbers they are used to. Whoever the quarterback here, I expect them to play the short game with Julio, Hopkins, Eifert, and Walker while giving Freeman and Gurley plenty of rush attempts.

 

My strategy is Running backs and Tight ends from Team Irvine and Quarterback and Receiver stacks from Team Rice.

Posted in NFL

NFL Super Bowl Daily Fantasy Preview –

Denver Broncos vs Carolina Panthers

 

The biggest sports day of the year is arriving soon, Super Bowl 50, a matchup between the 15-1 Panthers and the 12-4 Broncos. The Panthers are the clear favorites with a nearly undefeated season and a huge blowout game against the Cardinals last week (49-15). However the Broncos have the return of their franchise Quarterback in his final season coming off a big win last weekend against none other than the defending world champions, all the makings for a cinderella upset in store. Here’s what you need to know if the daily fantasy world to win cash no matter the outcome in your NFL Daily Fantasy tournaments.

 

Quarterbacks

Well the quarterback decision is a no brainer. You have Cam Newton, who has consistently been the most valuable and consistent fantasy performer combining huge passing yards with rushing stats and rushing touchdowns—also the clear MVP favorite for this year. Then you have Peyton Manning, in his old age and his final season. The Bronco’s offense has been altered this year to limit his potential for big pass games and it has reflected in his fantasy value as he has consistently been at the bottom of the charts.

No brainer right? Peyton Manning.

Why you ask? You’re thinking like everyone else in the world and that’s not what wins Daily Fantasy cash drafts. Cam Newton probably will dominate and provide much more value than Manning. In that case you will be in trouble. But Cam Newton will also be 90 percent owned. Meaning if you pick him and he does well, you are still on par with 90 percent of your competitors. However, if Manning has a huge game and Newton is shut down by the Denver defense, then you are already ahead of 90 percent of your competitors and well on you way to making some money!

 

Running Back

For the Panthers here we have Jonathan Stewart or Mike Tolbert and for the Broncos we have Ronnie Hillman and CJ Anderson. Here it may be smart to go with the crowd. You want to eye in on low ownership but you don’t need low ownership at every position, because even if the Peyton Manning scenario plays out but you have Fozzy Whitaker at running back with 0 points, that can lose you the tournament. I think you go with the crowd here and pick Jonathan Stewart and CJ Anderson.

 

CJ Anderson plays a lot like David Johnson and he managed to put up some big numbers last week against the Panthers. Stewart sometimes loses some of his value when Cam decides to run it in himself like last week, but with the limited options out there, he is a safe bet.

 

Wide Receivers

Receivers in this matchup are tough. Both these teams have a long list of receivers all of which have potential for a touchdown pass on any given day. With the Peyton Manning being your choice at quarterback, obviously you are going to want to stack him with his two all stars Thomas and Sanders (will also be high owned). After that you can go for Norwood for a lesser owned pick. He has the potential to put up some value, especially if things go in the Broncos direction. For the Panthers, don’t go Corey Brown, no way he gets lucky with another 86 yard touchdown pass. Ginn will likely be highly owned as well so you’re options left are Funchess and Cotchery who may just be able to fly under the radar against the Broncos defensive front.

 

Tight Ends

 

Don’t fall into the trap here. I know Owen Daniels had a big game last week with 2 touchdowns, but he also only had 2 catches. Those 2 touchdowns were his only contribution to the game. He got 2 catches that just happened to be in the end zone and he will not do that again. Greg Olsen is the only option, he is a pivotal part of the Panther’s offense and is probably the second best tight end in the league, second to Gronk of course. Go for Olsen.

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NFC Conference Championship Recap –

Arizona Cardinals vs Carolina Panthers

 

 This game went just about exactly as expected, a blowout in favor of the Panthers. They roll onto the Super Bowl with a 49-15 win over the Cardinals. Furthermore, all of the fantasy leaders except for Gronk came from this game, mostly concentrated on Carolina as well.

 

Cam Newton led the list of quarterbacks and cemented the MVP with 335 passing yards, 2 passing touchdowns, and 2 rushing touchdowns for a total of 39.1 fantasy points. Cam Newton was a must in any NFL Daily Cash Draft this weekend.

 

Corey Brown, Ted Ginn, and Greg Olsen were the receivers to stack with Newton. Corey Brown had 4 catches for 113 receiving yards and a touchdown totaling 24.3 fantasy points. Greg Olsen had 6 catches for 113 receiving yards totaling 20.3 fantasy points— still short of Gronk’s numbers. And Ginn had 2 catches for 52 yards as well as a 22 yard rush for a touchdown. Ginn ended the day with 15.4 fantasy points.

 

The Carolina defense was also a must totaling 24 fantasy points. They did this by allowing only 15 points (1 fantasy point), 4 interceptions (8 fantasy points), 1 touchdown (6 fantasy points), 3 fumble recoveries (6 fantasy points), and 3 sacks (3 fantasy points). Yes, that is a total of 7 forced turnovers by the Carolina defense.

 

The only redeemable part of the Cardinal’s offense was David Johnson, who led the list of running backs this weekend. He rushed for 60 yards and 1 touchdown as well as 9 receptions for 68 yards. This totaled 27.8 fantasy points.

Posted in NFL

AFC Conference Championship Recap –

New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos

 

The defending Super Bowl champs came to Denver this weekend with almost a full receiving staff after being hampered by injuries early in the year. However, their run game was severely lacking after losing main starters Dion Lewis and Legarette Blount early in the year. Denver, with arguably the strongest pass defense in the league, was ready for this passing front of the Patriots and were able to shut down the attack.

 

Tom Brady had a very uncharacteristic poor QBR of only 22 going 27/56 and throwing 2 interceptions. He managed 310 passing yards and a passing touchdown, generating decent fantasy value of 17 fantasy points. However, in a two game slate like this weekend, if you are going to win your daily fantasy tournament, you have to make all the right picks, and Tom Brady did not have a spot on that winning lineup.

 

However, that doesn’t mean all the Pats should have been avoided. Rob Gronkowski led the list of tight ends for the week with 8 receptions for 144 receiving yards and a receiving touchdown (a key touchdown late in the game). This brought his fantasy point total to 31.4 fantasy points.

 

He was not the only tight end to put up big numbers. On the other side of the ball, Owen Daniels caught 2 passes for 33 yards and 2 touchdowns. Although his total was only 17.3 fantasy points, he costs you far less than Gronk, actually delivering more value.

Posted in NFL